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India and Greece will contribute to the evolution of the contemporary global order - Indian FM @Jaishankar. Interesting. It begs the question, what is the current order and how will the new one differ? #RaisinaDialogue2024

The first quarter of this century is an interregnum -a transition period - uncertainty, conflict, crisis. Punchy start to the #RaisinaDialogue2024

Join me and ⁦@MattLRobison⁩ on his podcast as we discuss what to watch out for in 2024, how to frame the year and how you can best manage it (and realise the opportunities it will bring).

2024 - a perfect storm. That’s not necessarily a dire prognosis. But we’re not going to come out of this year unchanged. Read my article if you want to learn more.

The biggest barrier to change is yourself. So true. Was (is) for me. Is for most of my clients .

I’m honored to moderate my first debate on @OpentoDebateOrg tomorrow @11:15AM ET. Register to hear @PeterZeihan vs. @PeterDiamandis debate - Will the future be abundant? Be there for the live recording, join our chat, and ask the panel your questions here:

Decoupling, war - is it inevitable? Not at all, but it does require a new framing of the US-China relationship

For those not embedded in the tech space @soundboy ‘s @FT piece raises the spectre of a (perhaps the) new geopolitical challenge that should be part of any future analysis. He also explains why this is going to be such a problem for policy makers.

Enjoyed being interviewed on my coaching and advisory business. My best advice for others starting a business - Be curious. Explore. Know that to learn, you have to fail. Don't count 'likes.' Believe in yourself. And most of all, be kind to yourself.

Here in #oxford for the @MarshallAlums Legislative Exchange programme to enhance transatlantic networks and understanding. Privileged to be moderating

So, what strategies are needed to succeed?.

Populism and authoritarianism took a hit in 2022, but democracies are messy. As the US, India and South Africa warm up for their 2024 elections, politics, polices and rhetoric will become more fractious and extreme, and progress will slow.

Power continues to fragment, within states, corporates, and societies, raising complexity. Priorities depend on circumstances and location – climate, culture, food, racism. In this cacophony, as economies slow, expectations will rise for non-state actors to take positions and act.

Geopolitical tensions are spurring regionalisation, most notably in energy markets. Supply chains are shrinking.

A headwind to this global turmoil will be the quiet strengthening of Western alliances.

As the US election cycle gains pace, partisanship will complicate America’s leadership economically and democratically. The states will gain more power which they will apply in differing policy and regulatory directions.

And as the Chinese and US engines of growth slow, global economic momentum will decline, leaving vulnerable countries teetering.

Globally, multinationals will be impacted by the volatility (and broadly negative trajectory) of US-China relations. More companies will pursue a multi-local strategy in response (ie: self-contained value chains in China and its allies, and the West).