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@take_gains
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. Crypto Macro Degen . ML Model Analyst . NFA . https://t.co/gjfKWioPm9
تحقيق الأرباح
Joined February 2021
Bitcoin Post-Halving Breakdown What’s Next? 🧵. 1/ 2012 Halving.$BTC climbed from $12 to $1,100 in 13 months, kicking off a major bull run. 2/ 2016 Halving.Gradual rise, with the big gains coming ~17 months later. Peak hit near $20K. 3/ 2020 Halving.Quiet start, then a surge to
Past cycles show that Bitcoin's biggest price surges usually kick in around 6-12 months after the halving, with peaks hitting 13-18 months out. If history repeats, we’re looking at stronger gains ahead, possibly peaking between April and November 2025. $BTC
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Last time we tapped said EMA was 56 days ago.
Bear flag intact. Daily 100 EMA creeping toward 113.3k. If price taps 113.3k → expect a bounce. If that bounce fails → 102.8k (Daily 200 EMA) opens. If 113.3k holds → squeeze back toward 117k+. Simple levels, simple plan.
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Bear flag intact. Daily 100 EMA creeping toward 113.3k. If price taps 113.3k → expect a bounce. If that bounce fails → 102.8k (Daily 200 EMA) opens. If 113.3k holds → squeeze back toward 117k+. Simple levels, simple plan.
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Variance makes all the difference, now we’ve got a baby bear flag forming inside the bigger bear flag. These tend to come in threes (not always), and a break below 15.4–16.2 wouldn’t be constructive for the LTF.
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You stare at enough charts and eventually something changes. In the beginning it’s mechanical, counting ticks, measuring candles, checking every indicator like you’re doing long division. Then your brain rewires. You stop seeing random bars and start seeing structure. Patterns.
It’s neither bull nor bear, it’s seeing the market for what it is. Let the noise from both sides be a tool, not the driver of your conviction. Level-to-level on the scalps, bullish in the long game, and when that final wave hits sooner than later, the TL will cry.
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Looks like sellers exhausted into support, buyers are trying to step in, but momentum is still fragile, it’s more of a reaction bounce than a confirmed reversal yet.
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It’s neither bull nor bear, it’s seeing the market for what it is. Let the noise from both sides be a tool, not the driver of your conviction. Level-to-level on the scalps, bullish in the long game, and when that final wave hits sooner than later, the TL will cry.
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Not going to lie, this is shaping up like a bear flag toward 115,400.
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GM. Pull up the chart, anchor to Monday, July 14, 2025, at 10:00 AM PST and tell me if you see what I see.
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GM. Pull up the chart, anchor to Monday, July 14, 2025, at 10:00 AM PST and tell me if you see what I see.
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Now you can thank all the bears who told you it was over and pushed you to sell, they kept the entries clean. But it’s also a good time to start taking some targets.
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Shhh.
If we break and hold above 116,850–117,200 with vol& OBV confirmation, momentum can push toward 121k–125k, if buying accelerates 129k. If we fail and lose structure, first stop is 110k, then 106–104k, with 101k-98/6k as deeper support if selling accelerates. Daily close will.
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gm, see tweets with 50+ likes and just one comment? And they’ve been wrong the whole time? . That’s manufactured clout. Pay attention to that if you follow traders or “gurus.”.
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RT @take_gains: The market’s like a bitch in heat. Flash a breakout or dump a fake breakdown, and suddenly everyone’s trying to ride it, ch….
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RT @take_gains: Lmao these guys have been calling the top nonstop, wrong every step of the way, but they still log on acting like market au….
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This.
Simple take we’re not below 90K, 80K, or 70K. We’re literally ranging between 112K and 115K. Couple days ago, I said if we lost 112K weekly and 109K daily, 96K-98K opens up. We didn’t. Price held. Still intact. But somehow, folks out here acting like the bull run ended.
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