parker fleming
@statsowar
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football • economics • data science
Somewhere, USA
Joined October 2018
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say what you will about boise state, but they have consistently been at the frontier of some of the nastiest work in college football
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Missed a golden opportunity to highlight the fact that Aaron Rodgers 100% doesn't trust bluetooth to not mess with his brain.
Aaron Rodgers can’t afford AirPods after taking his pay cut. Gotta feel for the man.
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I can't wait until on the third day, we go back and see that the toaster is empty.
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you'll never be her
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BREAKING: A flurry of transfers underscores just how bad the culture is at your rival program. Meanwhile, your coach is productively churning the roster to bring in "his guys".
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College football is more than a development league for the NFL.
With National Championship hopes gone, Caleb Williams should consider sitting out the rest of the season.
The Heisman is a long shot, CFB Playoffs are even less likely, and he won’t play in the bowl game.
The risk of playing FAR outweighs the reward. Business decision.
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Why even play the games? Just let Vegas decide the winner and we can all save some time.
Nick Saban speaks again on the CFP system👀
"But do you really get the best teams? When they told me that we would be favored against 3 out of the 4 teams that got in the playoff, I’m like, why aren’t we in the playoffs?”
(via
@JoelKlattShow
)
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The Wyoming Cowboys have an opportunity to do the funniest thing ever.
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BREAKING: Your team's QB has been turning some heads during camp. He's spinning the ball as good as anyone has seen in quite a few years.
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Iowa gives up 30+ and the under still hits?
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yeah
Multiple people have told me Texas redshirt quarterback Arch Manning will not opt into EA Sports College Football 25. I'm told Arch is focused on playing football on the field.
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If you hate realignment, it is your civic duty to watch the G5 with passion this fall.
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the famous idaho potatoes mascot better put himself in a damn air fryer after the game next year and let the winning team eat his fries
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Analytics are flawed because they can't account for me judging every result in hindsight
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Just saw a Fall Out Boy College Football ad on TV.
We are so back.
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BREAKING: Your head coach "really loves the intensity" at fall practice. There have been some scuffles, some guys a little hyped up, but the energy is good: "These boys are ready to hit somebody in a different color uniform."
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Y'all, don't worry. Mississippi State losing to Texas Tech doesn't reflect poorly on the SEC; the Bulldogs could've won, they just didn't want to be there.
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Texas and Oklahoma leave for the SEC and neither of them can even make the Big 12 Championship game.
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Consider this your periodic reminder of how absurd it is for college football - a sport played outside on Saturdays in the fall - to play its national championship in an NFL Stadium on a Monday night.
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less what
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watching the first six innings of a college baseball game
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Dad, what was college football like before the TV execs and congress got their hands on it?
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everyone report this as misinformation and for disrespecting kickers
15/15 👏
@UMichFootball
's
@blake_corum
is the only FBS player to score in EVERY game this season 🔥💪
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Please respect my privacy as I consider next steps.
Ohio State has dismissed special teams coordinator Parker Fleming.
Also hired Matt Guerrieri to replace safeties coach Perry Eliano.
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I miss the good old days before NIL, when no college football players were ever compelled to choose schools by money.
Rep. Rick Allen (R-Ga) wants to get college football back to "some normalcy" and that means reverting to "amateurism," he says. He also "wants the ball back" in the NCAA's court.
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Did We Really Get Beat That Bad?
Net Success Rates in Week 8
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Have decided that Texas A&M beating Alabama is the funniest possible outcome for this entire college season.
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AP Voters: Nothing's stopping you from ranking Tennessee first and TCU second. Try it, it's free.
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Just a quick note: if you watch Dolphins-Jets instead of UTSA-Tulane or Missouri-Arkansas today, you're part of the problem. This act of aggression cannot stand.
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(Except when it's Ohio State on its 3rd quarterback, huh?)
Unfortunately significant injuries impact teams as much as head to head matchups and conference championships. You can’t ignore the impact the loss of Jordan Travis had on the Noles. Sucks..but big part of a teams final evaluation
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Big 12 QBR in Week 3
98.4 Dillon Gabriel, Oklahoma
70.6 Kedon Slovis, BYU
67.7 Timmy McClain, UCF
66.8 Jalon Daniels, Kansas
66.6 Chandler Morris, TCU
65.0 Will Howard, Kansas State
61.6 Emory Jones, Cincinnati
61.4 Quinn Ewers, Texas
61.0 Rocco Becht, Iowa State
39.4 Sawyer…
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Did We Really Get Beat That Bad?
Net Success Rates in Week 3
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Did We Really Get Beat that Bad?
Net Success Rates in Week 4
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Did We Really Get Beat that Bad?
Net Success Rates in Week 5
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TCU just played an entire half without its three best offensive players on the road against a rival and won.
