European Parliament, Europe Erects April projection:
Scenario: Omtzigt(*) and Wagenknecht (*) run in a joint list
Seats
Omtzigt/Wagenknecht: 243 (n.a)
S&D: 111 (-34)
EPP: 102 (-75)
NI|*: 76 (+34)
RE: 75 (-27)
...
+/- vs. current seat distribution
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Russia (Presidential election):
Vladimir Putin (YeR~EPP|ID): 48% (-30)
Putin, Vladimir (YeR~EPP|ID): 24% (new)
Putin, V. Vladimirovich (YeR~EPP|ID): 23% (new)
...
+/- vs. 2018 result
Election date: 17 Mar 2024
Vote count: 112.31%
Turnout: 108.9%
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Brazil (Presidential election, second round), Queenst poll:
Among voters who are pedos
Bolsonaro (PL, fascist): 87%
Lula (PT, centre-left): 13%
Fieldwork: 16-18 October 2022
#Brazil
#Brasil
#Lula
#Bolsonaro
#eleicoes2022
🚨🚨🚨 Türkiye: After the Head of the Electoral Commission re-checked the results Excel spreadsheet, it was noticed that the results for Recep Tayyip Erdoğan (AKP~NI) and Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu (CHP-S&D) got mixed up.
Kılıçdaroğlu is elected President.
#spoe
#Excel
US (Georgia): Our current county projection for the Senate race has Herschel Walker (GOP) ahead in most rural counties, while incumbent Raphael Warnock (DEM) is heavily leading in the urban and suburban areas of the state.
#RaphaelWarnock
#HerschelWalker
Netherlands: The leader of the left-wing Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF~LEFT), Julius Malema, has announced the party will run in the November elections. Malema promised that he wants to reduce nitrogen emissions, citing agrarian BBB~S&D as main enemy, vowing to "kill the boer".
Germany, Furza poll:
‘Would you prefer to have your child kidnapped or Germany to continue using nuclear power?‘
Have my child kidnapped: 57%
Continue using nuclear power: 43%
Fieldwork: 15-21 August 2022
Sample size: 2,022
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UK: In order to gain more popularity and appeal to centrist voters, Prime Minister Liz Truss (CON~ECR) decided to rename the party to "Progressive Conservative Party".
Greece: After electing former Goldman Sachs banker Stefanos Kasselakis as leader, centrist SYRIZA has announced its switch from LEFT to RE. Kasselakis cited the "completion of an ideological transformation" as key reason for changing SYRIZA's European affiliation.
Czechia: In order to attract new voters, namely the male LGBT+ scene in Prague that makes up a considerable share of the Czech electorate, TOP09 (EPP) chairwoman Markéta Pekarová Adamová announced the party will be renamed to "BOTTOM69".
UK: Amidst the current crisis affecting the Tories, backbencher MP Alexander de Pfeffel (CON~ECR), representing a Greater London constituency, announced his intention to run in the next leadership election, citing his ability to represent a "fresh start" for the party.
Europe: After Europe Erects hit 2,000 followers, a projection by YouGotTrolled found the account had more followers than 18 national Volt accounts
Account with more followers
Europe Erects: 18
Volt: 9
Germany: After FDP (RE) and AfD (ID) both voted for the same bill in the Thuringia state parliament, representatives from both parties revealed their intention to merge to form the AfDP. FDP cited the risk to fall under the threshold of 5% without this merger.
US (Texas): In a closely watched race, former French presidential candidate and electoral juggernaut Anne Hidalgo (PS-S&D) has been elected County Judge of Harris County, Texas.
Germany: In order to ensure stability after two years of a minority government in Thuringia, LINKE (LEFT) and AfD (ID) have agreed to form a "Red-Blue" or "Ribbentrop-Molotov" coalition. Bernd Höcke (AfD) will serve as deputy of Minister-President Bodo Ramelow (LINKE).
Germany, Furza poll:
Scenario: all overhyped politicians run on own lists and CSU (EPP) runs nationwide
Liste Pistorius~S&D: 24% (n.a.)
Liste Wagenknecht~LEFT|ID|NI: 23% (n.a.)
...
