@POTUS
For you people that believe this crap here is the truth. The Pandemic temporarily put people out of work ( Trump presidency). The pandemic ends The Biden administration counts people going back to jobs they had as job creation
@HuXijin_GT
This is sad. Programmed robots by a self serving government. Give me individualized free thinking kids creating and exploring their own interests anyway
I’m just a trader and I keep hearing this argument Dec corn is a buy because costs make it expensive to grow .
Who is telling people corn HAS to trade above your production cost?
#soybeans
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
I want to wish everyone a very Happy and prosperous New Year. I have met a lot of really nice people and created new friendships through agtwitter. I’m very grateful for that. To those that sent me the gift of meat ( you know who you are) my swim team and family are so thankful
The Twitter page and splash page web site is up for my option course. I encourage anyone interested to follow on Twitter and check out the website which will be completely functional next 4 days
Taken just now from dekalb county Illinois. It’s dry here. Is this corn in trouble? Asking cause it looks fairly lush. I’ve seen worse
#corn
#soybean
#oatt
2 years ago I let Twitter decide if I should sell corn at $7.40. I was told we have so many plants coming on line in 2023 we can’t grow enough corn.
Now those same people are saying we have no demand and corn can’t rally.
By the we way I sold it
Trade it don’t marry it
Grain stocks lower than year ago wheat the same. What have prices done ?
Wheat down $3.50
Corn down $1.34
Beans down .65
Must be the inflation. Fundamentals have been tossed out the window
#soybeans
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
The funds are very powerful but they can easily be out traded . There is power in numbers. Through my podcast we are going to create a community that will be able to use the funds, the markets, options as a weapon. I wanted to do this in the late 90s. No time like the present
So the plan is to have a website up asap that will direct you to the educational course I’m recording now. Here are the segments each between 5 and 6 hours of education
1. Basic option theory and understanding
2. Intermediate option strategies and pricing
How pissed is everyone going to be after the Pro Farmer crop tour and the USDA raises corn and bean yields. I can hear it now. It’s coming
#soybean
#corn
#oatt
One thing I won’t do WHEN this market unravels is tell you I told you so. I’ll still try to help anyone interested in my opinion with the new market conditions wherever that is
#soybean
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
For everyone now getting bearish grain. The most accurate yield model last 5 years has corn yield at 171. This should be enough to scare the biggest bear to the sidelines.
I’ve probably been too talkative on Twitter today. I don’t just tweet when I’m right I give reasons why I’m taking a position. Right or wrong. Good news is you don’t have to read them if you don’t want
#soybean
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
Let me make this very clear. Unless funds running the show see a reasons technically (breakdown) to sell they won’t sell period. Which makes this one of the most one sided and unhealthy markets we have seen in a very very very long time
This incident in Poland really stinks.
1. Ukraine air defense missile lands in Poland
2. Zelenskiy claims it was Russian and demands retaliation
3. US sends Zelenskiy another 37b
When are we going to bitch slap Zelenskiy?
#soybean
#ukraine
#corn
#oatt
I mentioned to someone we as traders are more useful to farmers when we get short but the hate we get on Twitter makes you question whether you want to share your reasons or position
#wheat
#corn
#soybeans
#oatt
I don’t have a problem with weather guys being wrong, it’s just as hard to predict weather as it is market direction. My issue is supporting , or worse, defending a model that has 2-3” widespread rains and not one station comes close. The gfs has been questionable for some time
We now produce less Soybeans than Brazil. We continue to reward them with $2 higher prices at harvest im pretty sure they will continue to grow more than the USA.
#soybean
#corn
#oatt
@HuXijin_GT
You are of this warped delusion that the World needs China more than China needs the world. Finish that Great Wall and stay inside and let’s find out
A few years ago beans were 8.75 and corn 3.10. Like today despair set in. Questions were being asked “what could make us rally?” I don’t know but we went to $16 and $7.50. Shoot when you see the whites in their eyes.
