Partisan Mapper
@DemHackMaps
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Democratic partisan hack. Election cartographer/mapper. Wikipedia contributor. Top-tier takes based on vibes, informed by data.
Joined December 2022
Presenting the 2024 Pennsylvania Presidential election results by precinct.
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BUCKS COUNTY! We're thrilled to announce that we swept EVERY COUNTY SEAT!
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Last night, Democrats in Pennsylvania flipped: Bucks County District Attorney (for the first time ever!) Bucks County Sheriff Erie County Executive 4 Luzerne County Council seats (to regain control of the Council) Mayor of Beaver Borough Judicial seats across the Commonwealth
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ANOTHER PENNSYLVANIA FLIP: Democrats will control Luzerne County Council, a Trump stronghold
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Behold - the 2020-2024 United States Presidential Election Results, Swings, + Trends in Allegheny County, Pennsylvania + DLC. Allegheny County largely avoided the ugly rightward shift that many other large counties in the state and country fell victim to. 🧵
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“Rep. Rob Bresnahan, a multimillionaire who recently sold control of his family’s company and now represents one of Pennsylvania’s poorest congressional districts, appears to have taken steps to hide one whirling aspect of his wealth: his new personal helicopter.” #PA08
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Scott Perry never struggled on this measure before, so it appears Janelle Stelson actually is a particularly strong candidate.
@DemHackMaps Might just be because Scott Perry is a weak incumbent more than anything else
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See that block of blue in South Central PA? That's Janelle Stelson.
Today I’m announcing my Congressional campaign against Scott Perry. He just voted for the biggest Medicaid cuts in history, to pay for billionaire tax breaks. We deserve better than a career politician who keeps selling us out.
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In 2024, according to Split Ticket, Stelson was one of the strongest Democratic candidates in the nation. If the environment in 2026 is anything close to what I expect, Perry is cooked. Not to mention it seems like Stelson did best in York, where Perry is from.
Today I’m announcing my Congressional campaign against Scott Perry. He just voted for the biggest Medicaid cuts in history, to pay for billionaire tax breaks. We deserve better than a career politician who keeps selling us out.
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The 1998 Senate Election in Pennsylvania saw incumbent GOP Senator Arlen Specter win reelection in a landslide. Specter was pro-choice and endorsed by the AFL-CIO. His Democratic opponent was pro-life, and, as shown by the map, virtually unknown outside of Somerset County.
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I do want people to grapple with this: if "whites are very racist" was the driver behind Kamala Harris running behind Biden, as I've seen bandied about in liberal (and donor!) circles, then the white rurals in PA should not have been the places she did best in, relative to 2020.
2020 --> 2024 Pennsylvania presidential swing map (left pic), along with a map of trends relative to the statewide swing (right pic). 26 counties swung less than 1% in either direction, including 3 that swung less than 0.1%. 48 counties trended left relative to the state.
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hey i wonder where everyone in the 2016 PA AG Dem primary is from?
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@ferald_gord This is the 2014 Lt. Gov Dem Primary. Where do you think everyone’s home county is?
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This pattern didn't really hold up as well in 2024.
When you combine Pennsylvania's 1st, 7th, and 8th congressional districts, you get a slice of PA with Philly suburbs, the Lehigh Valley, and NEPA that ends up voting almost identically to the state as a whole for a bunch of recent (and future?) elections.
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With Election Night Results finished Democrat James Malone appears to have Flipped Pennsylvania's 36th Senate District after Trump won it by ~15% in 2024 the district covers around half of Lancaster County.
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I have seen Democrats say they need to pick white men to win again. This is incredibly stupid, because the data shows that voters do not care about identity politics in the way that Democratic elites think they do. New piece from us for @PostOpinions
washingtonpost.com
Data from 2024 House elections suggests candidates’ positions matter more than their race or gender.
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Presenting 2024 Senate over-performance. Blue is where Bob Casey did better. Red is where Harris did better (or another way to look at it: red is where McCormick did better). Harris actually got more votes and a higher percent than Casey, but lost by a larger % margin.
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#ElectionTwitter Here's a dot map of the shift in raw votes by county in Pennsylvania from 1956-1960. Kennedy netted hundreds of thousands of new votes in Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, and Scranton-Wilkes Barre, which far outweighed the gains that Nixon made in Central Pennsylvania.
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You have to go all the way back to 2010 to find a Gubernatorial race in PA where the Democratic candidate got less than 54.9% of the vote.
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