Shankar Sharma
@1shankarsharma
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The Great Hare.Founder: GQuant & First Global.Early Amazon,Apple investor. Rafi. Jagjit. Sahir. Food. Wine. Coffee. Apolitical.
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Joined January 2015
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Pallavi Joshi and Payal Rohtagi explaining us Defence deals. Smriti ji explaining us the global oil economy, supply demand, outlook. Now waiting for Babul Supriyo's take on US Fed moves and CAD strategy. Priceless.
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I'm surprised why some people consider tobacco& alcohol to be Sin sectors. Sugar is the biggest Sin sector.Sugar via diabetes kills 100x people vs tobacco.
Sugar corrodes every organ.Causes High BP. Cardiac.Neuro.
I cut my sugar to 80 via diet + Berberine. Effect is magical.
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I think Rahul Gandhi has lots of negatives, but gotta hand it to him: he's made of unbreakable steel
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Look around yourself. 99.99% of the people will generally be: lazy, unfocused, random, non-process, non-systematic, non-improving, relying on past laurels, etc.
You just need to be a bit better on these counts, and you will win The Game of Life.
Hands Down.
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Invaluable advice I got from a friend whose office I shared, in '90,as a sub broker.When he saw me trying to save every penny,he told me "Shankar, if you want to get rich, look to increase your expenses, not decrease them. Then your mind will find ways to make money".
Priceless.
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We need to get out of this habit of last ball wins against a low grade team like Pakistan
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Bought this tiny eye drop for 125 AED (RS. 2800!!) in UAE. I thanked Indira Gandhi for bringing the famous Drug Price Control Order DPCO, that made Indian meds cheapest in the world. Created domestic pharma industry. Curtailed price gouging by MNCs. Made us Atma-nirbhar! Vision!
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One reason why I relocated abroad,in 2010, was that I wanted to change my circle of friends & associates.
When you spend all your time with the same people, you stagnate because there is no new thinking. It's same old same old.
Constantly change your environment.
It's Magical
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Around 8 months ago, I started taking Vitamin D3 ( 5000 IUs per day)+ Vitamin K2.
The effect has been miraculous. Calcium has been taken out of my arteries, and into my teeth, as corroborated by my dentist.
Truly unbelievable! Men over 50: this supplementation is a MUST
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After extremely careful evaluation of dozens of EV plays in India, I have finally decided to invest in 2 handpicked EV plays:
One makes seats for EV cars
Second makes Tires for EVs
Am very bullish on EV seat & tire space, and expect multi-billion valuation by Monday.
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I am very upset with the behavior of the Indian stock market. Jab saare Global markets chaley in last 1-2 years, to chala naahi. Aur jab sab doobey, to ee sasura bhi doob gaya. Aisa thodey hota hai bhaiya
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Zomato stock reminds me of what Amitabh Bachchan said in Deewar on hearing news of dad's death:" Mar to woh bees saal pehle gaya tha. Aaj to sirf ussey jalaya ja raha hai".
It was game over on listing itself.
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Portfolio at 32 year High.
Weight at 32 year Low.
Holy Grail of Happiness this Sunday morn
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I have always maintained, for decades, that India is the best country for athletes.
Even 4th place Olympic finishers, become lifelong legends.
Nowhere else
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I feel cheated for Reliance:what Mukesh Ambani has created is a massive tech enterprise,but because it's an Indian company, he's getting peanuts as valuation ($65 bln for Jio).Dozens of US Techs are between $20-200 billion while a fraction of Jio size (egZoom, Shopify). Unfair.
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Indian investors have created a Metaverse, in which markets only go up, and never come down.
In the real world, it's called a mental asylum.
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Rating Downgrade, Minus 50% GDP, large scale hunger,unemployment,
Businesses bust,massive NPAs,China taking 60 sq km,Mkt one of worst in world for years.If MMS had been PM, people would have lynched him Vs Now: widespread support for Leadership.Remarkable. That's why I am a Fan
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One of the tricks to getting Rich is to avoid "middle class thinking".
No matter what anybody says, you will, largely, be judged by this world ( friends, parents, spouse, kids, all), by the amount of money you have.
So, Go , Get Rich.
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Today Imran went from being a Hero to a Superhero. He has come through this as a great grand statesman. Let's see if India can handle a Superhero like him
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If you escape a bear market with low damage, because of smart Risk Management, you are effectively starting the next bull market marathon from the 20th mile
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Bajaj Group has been my and FG's favourite Group for 30 years. Best executors of any business: Autos, Finance, anything.
& have the courage of their convictions, speak their mind.
This ups them 10000000x in my eyes. Baki sab darela party hain
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I really don't understand why Hindutva supporters are up in arms against the Hindenburg Report.