+/- vs. 2021 election
Fieldwork: 10-21 Sep. 2023
Sample size: 1,001
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United States: Former Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard has announced her departure from the Democratic Party (~S&D|RE) to join Yedinaya Rossiya (~EPP|ID). She is the highest-ranking US official to join the pro-Kremlin party so far.
#TulsiGabbard
🚨🚨🚨 Just in: French presidential candidate Éric Zemmour (REC-NI) has conceded defeat and endorsed Emmanuel Macron (LREM-RE) for the second round, citing their similarities on economic policy. He stated that Marine Le Pen (RN-ID) is too moderate and needs to be defeated.
Italy: A few left-wing parties including AVS (G/EFA|LEFT), UP (LEFT) and UP (*) members formed a joint list for the 2024 EP election. According to them, this time they expect overperform the polls and get more than 3%.
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Slovakia: With liberal PS (RE) coming first, their lead candidate Anne Hidalgová, Mayor of Páriš, is expected to become the country's next Prime Minister. She will be the second woman occupying this office.
France: To offer an alternative against a united left-wing alliance, LREM (RE) and RN (ID) have agreed to form a pact (LRNEM) for the upcoming legislative elections. LRNEM wants to abolish the minimum wage for Muslims and increase the retirement age for people living in banlieus.
Russia: In the midst of the ongoing coup by the Wagner Group (~RE), its leader Yevgeniy Prigozhin declared his close confidante Yelizaveta Truss as new acting head of state of the liberated territories.
France, presidential election today:
Turnout among the Hidalgo family
...
2007: 83%
2012: 85%
2017: 76%
2022: 2% (-74)
Source: Misery of the Interior
More:
Italy: following the resignation of Mario Draghi (*), FdI (ECR) has proposed Alessandra Mussolini (FI-EPP) to become Prime Minister of a yet to be announced broad coalition. They cited the political experience of her grandfather as the main reason for their support.
Greece: following the recent election results and polling, SYRIZA (LEFT) has changed its name to 'Συνασπισμός Ριζοσπαστικής Ζωής' (SYRIZZ) in an attempt to appeal to younger voters.
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Sweden, Grönhatarundersökning poll:
'Would you rather like to have a member of MP (G/EFA) or a nuclear power plant (*) as your neighbor?'
Nuclear Power Plant (*): 86%
Member of MP (G/EFA): 14%
Fieldwork: 10-13 April 2022
Sample Size: 1,980
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United States: After the passing of California Senator Dianne Feinstein (DEM), Congresswoman Nancy Pelosi (DEM) has been appointed to replace her. Pelosi is widely seen as a fresh breeze of vitality and youth in the chamber and a potential candidate for the Presidency in 2028.
Twitter (leadership), I-flop poll:
Should Elon Musk step down?
Yes: 52%
No: 48%
Fieldwork: 18 December 2022
Sample size: As many respondents as Elon has kids
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Eurasia: Six parties from across Europe and Asia have agreed to form the big tent umbrella organization "PPPPPPPPPPPPPPPP". The newly founded international party unites parties from the whole political spectrum.
UK, YouGosh poll:
In hindsight, do you prefer stability and a strong government with David Cameron (CON~ECR) or chaos with Ed Miliband (LAB-S&D)?
Chaos with Ed Miliband: 86%
Stability with David Cameron: 14%
Release date: 20 Oct 22
Sample size: 1,500
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Eurasia: Finnish Kok (EPP), Bulgarian PP (~G/EFA), Spanish PP (EPP), German BIG (*) and Indian DIC(K) (center-left) have announced their intent to form a new international party whose name will be revealed after formal consultations.
México, De las AFUERA poll:
Presidential election,
Sheinbaum (JHH, left to centre-right): 90%
Gálvez (VxM, centre-left to centre-right): 8%
García (MC, centre-left): 1%
Verástegui (*): 1%
Fieldwork: 18-19 November 23
Sample size: 1,123
#Mexico
#EleccionesMX2024
Slovenia: Political newcomer James May (GS~G/EFA), internationally known as former presenter of Top Gear, has been sworn in as new Prime Minister of Slovenia. He will head a coalition of GS, SD (S&D), L (LEFT), LMŠ (RE) and SAB (RE).