The eyes are getting whiter by the day
The day has finally arrived. We are ready to build an army of well educated well informed hedgers speculators and option specialists. My first course on basic options is available at . Join the army and the journey that starts here today!!! Knowledge=power
Using my 171.45 bushels per acre projection, no economic collapse anywhere in the world,peace treaties signed between USA/Russia and China, a resumption of female population growth in China and battle ships converted to freight ships. Dec corn is worth $7.83 1/4
#corn
#oatt
Listening to
@chuckschumer
on this inflation bill. This bill sounds like it fixes absolutely everything AND reduces the deficit. My only question is why haven’t we been doing this for decades?
Answer : It’s another huge lie
I have people pissed off at me calling me a perma bull. Where have they been when I was literally Begging farmers to sell $7.40 corn with me
#soybean
#corn
#oatt
After reviewing the content of my course I’m going to be adding a case study segment on a farming operation and how options can be used under different option pricing scenarios
If your going to laugh and cheer when I’m wrong mock and insult me when you’re right. Please have enough respect not to reach out and ask for option advice
#soybeans
#corn
#oatt
@SpeakerPelosi
There is nothing to gut Nancy. You borrowed against it for so long there is nothing left. Democrats and Republicans alike have been using it as their asset. It’s NOT yours
If China is really going to build an abundance of food (as I suspect they are) we are handing it to them on a silver platter
#soybean
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
I love the guys when corn is at 6.85 say “if corn breaks to 6.30 I’ll buy all they have “
Here is your chance step up and help a brother out
#soybean
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
I’ve been getting a little angry backlash about my stance on the effects of the current weather
I know the crop didn’t finish well and know there has been yield loss. I never disputed that. My concern is it may take some time for the actual damage to be known
I’m shocked by the bearishness of agtwitter. My take is majority of agtwitter are trend followers. Always long on top always short on bottom
#soybean
#corn
#oatt
This mornings move is needed if the bull market is going to continue. It needs pullbacks. Parabolic channels are not healthy. The key is going to be recognizing when this isn’t just a healthy correction but a trend change
#soybean
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
Think the discussion of acres being switched has changed. Give farmers $13.50 beans and $6.10 corn it wont be sacrifice one for the other it will be plant every acre they can find
#soybeans
#corn
#oatt
My recent bullish stance on grains is mainly a technical view. From a fundamental view I have stated that I feel we are headed to much worse outcome than recession. That a depression looks possible. If this plays out everything will get slaughtered
Good news is there is a market for me to do a morning interactive podcast. Better news is the majority want a 10-15 minute interaction so that’s what I will build around. Thanks for the input
#oatt
#soybean
#corn
#oatt
Anyone taking a stab at grain calls for tonight. I’ll start
China still messed up
Nuke site leaking
Brazil truckers/ports all jacked up
Weather starting to gain attention
Higher
#soybeans
#corn
#oatt
Based on the amount of my mulch that has disappeared to high winds, the concentration of dandelions on
#13
at the golf course and the temp over my garage in my bathroom, I have determined the 2023 USA corn yield will be 171.45 bushels an acre
#corn
#oatt
I don’t sell subscriptions I don’t charge brokerage I don’t have customers. Anything I put out out I truly believe in. That’s rare on here
#soybeans
#corn
#oatt
Question for farmers. I was told during one of the 30 dry plantings in the last 30 years that the roots dive deep searching for moisture in dry soil and stay shallow in wet mud. Is this a fact or fiction ?
A lot of articles on the complete devastation of the US crops this morning. I don’t think 172 and 51 is that devastating. Especially with the slow start to demand and high dollar. Am I missing something?
#soybean
#corn
#oatt
I’m going to sound like a broken record. These grains are in a really really tight coil. The breakout if/when/it does happen should be a major move
#soybean
#corn
#oatt
Picking up a rather large bearish undertone for new crop corn and beans. Let’s not forget we are going to have 5 weather events before this thing is put to bed.
Maybe this planting in snow is
#1
and had no effect but there are 4 more to go.Bear boat getting full too early
#oatt
I’ll repeat myself for those mocking me. When your position is 150k and daily volume is 29k, unless you are going to add and support your position getting out of that position is going to be hard to liquidate. Believe me or not
#soybean
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
This will be in my options class I’m going to start recording in the Studio Saturday . If your positioning long options make sure it’s from area of acceleration ie the insurance price levels. Corn will explode if it gets above 5.93
#corn
#wheat
#soybean
#oatt
Hopefully this indictment of Trump leads to exposing every wrong doing of every politician. Start with
@POTUS
the big guy and work your way down.