After all, it has the magic four letters in its name: Hind
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Investing without stop loss, is like having sex without protection
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The stock market in India is the only place where you can be data-free, logic-free, fact-free, brain-free, and yet make reasonable/ huge money, relative to the rest of the population
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Most Indian Mutual Funds stayed away from Adani Group stocks, because they were " hard to value","high PEs" "expensive", etc.
And promptly piled into "Impossible to value", "incalculable PE" stocks like Zomato, Paytm etc
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Dhruv Babu, my learning in the last 5 years has been that it IS the highly educated set ( IIT IIM CA, Pvt Sector Execs, Financial Services execs) that is the primary votebank for this bs. Not illiterate village dwellers.
Eating Gobar and drinking Gau-Mutra cured her Cancer 😂😂
Meet Scientest Sadhvi Pragya!
How can any educated and sensible person ever vote for this bullshit?
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Millions of newbie investors have made tons of money in India, last 2-3 years.
This proves one thing: that to make money in markets, you don't need any experience, study ,knowledge, education, temperament.
You just need a Bull Market.
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Whatever anybody says, I have become an optimist on India last 45 days: the kind of discipline shown in lockdown is amazing, way better than the West. All because of one factor: PM Modi. His one call makes an unruly nation, become disciplined. What a leader!! India will win this
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One thing I have found to be generally true, over decades: If the Hindustan Lever stock is doing well, it means that the Indian stock market & economy are totally SCREWED
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ITC mien 15% ka move is like a 1500% move in other stocks...poore desh, specially South India, mien harsh-ullas ka parv man raha hai
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Wealth begets Wealth.
If you want to get wealthy, you have to look wealthy.
Take care of yourself. Dress well. Be well groomed. Be fit. Work on your speech. Work on your knowledge.
Look Sharp.
Look the Part.
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My first big loss was in '98: I shorted Indian IT cos thinking they were v expensive. They kept going up &I lost in double digit crores. It was a brutal life altering exp.But I went back to the drawing boards&analyzed my mistakes& that learning helped me make it back& several…
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For all who lost a ton of money last few weeks, my journey: in '97-'98, lost a huge sum.After a period of despondency,went & bought dozens of books:systems, quant,technical, fundamental. Dived deep. Built tools.
Those tools have made me staggering money since.
Fix your Game. Now.
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Bull markets are low on Learning. High on Earning.
Bear markets are low on Earning. High on Learning.
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I think making Detention Centres was a far sighted idea. India can now use them to quarantine people, in millions. Plus the tight security ( unavailable in hospitals) will ensure nobody can escape.
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Indian audience loves a movie like RRR.
And apparently doesn't like a movie like Lal Singh Chaddha.
Hamara desh waqai badal raha hai...
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I don't think that day is far when every entrepreneur in India will realise that running a business makes little money while investing makes a lot more, more easily.
Hence, we will have 100% investors and 0% entrepreneurs, all playing a video game called " Market Market"
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When growing up in 60s & 70s, in a far more illiterate India, I rarely came across nonsense like Vastu or Godmen/ Gurus. Dad built our house without any clue of Vastu.
It's very surprising that in a more advanced India now , Vastu, Godmen hv been hitting upper circuit non stop
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We can now safely conclude that the stock market economy has nothing to do with the real economy
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Age should be Reverse Compounding
Wealth should be Positive Compounding
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In 1989, when I entered the BSE trading floor, a trader gave me a tip * Buy Rathi Alloys. It's the next Tata Steel". I bought.
Rathi Alloys became the next Lloyds Steel, instead.
Since then, I never buy anything that's the
"Next XYZ".
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Single Party "Democracy"
Single Company " Stock Market"
Kitna sudhar gaya apna desh
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As per news, Prosus has valued Byjus at around $6 billion. It's a huge haircut from previous $22 billion.
But my question is: why even $6 billion? ( Kis baat ka 6 billion)?
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"In order to grow double digit, an economy must first fall double digit": Jon MienHard Canes, 1929
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A. India: Mid-2008: Crashing Stock Market. Booming Real Economy
B. India: Mid-2021: Booming Stock Market. Crashing Real Economy
Which do you prefer. (My choice is kilear).
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One day after Independence, we must remember that among Nehruji's many failures is that he never foresaw the potential of Blockchain, ,AI ML & EVs.
Imagine india's growth if he'd had that foresight
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My article in
@timesofindia
today.
Sadly, my best line was edited out. Here is what I wrote:"The only business case I can make for 8 minute grocery delivery, is condoms at midnight".
Thankfully, they kept my definition of Fintech:
"NBFC+ an App + 2 guys from IIT"
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If ever Test cricket dies, I won't forgive today's generation of T20 lovers.
Just watch India's fast bowling vs England today in the Edgbaston Test. Shami is unplayable. Bumrah & Siraj lethal.
This is REAL CRICKET, bacchha party!!!
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I have complete faith in the official data that India has under 200 C-Virus cases.
