Erin B.
@ErinEducational
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Interests: Investment Management Research, Education & Trading. Not an expert. Biased. No advice. Feed likes & RT ≠ Endorsement. For edutainment only. DYOR!
USA
Joined January 2023
Top 2025 Lesson: The main purpose of a #HedgeFund is to minimize drawdowns in bear markets. The dream is to outperform benchmarks. This slide &🧵explains Real #Alpha and how to get it. Happy Holidays!🎄See U in 2026 #Investing #TradingStrategy #BearMarket #SPX #Bonds #Gold #BTC
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Think Risk is over? Think again! Contagion to mis-managed banks is likely. Many banker's game is to boost profits by masking risk via third parties & derivatives. They can delay via extend & pretend on CRE, private equity, etc. But when the tide is out, who's naked? Next Bailout?
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It take about 1 years to get clear signals, 2-3 years for max stress and reset. Investors should know what Companies and Private Equity investments they are holding. DOYR!
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2016-2036 Risks: Economic War (Trade + Currency + Capital Wars) > Tech + Industrial + Supply Chain Wars > Military Buildup + Physical (Direct/Proxy Land + Civil) Wars = Winner Resets the system. Risks ≠ Destiny. Be Strategic & Agile! Ref: IIM Think Tank https://t.co/IYTg3L7m0e
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You've been warned! It's macro & market liquidity; without a fiscal, monetary, &/or FDI injection, a correction in high beta assets & stocks could morph into a bear market! First investors rotate to value/stables on fear = trading chop, then crash. Be safe. DYOR!
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Dear X peers, I have decided to reduce/end my online engagement. While I enjoyed sharing educational insights (X can be enriching, entertaining & addictive😅) I realized the $ ROI is not worth it. I can put my time & labor to more profitable uses. Happy 2026!
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💡Insight: Institutional money managers & CIOs suffer from "too many cooks syndrome" or conflicting goals, assumptions & strategies - that is a key factor why they cannot beat the market and most almost always underperform. - Med Jones https://t.co/0RUEDpCRxl
Unpopular opinion: I think institutional money managers are overrated while experienced retail or small shop traders are underrated. I know many traders kicking the ass of Wall St AM & HF. I believe marketing $ = media access = distort reality. Big ≠ Alpha. Big = Dilutive Algos
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New traders don't be fooled! The Alpha of winning traders is not CANSLIM, even if the winners claim it is. They confuse correlation with causation & have sample size error. Evidence? $FFTY (= CANSLIM ETF) vs. $SPY or $QQQ Performance over the years!
When I started trading I came accross @IBDinvestors They are quite a thing among discretionary swing trade investors and the CANSLIM method. Their ETF $FFTY barely made 50% since inception, while $QQQ made > 500%. Make your own conclusion.
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BTC Cycle top! Extreme sentiments = be careful!
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Pin this Last Week of October= Stocks & BTC Positive. First Week of Nov = Stocks & BTC Negative...Maybe very negative! 😅 I'm hedged against the coming pump & dump. I will ride the next pump. 😇
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Everyone & their gramma are bullish on AI, stocks, & BTC. Also bearish on TLT. Within ~ 1 Q or so, they will be proven wrong. A recession scare will cause a serious capital rotation and correction before the next cycle of QE + pump & dump - My rich monkey knows > your monkey 😅
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Unpopular opinion: I think institutional money managers are overrated while experienced retail or small shop traders are underrated. I know many traders kicking the ass of Wall St AM & HF. I believe marketing $ = media access = distort reality. Big ≠ Alpha. Big = Dilutive Algos
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If institutional investors can't make money on PE/VC/PC/RE relative to public market comps b/c the fees are too high, retail investors sure as shit don't need "access" to these types of assets.
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The United States Treasury Secretary: “The Fed is turning into universal basic income for PhD economists. I don't know what they do. They're never right … If air traffic controllers did this, no one would get in an airplane.” This is epic. @judyshel
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Warren Buffett: “This is the best investment you can make…by far.”
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