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Big 12 QBR in Week 1
97.1: Dillon Gabriel, Oklahoma
96.6: Emory Jones, Cincinnati
87.4: John Rhys Plumlee, UCF
82.7: Jason Bean, Kansas
69.5: Blake Shapen, Baylor
66.2: Will Howard, Kansas State
66.1: Tyler Shough, Texas Tech
64.5: Donovan Smith, Houston
59.6: Chandler…
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Dear Cincinnati: do not score 55 points in a win this weekend. Trust me.
Signed,
TCU fans
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🏈DID WE REALLY GET BEAT THAT BAD?🏈
Net Success Rates in Week 11
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Did We Really Get Beat that Bad?
Net Success Rates in Week 6
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Checking back in on college baseball, here's team strength for all 64 teams in
@d1baseball
's latest projected Field of 64.
🟢⬆️ Better Pitching (lower wOBA allowed)
🟢➡️ Better Hitting (higher wOBA for)
It's
@Vol_Baseball
's world; everyone else is just living in it.
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Did We Really Get Beat that Bad?
Net Success Rates in Week 2 Games
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SEC QBR in Week 1:
97.2: Conner Weigman, Texas A&M
95.9: Jaxon Dart, Ole Miss
94.4: Jalen Milroe, Alabama
82.1: KJ Jefferson, Arkansas
70.8: Payton Thorne, Auburn
68.3: Joe Milton, Tennessee
66.8: Brady Cook, Missouri
62.0: Carson Beck, Georgia
57.6: Jayden Daniels, LSU
51.3…
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just gonna delete whichever JJ McCarthy tweet isn't true, and the share the hell out of the other one to make it look like im a genius. Am i doing draft twitter right?
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good word, kirk
Just win out. Who gives a shit where anyone is till December.
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Liberty had 75 yards on its opening possession and has 105 on 5 possessions (not including end of half) since.
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They're charging, Kevin. It's literally in their name.
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"there are too many bowls"
"no one cares about these games"
The Pop-Tarts Bowl between Kansas State and NC State drew the largest audience of ANY bowl game so far — averaging 4.3 million viewers on ESPN.
(h/t
@paulsen_smw
)
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Michael Penix's 47.2 pass grade (per PFF) was his lowest in a single game at Washington.
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Shoutout to my new neighbors who moved from California, paid 100k over asking price, and have spent the last two weeks doing non-stop construction to completely gut and refurbish a house that was built in 2017. I'm sure we're gonna have a lot in common.
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following recruiting closely is just astrology for men
you know a long time ago I decided to believe a recruit would show up when they were in uniform on the field and that's never steered me wrong
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Probability of Making the CWS, 10000 Sims
Wake Forest 44.7%
Vanderbilt 35.6%
Florida 35.1%
LSU 32.3%
Virginia 30.4%
Kentucky 30.0%
South Carolina 29.5%
Tennessee 28.9%
Alabama 26.9%
Miami 26.8%
Stanford 25.0%
Clemson 24.1%
Coastal 22.9%
Duke 22.5%
Arkansas 22.2%
Auburn 19.0%
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put it in the toaster
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cannot imagine being a journalist and not being able to come up with a question for every coach
New Charlotte head coach Biff Poggi had a message for the media at AAC Media Days: "That's it, 3 questions? Maybe that's because you have us ranked last, that's all what you think of us. So, we get that message, thank you." 😳
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Preseason polls are just Big Game Boomer lists with worse formatting.
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A look at what QBs were asked to do and how they did in 2023
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SEC QBR in Week 2
93.5: Spencer Rattler, South Carolina
89.6: Jayden Daniels, LSU
84.7: Will Rogers, Mississippi State
83.5: Conner Weigman, Texas A&M
72.5: AJ Swann, Vanderbilt
68.2: Jaxon Dart, Ole Miss
67.3: KJ Jefferson, Arkansas
65.7: Jalen Milroe, Alabama
63.8: Brady…
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The incentives are now clear: Florida State should've lied and said Travis would be back for the playoffs.
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Big 12 QBR in Week 4
96.2 Quinn Ewers, Texas
89.8 Chandler Morris, TCU
86.9 Rocco Becht, Iowa State
85.4 Jalon Daniels, Kansas
81.0 Will Howard, Kansas State
75.5 Timmy McClain, UCF
70.3 Dillon Gabriel, Oklahoma
69.3 Donovan Smith, Houston
66.7 RJ Martinez, Baylor
59.2…
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The Heisman argument between Nix and Daniels is pretty straightforward: most of the Nix crowd seems to be trying that Nix *could* make those deep throws, but he doesn't have to. The Daniels argument is that he *is* making those throws, plus running like a madman. I really think…
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Don't let today's realignment news distract you from the fact that Texas lost at home to Kansas in football last fall.
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The transfer portal is killing college football.
The team meeting was very short. Jedd Fisch walked in, said that he’s leaving for Washington and left. Players are not happy.
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We really haven't appreciated how embarrassing losing to Colorado in Fort Worth is.
