
Cycle Bottom
@BULLReturns
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Retiring Investment Manager sharing their 10x10x10=1000 methodology
South East Asia
Joined May 2009
Thought of the day: Return compounding is all about timeframes in #cyclicals, 10x over 5 years reinvested in 10x over 5 years reinvested in 10x over 5 years with 1-2 year waiting between reinvestment = 1000x over 17-19 years. Are you formulating your compounding plan?.
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Low PEs are created by high #commodity spots (scale down indicator), losses are created by low spots (scale in indicator). Overlap sector AISC with Historic Spot commodity charts to provide you a massive competitive advantage.
Buy cyclical stocks during industry downturns. They will appear to be expensive. Most analysts will be bearish. Sell them when they look cheap on earnings metrics and analysts are bullish.
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Emotional discipline near #cyclical lows is in short supply providing us a material competitive advantage.
“Investing is a simple business—it requires qualities of temperament way more than it requires qualities of intellect.”. “You must supply the emotional discipline.”. — Warren Buffett.
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#coal is joining the #commodity upcycle $CKA > 10x from cycle lows.
Here we go again. #coaltwitter $YAL.AX $WHC.AX $SMR.AX $HCC $AMR $BTU #coaltwitter.
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A great incoming tailwind for pre-production #uranium producers with caps < US$120m and AISC < $45. $AEE $FSY $LAM $WUC $GXU $AEC. And where mining ban changes will occur $TOE $CXU.
"We remain really optimistic that when the [uranium] demand starts to come and utilities realize that the volumes they're looking for aren't there. we're going to find ourselves in a very similar situation that we went through in conversion." - Tim Gitzel.
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Independent thought is generally being against the crowd in #cyclicality.
Warren Buffett: "You need a stable personality. You need a temperament that neither derives great pleasure from being with the crowd — or against the crowd.". "This is not a business where you take polls. It's a business where you think [for yourself]."
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