After conversations with Europe Elects and the potential avenue of legal action, the admin team have decided to shut down this account by the beginning of next week
It was nice having built such a great and large community over the course of the last year. 💔
Montenegro: In order to celebrate their record result of 44% in the most recent Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll, the Movement "Evropa Sad!" (*) decided to rename themselves to "Evropa Happy :)".
Sweden, Peil poll:
Scenario: Andersson would remain Prime Minister.
HOWEVER, she'd have a hard time forming govt as C rules out V on budgetary issues
S-S&D: 20 (-1)
C-RE: 19
...
+/− vs. 5-6 Aug. 2022
Fieldwork: 26-27 August 2022
Sample size: N/A
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🚨 BREAKING | Nicola Sturgeon is to announce her successor, expected to be Carles Puigdemont.
He is a figure who she believes can remove Scotland from the union whatever it may take, according to reports
Netherlands: After Nilüfer Gündoğan was expelled from Volt (G/EFA), she announced the creation of an own party called Ampere. She stated her goal is to “electricize” the continent with a new pan-European movement. This means 20 groups are now represented in the Dutch Parliament.
UK (Wales), Santa ComRes poll:
Independence referendum
Scenario: Respondents saw that video before answering
Yes: 5%
No: 95%
Fieldwork: 4-8 August 2022
Sample size: 2,042
#welshindyref
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Canada: After suffering a significant decline in the polls, the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) has decided to rename itself to "Canada United" (CU). PM Justin Trudeau highlighted the successful rebranding of the British Columbian Liberal Party as prime example for the party.
United States, Trafalgar poll:
GOP voters only
‘Do you care more about guns or women‘s healthcare?‘
Guns: 91%
Women's healthare: 9%
Fieldwork: 24 June 2022
Sample size: 1,973
#RoeVsWade
From the bottom of our hearts, thank you for 1,000 followers supporting the only serious polling aggregator on Twitter. ❤️ This is a motivation to continue delivering you the high quality shit aggregation you deserve.
France, I-fap poll:
If the following politician knocked at your door and said they had to pee, would you let them use your bathroom?
Lassalle (R!-*): 41%
Mélenchon (LFI-LEFT): 38%
Le Pen (RN-ID): 21%
...
Fieldwork: 26-29 Apr '22
Sample size: 1,995
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Switzerland, Sucktomo poll:
Preferred pride affiliation of the 7th Member of Collective Head of State:
Straight~ID|*: 40%
Gay~S&D|RE|G/EFA|ECR|LEFT: 23%
Bi~LEFT|ECR: 9%
Pan~LEFT|RE|EPP: 8%
...
Fieldwork: 11-13 Oct '22
Sample size: 15,509
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#BRWahl
Slovakia, exit poll accuracy:
Gallagher index
Polio (EEr-LGBT): 1.22
Median (*): 1.32
Focus (*): 1.39
Fuckus (EEr-LGBT): 1.66
If this test is true, Europe Erects provided the most accurate exit poll for the Slovak elections.
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#volby2023
France (Paris), OpinionWhoCaresAnyway poll:
'Would the following presidential candidate be suited to become Mayor of Paris?'
Macron (LREM-RE): 41%
Mélenchon (FI-LEFT): 39%
Le Pen (RN-ID): 35%
...
Fieldwork: 20-22 March 2022
Sample size: 1,789
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Italy, BiDiMidia pictogram which is definitely not a poll:
5.6 Fires
4.8 Branches
2.2 Stars
1.8 N. Italies
1.6 Macrons
1.4 Bunga Bungas
...
Fieldwork: 14 September 2022
Group size: 3,222
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#ElezioniPolitiche2022
Italy: Luigi Di Maio (previously M5S-NI) has split from his party to form the "69 Stars Movement". He aims to join forces with Silvio Berlusconi (FI-EPP), who stated he is very much interested in getting to know all the 69 stars.
Germany, Furza poll:
Q: "If you could directly vote for the President, who would you choose?"
Wagenknecht (BSW~LEFT): 21%
Pistorius (SPD-S&D): 19%
...
Fieldwork: 26 January 2024
Sample size: 1.929
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#bswbpt
#Wagenknecht
#Europawahl2024