WSJ: following the 10 largest 35-day selloffs (this one is ranked 7th), stocks ended up bouncing back in 9 cases. Only 1 turned into a bear market
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@ukarlewitz
Another insightful blog as top callers and uber bears tweet that this is just the start of an epic sell off circa 2008-early 2009. Thanks 4 sharing!
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@ukarlewitz
@edwardnh
Sounds like a lot of the stuff they told us to tell clients in late 2007
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The S&P 500 $SPX has been negative 21 of the last 27 trading days.
You'd probably like to know about all the other times (overlaps included) this has happened in the last 35 years, wouldn't you?
Are you sure?
Fine.
But I warned you.
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@ukarlewitz
How does this not include the 1987 crash or 2000-2002 downturn or 2008-2009? Seems like very narrowly defined criteria, cherry-picked to put forth a bullish narrative.
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@ukarlewitz
@BioValues
February tends to tell you what the year end will be...October is crucial month that can tell you if bear market us starting...if this continue s into q4 then its a bear bear bear
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@ukarlewitz
Yeah it’s the pace of the sell off that converts the bears. Ironically, It’s too bullish unless it’s a developing crash wave... which is ultra low odds atm.
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@ukarlewitz
Days with 2% drops
2004: 0
2005: 0
2006: 0
2007: 11
2008: 41
2009: 28
2010: 10
2011: 21
2012: 3
2013: 2
2014: 4
2015: 6
2016: 5
2017: 0
2018: 10 (so far)
🐻🐻🐻
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