#drainthecesspool
Well there was no bounce in the corn or beans. Rains this weekend appear to be priced in the market. How much that hits the ground should determine the direction Monday
Bottom line: nothing I say,agtwitter says or any farmer or group of farmers is big enough to influence price. So stick to your marketing and trading rules. Control what you can
#soybean
#corn
#oatt
Hey everyone. Starting soon, I've decided to scale back on tweeting market info. Why? Because I want to prioritize it for the folks who invest in my course! They've shown their dedication, and it's time to give them the edge they deserve
#soybean
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
When I see rain from Nebraska through Indiana from Friday to Sunday and post radar pictures I’m not trying to poke the hornets nest. I’m trying to give you the TRADERS perspective and interpretation. Maybe this was a big miss in CIL. Traders will see this as good coverage
People shaming me for not publishing publicly what I used to saying it’s just a plug for my course and podcast.
It’s about loyalty to the soldiers in the Army. Why should I publish publicly. The knowledge the army is accumulating is making them more profitable I’m loyal to them
3.Advanced option pricing and strategies
4. Technical analysis and what the funds watch
I am also going to do a podcast centered around the content of the course to answer call in questions and start a dialogue on the content
#soybean
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
Hearing a lot of “it’s over” talk. I heard the same thing last year from a lot of the same people. I keep telling myself there are 5 cycles of death to the corn and bean season. We still have 2 to go before “it’s over”
#soybeans
#corn
#oatt
This bar looks very lonely. IN MY OPINION it has to take out that overhead resistance line or it’s toast. I know that’s not popular and I’m going to get everything from belittlement to resistance. It’s just my opinion. Block me if you don’t like it. You get what you pay for
Will commodity markets be on fire with recent world events? Or will they ignore the world conflict escalation once again? Can’t ignore this forever #
#Soybeans
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
No snipping here. Just delete it if you don’t like the camera quality. I hate steep lines but with the size of the fund short this V formation may be warranted
A concerning dry period on the horizon with funds massively short? What could go wrong? Capitulation Friday. Everyone bearish. Maybe we do just break forever but risk from here is definitely higher not lower
Here is another great market moving piece of crap. Rain chances increase from 20% to 35%. The market freaks out. There is still a 65% we don’t get anything
#corn
#soybean
#wheat
#oatt
I understand the trend line argument. To me it’s almost the same as saying one day a man will run the 100m in 8.5 seconds. What is reality is we are penciling in 5 bushels an acre than any recorded yield in history in MAY!!!!!!!
I’m starting to believe Live Cattle should be delisted as futures contracts. The worst trading commodity of the last 6 months by a mile
#cattle
#ags
#oatt
@jonbottiger
There are people after a long successful career do want to give back. They do exist. Coaching Teaching is a passion and building the infrastructure does cost money
This is a complete guess. Tonight’s calls based on the macro event reducing position sizes in commodities
Beans 3-7 higher
Corn. 5-8 higher
Wheat 10-15 higher
Meal steady
Bean oil 30-50 higher
$$$ lower
Stocks slightly lower
Bonds slightly higher
Again just a guess
#oatt
I’m going with higher calls for ag products tonight. Not because the fundamentals (cold dry weather) support it because let’s be honest funds don’t care. I’m calling higher based on very oversold short term technicals and a bounce is needed
#soybean
#corn
#wheat
#oatt
Happy Fathers Day to everyone. About to start recording the second segment of my understanding options and option strategies course. Tight race between intermediate options and technical analysis. Please go to the poll and vote
If it helps Corn is extremely oversold and this is a great spot to get long for a decent bounce. Risking the 200 dma. But trade it don’t marry it. It’s not going to $10
#soybeans
#corn
#oatt
Market up 9 cents youre position is short 10,000 contracts. Risk manager checks in
“ how many you get covered ?”
Trader : “136 contracts. It’s thin in there?”
Risk: how did you get 10,000 shorts on?
Trader: “ it was easy. This is a bit harder. Looking for a dip
$1.20 rally in 3 days. If you are a producer remember how you felt Friday afternoon when you say today we are going higher not hedging anything
#soybean
#corn
#oatt