Blockstart Ventures
@BVmacro
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Blockstart Ventures is multi-strategy investment firm delivering unparalleled market insights, time-proven strategies, using a dynamic global network.
Global
Joined April 2018
Jane Street – Why it deserves Our Gratitude: Exposing the Fragile Underbelly of India's Markets I’ve been watching the markets for years - managing wealth, building portfolios, witnessing booms, crashes, scams, reform cycles, and regulatory knee-jerks. But nothing baffles me
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Stock market is wondering about sustainability of the bull run which is purely driven by AI trade in last 2 years. But openAI raised $40B, Google's Isomorphic raised $600m, Anthropic raised $3.5B in the current market
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After a wild year for Bitcoin and with the Trump administration incoming, the denial about what’s imminent is astonishing. Bitcoin is digital gold, and we’re not going back. Yes, it’s volatile—just like gold was 50 years ago. Long term? UP only. 🚀 #Bitcoin #DigitalGold”
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High skilled immigration has been central to America leading the world in tech. The biggest misunderstand about high skill immigration stems from people thinking that the market opportunities in tech, and tech-adjacent fields, are zero sum. This essentially imagines innovation
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Tulips are not durable, not scarce, not programmable, not fungible, not verifiable, not divisible, and hard to transfer. But tell me more about your analogy...
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We are testing 140 on Yen again. Market may celebrate higher odds of 50bps but Yen carry trade may blow up again if Fed is too aggressive. #yencarrytrade #StockMarketNews $SPX $SPY
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JPMorgan is finding random reasons to write negative reports about Bitcoin. For an event that is pre-programmed and known since inception of Bitcoin, how can it be justified to have a huge price impact after the fact? Miner AISC for gold is $1200-$1300/oz. Why is gold at $2000?
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Great response to our latest offering. Welcome to all new subscribers. https://t.co/hS9U6NDKig
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Our view is still bearish in intermediate term. But we are in oversold market right now and ripe for a bounce $AAPL $MSFT
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2023 has been a "Buy the dip" market while fundamentals have deteriorated all the time. We are finally testing 200DMA today on S&P500 and 3 days of carnage in markets may have given us probably an opportunity to buy the dip at SPX 4230 $SPX $TSLA $NVDA #BTD #StockMarket
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🎥Watch one of the most enlightening talks on how regulations, historically, tend to favor monopolies while curbing innovation. It's a must-see if you want to understand the intricate dance between policy & market dynamics. #regulation #BigTech
https://t.co/ze3v0rgob3
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Beware: soaring IPO valuations might not tell the full story. 📈 As 'cost of capital' rises to levels not seen in decades, businesses tread into uncharted waters. 🌊 It's more than a trend—it's a seismic shift! 🧭 #stockmarketcrash #US10Y Read more @🔗 [ https://t.co/7k2fpNM8pR]
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📉 As China's economy stumbles post-COVID, US tech giants brace for impact. With rising geopolitical tensions and soaring interest rates, could this signal the end of the US tech rally? Read our latest post. 🌐 https://t.co/E6V5FSQORL
#stocks #AAPL #ChinaNews
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📈 Navigating the economic landscape feels like a balancing act, especially with inflation and interest rates in the mix. 📉 🔗 [Read Now] https://t.co/b6zTDy3Ptz
#Economics #Inflation #InterestRates #Substack #BlockStart #FinancialAnalysis
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With most critical tech #earnings behind us, the focus would shift to macro picture again. We have long #bonds yields rising and potentially breaking out in territories where stock valuations may look too expensive. What will drive #StockMarket from here?
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$AAPL iPhone sales slowdown is concerning. But services revenue is higher than all mac, ipad and wearables combined and is biggest growth driver. With margins being much higher on services, AAPL only needs to sustain iPhone market share which improved well this quarter.
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$AMZN showing how they have a cash machine which can be turned on and optimized for profits. Great earnings and they are unstoppable. Guidance for Q3 showing no stresses in the business in this environment.
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Starting a medium term put position in SPY is a great idea around here (SPY @ 456). We can easily get a 5-10% down move in coming days / week. And not much to loose as time premium is not going to degrade fast if you enter options 4-6 months duration. Risk reward seems great!!!
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Put premiums are at all time low probably and multiple factors leading to a potential top. - highest interest rates in 22 years - record quarterly debt issuance coming - 10Y yield ready to break out - stock valuation are at a valuation that can't be supported by the growth
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