
Spencer Walsh
@thespencerwalsh
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Managing Member of Kinesic Capital. Formerly Matrix Capital Management and @DodgeAndCox. @Georgetown alum, CA resident, KY native.
San Francisco, CA
Joined June 2010
Bezos: Within 20 years we'll be building data centers in space. Over / under?
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7 people are making $10M+ annually creating Fortnite islands...
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Any read throughs from $KMX to $CVNA? Is CAF slowing going to be reflected in $CVNA's Gain on Loan Sales or no?
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"Collis and Brynjolfsson (2025) estimate that US users would have to be paid $98 to forgo using generative AI for a month."
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Why are $WIX registered users growing 7%, but premium subscriptions declining 1%? Churn from large price increases?
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"The emergence of GenAI changed the course of this case... These remedies proceedings thus have been as much about promoting competition among GSEs as ensuring that Google’s dominance in search does not carry over into the GenAI space." $GOOG $GOOGL
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$INTU “Search and AI traffic is not apples-to-apples. The AI traffic tends to be much higher consideration and converts order of magnitude better through the funnel."
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Anyone else in payments other that $V and $MA increasing their take-rates?
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$AMZN AWS backlog growth (YoY): Q2 24: 19% Q3 24: 23% Q4 24: 14% Q1 25: 20% Q2 25: 25%
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Am I reading these $MSFT disclosures correctly? ~$1.9B in CY Q2 losses on equity method investment in OpenAI / 49% ownership stake = ~$3.8B in total Q2 losses for Open AI. x 4 = ~$15B in run-rate losses for OpenAI?
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AI use cases according to earnings calls & conference presentations:
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...but I am sure I am missing many. If you submit an extraordinary business via the form below, I will share with you via email the full list and report on the world's most extraordinary businesses once it is complete. Thank you! https://t.co/IHzKIFD2yn
docs.google.com
If you submit a business I am not currently aware of, or submit a thoughtful response on a company I already know of, I will share with you via the email the full list and report on the world's most...
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I've been compiling a list of the world's most extraordinary businesses: - winning product/service - outsized ROIC - high revenue retention - pricing power - large market opportunity - strong moat - limited customer concentration - global expansion - aligned management
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