Looking back, yeah, it’s obvious it would’ve been smart to load up on $BTC, $ETH, or $HYPE at the April lows. But that ship’s sailed… Don’t sweat it though, there’ll be plenty more shots like that. In this post, I want to walk you through the kind of indicators that can flag an

I think the crypto market will clear up after the FOMC meeting. If rates are cut, $BTC gets a breath of fresh air and we see a Santa rally. The move could even extend into Q1 2026, but it all depends on global liquidity, which is already slowing its growth. Also, I don't

What if the bitcoin ETF aggregate cost basis the new bear market floor?

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Most Bitcoin on-chain indicators are bearish. Without macro liquidity, we enter a bear cycle.

$MSTR's mNAV is already near 1x. As $BTC continues falling, mNAV falls with it, which means Bitcoin faces even more selling pressure. Earlier we rallied thanks to MSTR and ETF inflows. Now @saylor isn't buying like he used to and you can see the impact on price. Without a new

btc didn’t dump because of bad news. it dumped because the clock flipped. utc close, new day, new week, new month... and an obscene amount of algos fired almost simultaneously. it’s not traders making decisions, it’s portfolios rebalancing in real time. inventory adjusted.

Coinbase premium is positive for the first time in a month.

Three huge blocks printed on Deribit today via Paradigm, total of 20K BTC notional! Trader lifted a long-dated 100k/106k/112k/118k call condor for Dec ’25. Signal is clear: a structured bullish view - expecting BTC to reach the 100–118k zone, not explode past it. Trade: BTC 26

Got a $3k from Monad airdrop. Now send this VC trash to zero.

I just backtested 10 years of Bitcoin data against 105 financial indicators Only a handful of signals predict BTC 4–6 weeks out, here they are:

#BTC lost the year's VAL support. ETF outflows continue. DXY > 100 and VIX extremely elevated. So there's no reason to buy spot or go long here. Selling pressure will probably continue until the macro picture clears and the selling stops. Also, December rate cut odds are

https://t.co/kKQX6ZVPsV

still pointing towards early december for $BTC past times this setup fired, the lows were swept once more before a meaningful bounce will this sweep happen again? perhaps, but this setup is implying the local lows are in, the next bounce aka "relief rally" should occur from

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Interesting to see that while Bitcoin is down 15% since 10/10, there has been no real capitulation in derivatives since. This is what kept me from buying the dips, as there is just not enough pain to do so. While im absolutely not rushing to buy this since the indicators are

We bought bitcoin every day this week.

100k big figure is the level to overcome, unfortunately the fact that we failed to hold the yearly-rvwap means we're in trouble. I can see a reaction at 93k but usually these breaks below the yearly-rvwap mean at least a year long bear market.

Okay, the situation looks rough and it's not just crypto. VIX is above 21.5, which means equities are suffering too. I think the last hope is a December rate cut and a bounce, plus QE kicking off. Otherwise things are gonna get really bad...