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In a country with such an active secondary market for MPs/ MLAs, why hasn't anybody made a Stock Exchange for Buying/ Selling MPs-MLAs.
In a democracy, price transparency is a Must. No?
And a great, moat- business, to boot.
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One thing I am unable to understand: what kind of clients pay their fund managers, fees, to buy HDFC Bank, HUL, Nestle, Kotak, Brittania, Page, etc?
These are decades old stories, with zero incremental analytical surprise/ edge. Phir kis baat ki fees or am I missing something?
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The Beauty of Marketing: If a terrorist attack happens under Congress rule, it's perceived as a " Weak" Govt. If a terrorist attack happens under BJP rule, it's perceived as a " Strong" Govt. This is truly a Marketing Masterclass
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If you need any proof that Wall Street & FIIs know next to nothing about Investing, look no further than their India Selling data in the past 18-20 months.
It takes special idiocy to sell the best ( performing) market in the world.
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The Ultimate Power that Money should give you is:
The Power to Live Life On Your Own Terms.
If it doesn't, it's useless.
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A perfectly good government that managed India's economy the best of any country in the world since 2008, delivered 7 6 % growth with $100 Oil, was sabotaged, ambushed, on the basis of this conspiracy. A gargantuan tragedy for the Nation.
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"The type of stocks you own, will largely determine the kind of life you will have": Shankar Sharma, 2021
For example, if you like ITC stock, your life will be like ITC stock
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I really don't understand why some Indians fear a so-called" Khichdi" government so much. After all since childhood, Docs have given us a khichdi diet whenever we've been ill/ have a tummy upset. It's such a restorative, when you are unwell. No?
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An "Expert" has no right to advise you to Buy Now, if he never advised you to Sell Then
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I do think the criticism of the Govt in "mismanaging" lockdown is unfair. There' s no way you can model for millions to start walking 1000s kms home. My friend's cook walked to Bihar, despite being at a home with food,shelter all. Same with a driver. You can't model irrationality
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Everybody has a strategy to deal with a Bear Market.
Till they get hit by a Bear Market.
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In Fundamental Analysis, there are broadly 4 things to see: ROE, ROCE, Free Cash. Valuation.
In Technical Analysis,it's broadly Supports ,Resistances and Momentum.
But without the key ingredient of Risk Analysis, the first two are useless.
That's my biggest learning in 35 years
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There are few greater pleasures in life than buying a stock at 200, selling it at 100, and then watching it go to 20
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If a Private Sector Bank, with deposits of 2 lakh crs ($30 bln) , goes bust, who bails out its depositors? What happens if there is a run on the bank? These thoughts are keeping me awake at nights, while everybody else sleeps peacefully, lulled by the tax cut placebo
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On Father's Day, I remember my dad's core lessons to me as a kid:
"Son, when you grow up, get suits from Savile Row. Drive a Merc. Drink Dom Perignon.
Never ever fall for that old rubbish: Money is the Root of All Evil. It isn't. It's, in fact, the solution to everything"
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"Jab door gaon mien, koi Promoter raat ko nahi sota hai, uski Biwi kehti hai: Ajee, so jao. So jao, nahi to Hindenburg aa jayega ": from new film: So-ley
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I am extremely happy that the RBI
@DasShaktikanta
and FM
@nsitharaman
did exactly what I tweeted about a few days ago: get private sector banks to cough up cash, towards saving Yes Bank. This is the way the US Fed did it in '08. Kudos!!
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There is only one Breakout Nation.
And that's India.
Pile in.
(End of Investment Advice)
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I am absolutely clear: this isn't a 2008 repeat. This is nothing but a normal correction of a vastly overbought equity market globally. And this also marks the start of a massive relative bull market in Emerging Markets vs Global Equities. Yaad rakhna...
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I find the relentless, non stop criticism of the Stimulus ( haven't heard a single good word), completely misplaced: look, given natl finances, the govt has done the best it can. And India isn't the US. Accept what comes, with happiness & positivity, and stop cribbing
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I'd tweeted a year or two ago, that Netflix was a patta pack stock bcos in a call, they said that India was the market they were betting on, to drive their growth.
Amazon had said something similar too, then.
Any MNC that's betting on India for it's growth/ profit,means game over
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" Ik chaand aasman pe hai, ik mere saath hai". With the beautifully lit Saifee Hospital, in the background, Happy Diwali to all!!
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In investing, your best years for Wealth, start at 50 +.
