Vance Harwood
@6_Figure_Invest
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Volatility focused investor & consultant. Interests include VIX,VIX futures, ETPs like UVIX SVIX VXX UVXY SVXY ZVOL BITX ETHU. No investment advice
Erie, Colorado
Joined December 2011
Totally normal. I'm sure the fox was somehow "resisting arrest" or "disrupting an official proceding."
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Open interest in VIX futures has never regained their 2017 highs.
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For 2026 I resolve to become a better mother, wife, and friend and a more looming and formidable enemy đĽ
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SPY will go ex-dividend on the 19th of December, with a dividend I am estimating at $2.10 / share. This will be the first time SPY's quarterly dividend has exceeded $2.00 per share. Short-term, short calls that are in-the-money or at-the-money are likely to be exercised on the
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This jagged frontier promotes a disconcerting _personality, Phd level _smarts, can't reliable make simple edits to a 10 page paper, never says "I don't know"
As one of the authors of the original âjagged frontierâ paper, I think this undersells how jagged AI is (& likely will be) at even the level of individual jobs: having a couple of critical tasks that AI canât do creates deep bottlenecks especially as shape of frontier is unknown.
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I use these tools a lot, and they have been a tremendous value to me, both in doing summary style work for things I don't focus on, and for deep learning and analysis on things I am focused on. Other than making best-of-class tools available to their employees, I cringe at the
I think this is quite bifurcated Organizations which sensibly apply basic tools to appropriate problems will benefit a moderate amount Organizations which hire consultants to "help them keep up with the AI revolution" chasing buzzwords will get zero return
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Despite what the CEO says, off hand $PLTR doesn't look like a absurd symbol to short...
It's hard to think of a better reason to short $PLTR than this interview
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Clueless Regression: People, if the data looks like a cloud there is no "prediction" it is just noise. An ordinary linear regression will always produce a regression line, but it might as well be a random pick when the data is this scattered.
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Google $GOOG doesn't currently sell their TPU hardware, you access them via google cloud products. GPT 5 estimates (attached), in a large scale "prompt server" configuration might have a 1.3x to 2x power usage advantage over $ NVDA , sort of a big deal when you are talking
Googleâs TPUs are finally having their breakout moment - a decade after the debut. Anthropic just signed a deal for up to 1 million TPUs - over a gigawatt of compute - making it one of the biggest AI infrastructure agreements to date. âŞď¸ Basically, TPUs accelerate neural
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Market orders trade price certainty for execution certainty, and limit orders do the reverse. Three reasons to not use market orders for options, and two reasons where market orders make sense: 1. With a market order you are not guaranteed to get the bid/ask you see, it can
@6_Figure_Invest Why should you not use market orders for options? If your internal forecast is e.g. above the best ask, you lift it, right?
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If you are interested in understanding more about the "Volatility Surface" associated with option pricing, Kris' post is a gem. https://t.co/iOHncjwtEc He provides some intuition on the dynamics that determine what prices you are actually likely to get filled on with an option
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Dr. Dorigio writes a nuanced and thoughtful essay on LLM and what it means to be human. https://t.co/zcIMjA6L2r Toward the end, he responds to the "Why, they act only on prompts!" objection with, "Yes, they do not have agency, because we did not give it to them yet". I think
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Pretty mind-blowing chart. Initially I thought Nevada looked wrong, I didn't realize Las Vegas was so far south
@VoltaWagen @vontuchman @peterporkka Ei riitä 10. Linkissä esitetty 39 lienee lähellä. Kuva toisesta lähteestä. https://t.co/eR9w486ZMT
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Given the success of 0DTD it seems inevitable that we will see sub-day expiration options before long. Symbols are currently day oriented but corporate greed can overcome a little barrier like that...
Short-dated index options have been one of the fastest growing new financial products introduced over the past few years. These options are often referred to as 0DTE (zero days to expiration), but a better label may be daily expirations. Explore recent $NDX daily expirations
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Trying to solve the problem of a representative set of representatives via geographical districts is essentially an impossible problem. If a less than a 50% fraction of a state's population that has shared beliefs is uniformly distributed throughout the state then it is likely
This is really something. New England's six states vote about 40 percent Republican, and have literally zero republican representatives in Congress.
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Arghh... It is Volatility Shares, not Velocity Shares, old habits die very slowly... my fingers have not got the memo...
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