Bryan Burack
@BryanBurack
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China & Indo-Pacific @Heritage. Formerly: 47 NSC, @HouseForeignGOP.
Joined May 2009
Decoupling Commandments: 1. The US and China are decoupling. The US and the free world will be defeated and vassalized if we pretend this isn't happening.
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This Wall Street Journal piece recommends forcing American states to sell their own land to communist companies if some bureaucrat in DC says so. I guess federalism and small government are only useful when they make it easier for foreign companies to hollow out the US economy.
A @WSJopinion oped argues CFIUS should be the one & only watchdog on 🇨🇳 land grabs. This proposal is upside-down because: ➡️Feds need states to do MORE resiliency ➡️CFIUS repeatedly fails ➡️20+ states already acted CFIUS should set a security floor, not the ceiling. 🧵👇
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The biggest US concession in this week's Trump/Xi summit was re-opening export control loopholes, in exchange for China pausing rare earth blackmail. This will make it easier for China to smuggle restricted US military tech. Americans pay the price of offshoring & dependence.
Commerce's move to close thousands of export control loopholes is a national security victory. The "50% rule" fixes a glaring vulnerability that China has long exploited, and requires the private sector to align with the national interest. Latest for @DailySignal:
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Chairman @RepMoolenaar on the GAIN AI Act: "The GAIN AI Act will guarantee that no American company is ever put behind a foreign adversary buyer for advanced AI chips. This is an America First Chip Policy in action that will build sustained American AI dominance.”
selectcommitteeontheccp.house.gov
Chairman John Moolenaar (R-MI) of the House Select Committee on China is introducing the Guaranteeing Access and Innovation for National Artificial Intelligence (GAIN AI) Act to ensure that American...
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RT @ChinaSelect: Saying it “doesn’t matter” whether America or China wins the AI race is dangerously naïve.  This is like arguing that it…
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As Chairman @RepMoolenaar has communicated to the Administration, we cannot sell the latest advanced AI chips to our country’s primary adversary. Providing China with access to these chips would be akin to giving Iran weapons grade uranium. To put America First, these chips
nytimes.com
The president signaled he would discuss the sale of Nvidia’s Blackwell chips in a summit on Thursday, a move U.S. officials warned would be a “massive” national security mistake.
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"America should not be helping Beijing close the AI gap by giving Chinese companies desperately needed compute. Nvidia’s B30A would be far more powerful than anything widely available in the Chinese market, accelerating China’s frontier AI advancements."
Latest w/ @Cold_Peace_: Xi is driving the U.S. and Chinese tech ecosystems to divorce, no matter what DC decides. China seeks “import substitution” to end reliance on foreign tech, and "self-reliant” AI technology for "an autonomously controllable” AI ecosystem.
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DR. KEVIN ROBERTS: We thought free enterprise would turn China into America. Instead, it turned our corporations into lobbyists for Beijing. Now Trump walks into this fight holding a strong hand. Rare-earths decide wars. If Trump secures that deal, it’s game-changing.
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Treasury's new China investment restrictions continue President Trump's efforts to cut off funding to Chinese military companies - but have major flaws. Congress needs to step up and contribute. My latest @Heritage paper:
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For @FoxNews: "China is decoupling from us. These moves that look like retaliation are really part of Xi Jinping's effort to sever dependence on the United States and build self-reliance in critical technologies. The US must do the same and that process is painful."
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9. This is why we say we are in a New Cold War. There will be overlap, contestation, and attempts at non-alignment, but firmly delineated bipolarity will be the prevailing geo-economic paradigm going forward. History never ended.
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8. The world will be forced to split into two rival techno-economic blocs, one orbiting China, the other orbiting the US. Countries and companies will be forced to choose whether they like it or not. There are already examples that multinationals can't exist in both at once.
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7. Decoupling is an urgent necessity. Reliance on China is existential sanctions risk. If China is willing to assert control over all of Earth's goods trade through commodities, of course China will do so using Chinese manufactures. More companies will get the Skydio treatment.
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6. Decoupling will be economy-wide. Huge portions of the American economy need to reduce and eliminate vulnerabilities. China's rare earth coercion targets US automakers, not just defense firms. Any critical industry, large employer, or politically important company is exposed.
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5. Decoupling won't be confined to advanced technologies. Viable areas of economic interdependence are growing scarcer. Commodity trade could have been an exception, but now China is restricting both the sale and purchase of commodities to coerce the US and the world at large.
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4. Decoupling is mandatory. There is no going back. Continued mutual interdependence isn't on the table. The U.S. can decouple on our own terms, reclaiming our sovereignty, or do so on China's terms, becoming a vassalized dependency, reliant on China's industrial empire.
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3. Decoupling is China's explicit goal. Xi Jinping has specifically instructed China's government and industry to sever reliance on foreign technology, but also to "tighten international production chains' dependence on China."
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2. Decoupling is both mutual and inevitable. Both countries perceive decoupling as necessary for core national interests. This means decoupling is inevitable until one country or the other changes that perception - or loses.
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