BenPhillips_ANU Profile Banner
Ben Phillips Profile
Ben Phillips

@BenPhillips_ANU

Followers
9K
Following
96K
Media
1K
Statuses
19K

Economics, stats, social policy, tax/welfare microsimulation. Associate Professor at ANU Centre for Social Policy Research. Ex NATSEM@UC and ABS

Canberra
Joined September 2010
Don't wanna be here? Send us removal request.
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
3 hours
European countries aren’t home building powerhouses. This is an outcome of demographics (ageing populations, low fertility rates) and smaller dwellings and unoccupied dwellings.
@StatisticUrban
Hunter📈🌈📊
23 hours
It really is insane that the Anglosphere just doesn't build housing.
Tweet media one
2
6
16
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
1 day
Our major cities have very low density if we can't find room perhaps we are not trying very hard here?.
3
1
31
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
1 day
With 12,500 square kilometers in our largest 20 urban areas (thanks Grok) we can surely find 34 square kms pa to develop/redevelop? (~5km x 7km)
@AlanKohler
Alan Kohler
1 day
My column for @abcnews - where are we going to find 34 sq kms of land per year in the suburbs to build houses? Golf courses? Parks? Race tracks? Boosting supply alone is not the answer to affordability.
6
2
36
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
3 days
Since 2018 successive govts have increased childcare funding from $6b to $14b pa on the same troubled system with little obvious gain for the economy or children (childcare use remains on same trend)
14
10
52
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
3 days
England 1st innings scores.Average 40.7.Median 0.Mode 0.Sometimes the average is what matters.
3
0
9
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
4 days
* yes these are averages and some people have been negatively impacted.
3
0
8
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
4 days
Spending on recreation and culture up 21%, restaurants, cafes, hotels up 25% last 6 years - quite at odds with the 'cost of living crisis' for Australia. (net of CPI and population growth)
12
12
25
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
4 days
YA student for FT student is about $17k pa or 58% of the age pension. Same for an unemployed person under 22 and independent.
3
1
10
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
4 days
Many students struggle financially and Youth Allowance is badly inadequate. A substantial boost would have greatly improved the lives of many students. HECS debt relief helps mostly mid/hi income grads a decade after graduating.
10
26
79
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
6 days
RT @cmkusher: More can be approved that is applied for and we can allow more to be built but this idea that counciks have a number of appro….
0
1
0
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
6 days
Has the location and type of new housing been ideal? Probably not. Statements like 'it's just too hard to build housing in Australia' isn't quite the full story.
1
1
15
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
6 days
Since 2011 Census Australia's dwelling stock is up by 2.3m (ABS). At current occupancy rates for units/houses (ABS) that's enough housing for 5.6m extra people. Our population grew by 5m since 2011. Building levels have been very strong in Australia over the short to medium term.
16
11
47
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
6 days
While some may think 1.2m new dwellings is required it's also worth remembering that population growth over the 5 years to 2029 is expected to only require ~900K dwellings.
0
0
4
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
6 days
In the short run probably the only way to get these numbers up a bit is for the property market to run hot which means higher real estate prices - that's how approvals tend to work unfortunately.
0
0
11
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
6 days
Realistically we'll get to about 900K completions by 2029 if we up approvals a bit to 200K pa. Doubt even a more sensible initial target of 1m will be possible.
3
0
12
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
6 days
Building approvals around 180K pa. Given current completions and the approvals pipeline to reach the 1.2m completions target by 2029 we'd need approvals for the next 3 years ~ 300K pa. Not really possible (not that the target was ever close to feasible)
9
15
52
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
7 days
Great story on GST’s 25th birthday on @abc730 overall a good package of reform of the tax AND welfare system. None of the many concerns were ever realised. Lots of noise… then nothing once introduced.
13
4
23
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
7 days
Housing in Australia (including owner occupier) more strongly considered a financial investment than in the US?.
@Adam_Creighton
Adam Creighton
7 days
I can't recall dwelling price growth making national news in the US once in 4 years. The obsession in Australia with the latest monthly house figures, across every outlet, for days, remains bizarre.
Tweet media one
1
0
2
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
7 days
2011 the starting point due to ABS dwelling series start point. Expect that 2006-2011 a likely period of 'shortage' while previous 10 years a likely 'surplus'.
1
0
2
@BenPhillips_ANU
Ben Phillips
7 days
Data adjusted for dwelling type with detached housing worth 2.73 persons and attached 1.95 persons. Results only relate to demographic not economic demand.
1
0
2