Here's one of my recent projects: The #FPL form & fixture guide. Lots of credit to @petermckeever who used this technique. I wanted to a) learn how it works (so cool) b) use some of my data - FPL stuff Form = xG + xA Fixtures = 538's SPI All fixtures: https://t.co/6ELy881gy4

Here are my updated #FPL GW12 Fixture Tickers, including expected Goals & Clean Sheet Probabilities. CRY move to the top with WOL, MUN, BUR, FUL & LEE in the next six. LIV second with NFO, WHU, SUN & LEE in the next four. BOU, AVL, CHE, MUN with favourable fixtures too ⬇️

West Ham: 🔢 Paqueta, Bowen, Kilman Wolves: 🔢 Munetsi, S. Bueno, H. Bueno Leeds: 🔢 Rodon, Aaronson, Longstaff Burnley: 🔢 Cullen, Anthony, Florentino

Brentford: 🔢 Van den Berg, Thiago, Collins Nottingham Forest: 🔢 Anderson, Gibbs-White, Milenkovic Fulham: 🔢 Andersen, Iwobi, Sessegnon Aston Villa: 🔢 Digne, Watkins, McGinn

Sunderland: 🔢 Xhaka, Ballard, Mukiele Brighton: 🔢 Minteh, Van Hecke, Welbeck Tottenham: 🔢 Van de Ven, Pedro Porro, Palinha Everton: 🔢 Ndiaye, Tarkowski, Keane

Crystal Palace: 🔢 Mateta, Munoz, Richards Chelsea: 🔢 Enzo, Joao Pedro, Cucurella Newcastle: 🔢 Burn, Murphy, Bruno Bournemouth: 🔢 Senesi, Semenyo, Truffert

Man City: 🔢 Haaland, Dias, Doku Arsenal: 🔢 Gabriel, Timber, Calafiori Liverpool: 🔢 Gakpo, Salah, Konate Man Utd: 🔢 Fernandes, Mbeumo, De Ligt

Here are the latest Top 25 #FPL Players based on xPTS and xPTS per 90. PLUS, I added ALL teams, ALL players (min 180 mins), ALL stats in case you are looking for replacement for some of those yellow-flagged players. ⬇️💾 Find your teams below and the best route to points.

Over/under performer - xPTS vs Actual PTS: Van den Berg the most 'unlucky' #FPL player so far, who should have had 17 more pts than he does. Bruno, Mateta, Enzo are other three big names that really should have had more points. All three have favourable fixtures coming up!

#FPL GW12 waiting... here's an updated look at player scoring rates. Haaland on track to challenge Salah's record but it will be hard to continue as a FWD I think! The purpose is to contextualise scoring rates based on past seasons (e.g., 80th pct-ile) & different price points

Who are the unique #FPL players that excel at expected goal involvements & defensive contributions? So far, it's Bruno, Saka, Ndiaye and Aaronson. Last season, Saka had a ~10% CBIT hit rate and 0.75 npxGA, season before ~22% and 0.65 npxGA. Bruno ~35% hit rate with 0.48 npxGA.

I've updated my CBIT Index after #FPL GW11! 👑Senesi back on top after hitting DC points yet again. With Ballard as the top CBIT performer for SUN, Mukiele drops down the rankings. Andersen, Tark, Wieffer remain around the top 10. Everton go into GW12 with the highest xCBITs.

Going back to GW1, Sunderland had the most favourable opening. Liverpool* with one of the toughest. * Losing 5 out of 6 feels worse than losing 5 in 15 (if fixtures were more spread - still underperforming tho!). Chance to turn it around now. More here: https://t.co/xMsitdF53n

📊I've updated my Fixture Bunchiness Index for #FPL GW12. Bunchiness = favourable fixtures with at most one game breaking them up. LIV are the bunchiest team left with two favourable runs in GW12-19 & GW26-32. BRE MCI MUN CHE also bunchy. ARS used up much of their bunchiness.

The international break is also a good chance to check in with my European Football Power Index. For all fans of 🇪🇸 La Liga, 🇩🇪 Bundesliga, 🇫🇷Ligue 1, and 🇮🇹Serie A, here are my latest team ratings for each league.

Here are my latest Premier League Power Index Team Ratings after #FPL GW11. MCI stay top going into the int'break, while WOL are bottom of the pile. ARS and LIV make the top 3 with CHE closing the gap. AVL go into 9th. BOU drop a few places after a few trickier results.

Here are my #FPL GW11 Match Predictions. Expected Goals: 1️⃣ CHE - 2.28 2️⃣ MCI - 2.13 3️⃣ CRY - 1.78 4️⃣ MUN - 1.71 Clean Sheets: 1️⃣ ARS - 57% 2️⃣ CHE - 47% CBITs: Everyone except CHE! Could be a clean sheet light and defcon heavy GW!

#FPL GW10: Latest opponent-adj. team stats Why: facing tough opponents can mean more xG conceded - but how does it compare to expectations? → Expected xG (for/against) = what opponents concede/create, home adv & what a team creates/concedes → The +/- is the diff to actual xG

Here are the latest Top 25 #FPL Players based on xPTS & their corresponding underlying stats (plus a per90 view). Enzo owners will hope for a return against WOL. MOTD did a segment on Calafiori & Timber who continue to produce npxG that's striker-like! Rice also now in Top 25

Here is my #FPL GW10 Updated CBIT Index! Ballard & Wieffer stay top after picking up their DC pts this weekend. Senesi also picked up DC points and is back to third on the rankings. As for fixtures, Everton, Bournemouth & Sunderland are the top three for xCBITs in the next six.

Here are your updated #FPL Fixture Tickers (overall, xG and xCS) for GW11-16. 1️⃣ CHE top of the favourable fixture list with WOL, BUR, LEE, EVE in the next six 2️⃣ BOU with AVL, WHU, SUN, EVE in the next four 3️⃣ LIV fixtures swing after MCI 4️⃣ ARS with SUN, TOT, BRE, AVL and WOL