sunfish
@sunfishposting
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creative development, agent design, markets, macroculture
Joined December 2023
be careful everyone, I heard they're doing mandatory Meyers-Briggs testing at the intersection of art and technology today
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Your abstractions: - unnecessary - ugly - contrived - masturbatory My abstractions: - inspired - elegant - ergonomic - obvious in retrospect
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Your post-woke Hypermasculine Surveillance State, sir:
When @dfriedman33 discovered a Goodreads page tied to the email of a top Pentagon official featuring books on “Asian wife sharing," he did what any reporter would do: ask the Pentagon questions. The next day, a threatening email from Jack Posobiec arrived.
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A delivery robot that dumps single use wearables and lithium ion batteries directly into the ocean for you. Who is building this?
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Wow, OK, not sure why everyone is upset at my new startup offering binary options on which races have to pay more at checkout...? I'm literally providing actionable market insight?
Instacart, $CART, is charging different prices to different customers on the same grocery items in the same stores, per NYP.
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Everyone is mad at my startup, “the Worldcoin orb for anal prints” The seed round is 100000% oversubscribed
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Aggressively soliciting sports betting to people who have just ordered food inside of a delivery app may be the darkest pattern I have seen yet. Comically, cartoonishly evil. I WILL shoot myself if I miss this free parlay Kevin Hart is offering me AND the McChicken is wet
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Very pleasantly surprised albeit a bit shocked that the latest article found an audience, thank you. I'll be writing and creating more in the "slightly ominous, vaguely taboo, dubiously sane" niche where markets, culture, and t*chnology sit uncomfortably close to one another.
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I got beat up by a bunch of teens at the mall because they said my thinking wasn’t rhizomatic enough
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@f4micom One small silver lining of the Trump presidency v2 is that every ~10th policy decision he makes gets freerolled across the political compass in the most confusing way possible
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If you made it this far, thanks for reading. I wrote this, not an LLM. you can tell because of the shit quality. I'll be regularly writing about topics in this niche, whatever "this" is. (Markets, culture, futurism, speculation, etc) Some upcoming deep dives you can expect: -
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As someone who learned about prediction markets through "Mr. Beast Mention Markets" and "WNBA Dildo Controversy", it was eye opening to understand the intellectual roots of the "idea futures" concept, to say the least. These posts barely scratch the surface of the weird shit I've
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Charles Polk, then-president of Net Exchange, built a website to promote PAM in 2003. Faint sample screens in the background included - as "colorful examples" - the assassination of Arafat and a North Korean missile attack. Two Democratic senators, Ron Wyden (D-OR) and Byron
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By 2002, the "Policy Analysis Market" (PAM) was gearing up to actually launch the following year. It would focus on 8 countries: Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Turkey. There were five indicators for each country per quarter - Military activity,
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Enter the GOAT of prediction markets - @robinhanson. (Stay tuned for a deeper profile on Hanson's research. It's never been more relevant or necessary to revisit, imho) Hanson, father of the term "futarchy" and "idea futures" researcher since 1988, saw the call for proposals and
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In May of 2001, DARPA began soliciting proposals for "Electronic Market-Based Decision Support", describing, literally, prediction markets. Michael Foster (who ran the NSF quantum computing program) convinced DARPA to fund prediction market research a year prior. Earlier, he
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In 2003, US feds wanted you to bet real money on an official, government run "terrorism futures market" to help predict attacks in the Middle East. This 8-figure, taxpayer funded experiment was almost 20 years early to modern prediction markets (and their moral hazards). 🧵⬇️
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