Ironically, your worst years for Health, also start at 50+
That's why I envy Warren Buffett most for his longevity
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Whatever anybody says, I remain in awe of RSS' ( and BJP's) LT single-mindedness: today's judgement is final proof that if any organisation clearly visualises its goals, and works relentlessly towards it as a unified whole, The Universe will make it happen. We all must learn
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People who prioritize work- life balance in the first half of their lives, have none of the three, in the second half
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" A Bull Market may happen because of many reasons: fraud, central bank manipulation, irrational euphoria, sometimes fundamentals. But a Bear Market is always based on ONLY one reason: Fundamentals": Shankar Sharma, 2000
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All Fund Managers start parroting the same lines in such collapses:" Healthy fall.Valuations reasonable now. Froth is gone. Buy now".How come we never heard them say the opposite,at market tops:"Market toppy, Due for a fall, Valuations crazy, Everything too frothy,take money out"
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Now that we have created a 2 sq mile bull market, I hope and pray for a 2 million sq mile bull market, by reducing Individual taxes, removing LTCG, boosting rural consumption. That will create a true bull market for the masses, not just for the classes.
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I feel insane happiness when a Stock I bought at 100, falls to 70, and then bounces back to 95.
Exactly the way I am feeling about the latest GDP numbers
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True Story:
25 yrs back,I ws sitting with a Co promoter,who said
"I hv this nice little biz, 50 cr topline, highly profitable".
I asked him:"So why u looking worried?"
He said:"Dar lagta hai,kahin Reliance na ghus jaye iss business mien"
25 years on, all promoters saying this
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My definition of a Bull Market: When you invest after researching, you don't make much money.
When you invest without researching you make a truckload of money.
We are clearly in a bull market
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The Big reason why Investors generally mature, at around 45-50, is not because of technical proficiency..
It's because of Emotional Proficiency
You have better emotional control.
You can refuse that extra drink
You can say no to that second helping
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As ITC trades near 10 year lows, ek Magadh Ishtak Exchange ki kahawat yaad gayi:
Buy Wrong
Sit Long
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Yatra:
PE 289
ROE 18
ROCE 26
Profit 7 crores
v/s
Ease My Trip:
PE 49
ROE 46
ROCE 54
Profit 150 crores
What explains this pricing anomaly?
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I see plenty of arrogance amongst many Indians in media & fund management:"We don't need FPI flows. Retail will provide the support ".
Sorry. We need FPI flows. We have a massive, persistent CAD & now, a worrying BOP deficit too.
We need to fund those.
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"Being Bullish doesn't mean being Foolish": Shankar Sharma, 2023
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Celebrating 30 years of Consistent Compounding. Daily returns at 300%. AMZN AAPL HDFC Bank, sab fail. At Joel Robuchon, Dubai. Foie Gras was divine
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@Nithin0dha
Nithin, Please immediately do these ( believe me, medical science has nothing to offer beyond initial hospital care). 1. Get a hyperbaric oxygen therapy chamber and start 1 hour per day. 2. Buy Red Infrared therapy device, available on Amazon ( take around 60 watts or more or ask…
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I really don't know why Regulators around here hate bear markets. Bear markets expose scams. Bull markets keep them hidden. Harshad, Satyam, and now, a massive list of scams/ defaults...all out, thanks to Bear Markets. Bear Markets should be seen as Ethical Hacking
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The nation would get more outraged at a Sachin Tendulkar failure, than it does today at gruesome rapes, calamitous economic decline, and abysmal joblessness
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One company ( I own it) announced a holiday on January 22nd, to enable " employees to participate in temple inauguration", etc.
Stock is up 18% today.
We are truly in a Religious Bull Market
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Remember one simple thing: any issues related to a single company/ group, are exactly that. This doesn't ever extend to any other company or the nation. Focus on fundamentals of your own holdings. Eliminate the noise.
Remember the day Satyam broke: all other IT stocks were UP!!
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" Don't aspire unless you are prepared to perspire": Shankar Sharma, March 18, 2022
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Start ups : " Listed markets simply don't understand how to value new age companies like us".
Question: So why list?
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Losses from Investing are, generally, easily recoverable.
Losses from Trading: almost never...
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When I was younger,losing periods made me become angry at the market & also,at myself. I imagined conspiracy theories,cursed myself for being an idiot,etc
I changed that to positively embracing all losing periods. Treated market like a tough coach.
Never looked back since then!
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Looking at the collapse in net worth of several Richest/ near Richest, folks in the world recently, I am absolutely clear that I don't want to become the richest man in the world
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The long promised, long awaited "double digit" GDP growth numbers will now become reality.
My (personal) GDP growth forecast for next 3 quarters is: + 11%, +12%, +14%, sequentially. Red hot 🔥 growth, up next!!!
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My driver told me that in Bihar and UP, a great preventive for the Virus, is to apply lots of mustard oil to the body ( your body, that is, not a cow's): apparently, the "Viruswa phisal jaat hai shareerwa sey, aur saala andar ghusey nahi sakat hai". Makes sense.
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Absolutely wonderful meeting legendary
@porinju
yesterday over an amazing lunch of prawns, fish, lamb and idea swapping!
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