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Did We Really Get Beat that Bad?
Net Success Rates in Week 9
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781
Nick Saban in 2012: "...is this what we want football to be?"
2021: 30 active Alabama players on the offensive side of the ball in the NFL; three starting quarterbacks.
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College Football's Most Efficient Teams
🟢⬆️➡️: Good Offense, Good Defense
🔵⬆️⬅️: Good Offense, Defense Needs Work
🟡⬇️➡️: Bad Offense, Good Defense
🔴⬅️⬇️: We're Trying Our Best!
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Finally, TCU gets a chance to avenge the 2016 Liberty Bowl.
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This is not even close to Mid-American. Words used to mean something.
Sources: University of Massachusetts is set to join the MAC conference in all sports for the 2025-26 season. MAC presidents voted to invite the UMass as a new member today, and UMass is expected to accept.
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Did We Really Get Beat that Bad?
Net Success Rates in Week 10
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The ads to football ratio continues to climb, and countless words will be spilled telling you it's not less football.
BREAKING: College Football is expected to add 3 new things,
@RossDellenger
reports🔥
• Helmet communication
• Tablets on sideline/halftime
• 2-minute warning
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Got to be hard to stomach that all Tennessee had to do this season was "not get blown out by South Carolina" and they would've made the CFP.
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Y'all, don't worry. Missouri losing to Army doesn't reflect poorly on the SEC; the Tigers could've won, they just didn't want to be there.
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Yes, tune into Fox for these two equally important and storied games.
Colorado at TCU. Ohio State at Michigan.
The biggest games of the season are on FOX 🍿🏈
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this is why tracking turnover-worthy plays is important
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SEC QBR in Week 3
96.9 Conner Weigman, Texas A&M
95.3 Jayden Daniels, LSU
91.6 Graham Mertz, Florida
91.5 Jaxson Dart, Ole Miss
87.5 Devin Leary, Kentucky
79.9 Payton Thorne, Auburn
79.5 Carson Beck, Georgia
72.1 Spencer Rattler, South Carolina
64.2 Brady Cook, Missouri…
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BREAKING: Sources confirm that the officiating crew from Saturday was out to get your team, and new documents reveal that your rival is in fact conspiring to injure the opposing teams' players.
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this probably all ends with alabama beating texas in the most-watched college football game of all time, yeah?
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I think it's a testament to the new OT rules that there is a pretty solid argument for taking the ball or kicking first, and that's pretty neat.
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SEC QBR in Week 4
96.7 Spencer Rattler, South Carolina
90.4 Brady Cook, Missouri
86.0 Joe Milton, Tennessee
85.4 Jayden Daniels, LSU
83.9 Carson Beck, Georgia
78.6 KJ Jefferson, Arkansas
70.2 Jaxon Dart, Ole Miss
64.0 Jalen Milroe, Alabama
54.1 Will Rogers, Mississippi…
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I'm opting out of doing everything in my power to hollow out the lower levels of college football and then disparaging college kids who make decisions according to the incentive structure I've helped create.
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College Football's Most Efficient Teams through Week 4
🟢⬆️➡️: Good Offense, Good Defense
🔵⬆️⬅️: Good Offense, Defense Needs Work
🟡⬇️➡️: Bad Offense, Good Defense
🔴⬅️⬇️: We're Trying Our Best!
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The TCU Fightin' Horned Frogs are playing for a national championship.
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One G5 team sneaks into the Playoff and the major conferences immediately go to DEFCON 5.
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Big 10 QBR in Week 1
95.4: JJ McCarthy, Michigan
86.4: Taulia Tagovailoa, Maryland
86.0: Drew Allar, Penn State
81.9: Gavin Wimsatt, Rutgers
79.2: Luke Altmyer, Illinois
78.1: Kyle MCord, Ohio State
66.4: Hudson Card, Purdue
60.6: Noah Kim, Michigan State
53.1: Athan…
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My initial thought is that surely there are multiple kickers who scored every game, right?
15/15 👏
@UMichFootball
's
@blake_corum
is the only FBS player to score in EVERY game this season 🔥💪
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Even the nugget of the possibility of the idea that not having TCU's signs was the difference for Michigan in the Fiesta Bowl is extremely funny.
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Oregon is going to drop in polls tomorrow, but they really shouldn't.
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A quick reminder to all that unless two teams wear the exact same colors, every college football matchup should feature team color jerseys.
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Yes, this is smart. Everyone remembers TCU getting slaughtered in the only Playoff game they played last year.
Condolences to Florida State. They were fantastic. But blame no further than TCU! If they hadn’t gotten destroyed 65-7 in a nat’l title game last year, things may have been different. But we don’t need the potential of another slaughter because FSU doesn’t have a QB. Could not…
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Wake Forest:
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Still thinking about how a vibe shift took TCU from 5-7 and bowl-less to 12-1 and the Playoff with a Heisman finalist.
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