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Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social Profile
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social

@FitzgeraldJack_

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Economics PhD candidate @VUamsterdam and @ResearchTI. Applied econometrics, replication, + economics of science. Likes/RTs =/= endorsements. Views are my own.

Amsterdam, The Netherlands
Joined December 2011
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
21 days
Registration closes on July 4! Come join us in-person or virtually in Amsterdam!.
@I4Replication
I4R
21 days
Only a few days left to register to the Amsterdam Replication Games on July 19. Virtual participation is possible and coauthorship to a meta paper is granted. Register:
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
2 months
Dutch academics, please share - replication games are coming to Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam on July 19! If you live in the Netherlands, or want a good reason to visit, then come network, hone your skills, and potentially coauthor a paper. Registration:
@I4Replication
I4R
2 months
Registration is open for 7 upcoming replication games: . Looking for researchers in econ/ecology/polsci/psych/pub health. San Francisco (June 19) .Amsterdam (July 19).Tilburg (Aug 21).Bordeaux (Aug 24) .Brno (Sept 7).Paris (Oct 3) .Lyon (Oct 9) . Short đź§µ
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
4 months
RT @I4Replication: #GDRI_rep Update 7: Retraction! Our comment of "Parent–teacher meetings and student outcomes: Evidence from a developing….
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
4 months
RT @I4Replication: #GDRI_rep Update 5: We have a new report. We reproduced the paper entitled "Partisan Effects of Information Campaigns in….
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
4 months
RT @I4Replication: #GDRI_rep Update 4: We have a new report. We reproduced the paper entitled "Parent–teacher meetings and student outcomes….
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
4 months
Thank you @carlislerainey for boosting my job market paper! I’m a fan of your prior work on this topic. If you want to learn more, check out the paper and my BIBAP seminar on it tomorrow, 3/12 7 AM CET/5 PM Sydney time.
@carlislerainey
Carlisle Rainey
4 months
"The Need for Equivalence Testing in Economics". from Jack Fitzgerald . Preprint: We know that "not significant" does not imply evidence for "no effect," but I still see papers make this leap. Good to see more work making this point forcefully!
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
5 months
RT @JohnHolbein1: Here's another recent critique of close elections RDDs. It's unclear whether there is actually good evidence against pot….
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
5 months
I'll be waking up early (7 AM CET) on Tuesday, March 12 to present my job market paper at 5 PM Sydney time! If you're awake too, stop by to hear me talk about equivalence testing, replication-based methods research, and the robustness of null results in economics!
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@aortmannphd
Andreas Ortmann
5 months
You might be interested in this online talk next Tuesday at 5 pm Sydney time.
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
5 months
I also develop new methods for testing running variable (RV) manipulation in RDD (similar to Hartman 2021). Using the Stommes et al. (2023) data, I find >44% of RV density discontinuities at treatment cutoffs can't be bounded beneath 50% upward jumps. đź§µ:
@JohnHolbein1
John B. Holbein
5 months
Since we're talking about the validity of close elections RDDs today, I thought I'd drop a few recent articles about issues that arise in this space so that folks can have them all in one place. #1. Hartman (2021) shows that most tests of covariate balance around close election
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
5 months
RT @I4Replication: #GDRI_rep Update 2: I4R sent a report to the original authors for the PLOS One article "“Food insecurity and mental heal….
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
5 months
RT @I4Replication: #GDRI_rep Update 1: I4R are now reproducing all published papers that use data from GDRI (, or a….
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
5 months
RT @paulnovosad: Big kudos to this team for doing the work of uncovering what looks like large-scale research malpractice. Some highlights….
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
5 months
As a coauthor on the AEJ:AE report, it’s a lot. Oh my god, It’s a lot. In that paper, main outcomes are inconsistently handled both in the code and in the field, the paper’s data is connected to a bunch of other experiments, and we find irregularities in the raw survey files.
@I4Replication
I4R
5 months
After being alerted about possible misconduct, the I4R are reproducing published papers that use data from a specific NGO (GDRI). This thread releases the first 2 reports and provides more information about the work and responses/statements from authors journals and journals. đź§µ
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
6 months
I’m a fan of LLMs and use them to program all the time, but some general lessons here. 1: Don’t trust an LLM’s reproduction of a paper; do it yourself. 2: Humans are necessary to ensure reproducibility. 3: For the love of all that is holy, please double-check LLMs’ output. 7/7.
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
6 months
We weren’t alone. Reproducibility rates for AI-led teams were over 57 p.p. lower than those for AI-assisted teams, and over 59 p.p. lower than those for human teams. AI-led teams also detect fewer major errors and propose/implement fewer good robustness checks. 6/7.
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
6 months
This replication package had *annotated code*. We gave ChatGPT data + scripts that *label the code for Figure 4*, and then asked it to reproduce Figure 4. It didn’t even get close to reproducing Figure 4, even after a mind-melting amount of effort put into prompt engineering. 5/7.
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
6 months
Hours were spent trying to get ChatGPT to write code that would produce any plot at all. Eventually, we abandoned R for Python. We switched ChatGPT terminals, considering our current terminal to be a lost cause. We still couldn’t reproduce the figure by the end of the day. 4/7.
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
6 months
Our team could only upload the paper and its replication package into ChatGPT along with an image of the figure we wanted to reproduce, try to get ChatGPT (o1 for our Games) to write code that would reproduce the figure, and then run this code in R. This was ✨misery✨. 3/7.
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
6 months
In AI Replication Games, we were randomized into human, cyborg (AI-assisted), + machine (AI-led) teams, all trying to reproduce a published paper. Humans couldn't use ChatGPT, whereas cyborgs could use it as much/as little as desired. My machine team could *only* use ChatGPT. 2/7.
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@FitzgeraldJack_
Jack Fitzgerald | @jackfitzgerald.bsky.social
6 months
New working paper! @I4Replication does a good job detailing the experiment’s results, so for anyone who considers LLMs/AI as a (soon-to-be) solution to reproducibility in social science, let me walk you through the 🔥hell🔥 of trying to reproduce a paper on an "AI-led" team. 1/7.
@I4Replication
I4R
6 months
New research alert! Our study investigates the effectiveness of human-only, AI-assisted, and AI-led teams in assessing the reproducibility of quantitative social science research. We've got some surprising findings!
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