©️redit From Ⓜ️acro to Ⓜ️icro
@Credit_Junk
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Prop. Trader - Global Macro, Fixed Income (G10 govies and credit) - CFA Charterholder https://t.co/ud0FsanIo6
Joined July 2015
I published my last fixed income a la carte. Here the link. https://t.co/lR1QFGgXBE
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A great gift from @JohnHCochrane if you are interested in inflation and macro
Inflation. A short book draft, resulting from last fall's Brunner Lecture. Comments welcome. https://t.co/kAizxFXNZt
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How it started: the consensus trade was that one of broadening of the rally (geographically but also sectorial), calling it a rotation. Now also the AI DISRUPTION theme is widening across sectors, from software/SaaS, financials, legals, REITS and now logistics.
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Australia Inflation Expectations Rise to Highest Since June 2025
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RBA is now the most hawkish central banks, more than BOJ in my opinion
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The House voted to end Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canada
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The big problems for markets will be when everyone is positive (not now when a lot of people expect bad data).
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Education and health services the big driver here
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Market impact after NFP worse than past average
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Stronger than expected NFP print, with lower unemployment rate too
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VATICAN BANK LAUNCHES CATHOLIC-BASED STOCK INDEXES The Vatican Bank has launched two equity indexes — one for the US and one for the Eurozone — selecting stocks based on Catholic principles. Each index holds 50 mid- and large-cap companies, including major tech and financial
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*STELLANTIS CUT TO BAA3 FROM BAA2 BY MOODY'S; OUTLOOK STABLE
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Goldman: if you are getting scared of vanishing software stock values, just look at newspapers.
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"Heavy Truck Sales have put in their strongest 3-month swing since the COVID lows. And there are people out there seriously talking about a recession this year" from @MacroOps
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Outperformance of Japan (Nikkei or Topix) is impressive
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Dow Jones Industrial Average Exceeds 50,000 for First Time, while S&P lag Rotation Optimism on economy (resilient) and earnings too Dow theory confirms a positive bias with transportation leading the move
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Always great @fkronawitter1 A must read
I just published a new "Next Economy" post I hope you enjoy the read! https://t.co/pcyHpZ19ue
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Give always credit to credit EUR IG below, the last sector to wide in the last month, with a 1:60 tightening/widening ratio today In HY space is worst
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