Fascinating analysis of the current electoral landscape in the UK featuring a line from our director @AaronIftikhar - the Reform base is real and growing, presenting a challenge for both Labour and the Conservatives

Interesting analysis of the upcoming German election by @OwenWntr featuring some of our data! For more on the election see our recent Election Note:

How did we uncover the secrets of a great traitor? 🕵️‍♀️ After The Traitors final, we ran a conjoint experiment: we showed people pairs of hypothetical traitors, asked who’d be better, and repeated hundreds of times. The result? A deep dive into what viewers value most. 🤔✨

@BBC @ClaudiaWinkle @studiolambert @the_traitors_ @scottygb

What makes a good traitor? 👀 We asked, you answered: #Traitors viewers say Deceptiveness and Charisma are the ultimate must-haves. Forget strategy—it's all about the mind games. 🕵️‍♂️✨

Fragmentation— on the right from Conservative to Reform, on the left from Labour to Green—is evident across all ages. The growing demand for alternatives isn’t just a youth phenomenon; it’s reshaping UK politics. 🗳️

Has Reform surged among young voters since the 2024 election? Recent YouGov polling shows a 14% lead over the Conservatives, but a closer look reveals their gains among young voters are in line with other age groups—and smaller than among the oldest.

In fact, from 2019 to 2024 Reform saw its smallest gains among young voters, with older groups driving its growth.

Reform edged out the Conservatives among 18-24s in 2024, and polling suggests they are increasing their advantage. But this is not definitive evidence that youth voters are disproportionately shifting to the anti-establishment right.

In 2024, 18-24s made up a smaller share of right-wing voters (Conservative + Reform/UKIP) than in any of the past four elections, showing no significant shift toward the right among young voters. 📊

Are young voters leading the charge for Reform? Despite reports of a rightward shift among 18-24s globally, UK polling paints a different picture. In 2024, turnout dropped, and both left and right lost ground as more young people stayed home. We dive into the evidence 👇

We've teamed up with @ACCAction to bring new insights on how climate change is shaping voter priorities in the upcoming election. See our data & analysis that could influence key decisions at the ballot box below!

Explore all these results, by state or by county, at your leisure in our interactive dashboard here!

RFK Jr. would get 6.5% of the vote and, although no states change hands when he is added, Biden’s lead in key battleground states increases, particularly in Arizona, Nevada and Wisconsin.

The results show that the election will likely be decided by a handful of votes in key battleground states: if Trump were to overturn Pennsylvania alone, he would be the one who wins a second term in the White House.

Our latest MRP model projects 287 electoral college votes for #Biden against 251 for #Trump, with the current president leading by less than 1% in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

As covered in the Daily Mail, Stack’s latest MRP model shows Biden would narrowly win against Trump if the presidential election were held today. This poll is among the most comprehensive of the race to date and follows our first MRP of the cycle, released in November last year

A few months out from the European elections, FdI still holds a strong lead in our Italian EP vote intention. Interesting find is that we currently estimate IV and +E to finish just above the electoral threshold of 4%

Our likely voters polling for the European Parliament elections in Germany showing further decline for the AfD, potentially hinting that the party will face greater challenges in mobilising their electorate for European elections than previously thought🤔

New @ukonward report: Reality Check - what voters really think about immigration by @jim_blagden With migration becoming a top public priority again, we've worked with @StackStrat to examine the debate on control vs. reduction of numbers. Highlights 🧵