Cassian
@ConvexDispatch
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High conviction. Non consensus. Entrepreneur building a convex portfolio in the real world. On bad days, I pair drawdowns with good wine 🍷
Joined October 2021
We’ve hit 4800 let’s see about 5000 now!
Gold just hit 4500, $GLD and $GDX headed for ATH! Tariff ruling and geopolitical uncertainty over next few weeks along with positive seasonality should see gold hit 4800-5000 in Q1 in my view
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Gold is at all-time highs. Everyone says it will pop. But here’s the real question no one asks: who is actually going to sell it? TLDR Gold has been rallying longer than most expected, with unusually shallow pullbacks. That’s not a trend. It’s a regime change. Gold is convex
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Small update. Still holding my hedge. It always gets tougher when convexity kicks in and $ amounts start growing quickly… @JoshMandell6 I needs masterclass from you on having diamond hands and not blowing up😅
After reflecting more on the current $BTC, $ETH + $BMNR volatility, I wanted to share a completely different position as a real example of how psychology works against you. This is not about calling tops or bottoms. It’s about living through volatility without breaking your own
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Trump starts speaking at Davos. Gold ticks up right away! Will it end lower or higher by the end of his speech?
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Once I close my $GLD long proceeds most likely to go towards buying more $BMNR! Anyone else adding on weakness today?
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If you don’t want to miss out, make sure to subscribe to my free Substack. It notifies you directly when a deep dive goes live!
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Earnings season has officially kicked off. Over the coming weeks, the companies I invest in will start reporting and I’ll be covering them closely • Pre-earnings setup and expectations • Real-time earnings commentary • Post-earnings breakdowns what actually mattered vs noise
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Have you ever sold too early? Or more broadly: have you ever changed the nature of a bet mid-flight? • Bought something as a hedge, convexity started working, and you converted it into a directional trade • Entered a long-term thesis, then exited on the first real volatility
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After reflecting more on the current $BTC, $ETH + $BMNR volatility, I wanted to share a completely different position as a real example of how psychology works against you. This is not about calling tops or bottoms. It’s about living through volatility without breaking your own
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Welcome to the $BMNR and $ETH family, @mikealfred . Great to have you here. I know Mike Alfred can be a bit polarizing on X very opinionated, very direct. But I’d encourage people to do what I did: strip away the noise and actually take time to understand how he thinks. When
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If you’re a $BMNR investor or an $ETH holder, you should read this. Days like today can feel brutal. You wake up, check pre-market, and everything is red. Tariff headlines. Macro noise. And that familiar knot in your stomach asking: “What if I’m wrong?” That feeling is normal.
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Very useful snapshot of institutions building on Ethereum. This reinforces the constructive setup for $ETH and $BMNR as Ethereum increasingly becomes financial rails.
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This really isn’t my area of expertise at all, but I was casually digging into the whole Greenland topic and whether there was any real historical precedent behind it. I honestly expected to find almost nothing. Instead, I found a surprisingly long and consistent pattern. As
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$JD Making an appearance at Davos today was not on my bingo card😅 Should I stop by and ask them to buy some stock back?
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Position update $LVMH down ~9.5% in 5 days on EU tariff noise around Greenland. Price action reminds me of the April tariff scare. Nothing has changed fundamentally. Best luxury house in the world with real pricing power. You see it in execution Jonathan Anderson taking over
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“I can think. I can wait. I can fast.” Hermann Hesse, Siddhartha One of the most transformative books for me. These three lines matter as much in markets as in life.
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#Davos2026 kicks off tomorrow with the World Economic Forum. I’m around for the week, if any of you are in town, it would be great to meet up, grab a drink, and chat macro. DMs open. 🍷
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