Some slides of a presentation on US politics, democratic backsliding, and Trump that I will give to a group of German investors on Thursday.

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I nonetheless agree that the statistical pattern stands out and could use some rigorous political science research. (6/6).

In addition, the Trump presidency was fresh in Democrats’ minds in the 2020 presidential election and could well explain the extreme turnout. (5/6).

For example, the cost of voting was much lower in 2020 as compared to any other election because of much more lenient vote-by-mail and early voting rules, and especially Democratic voters made use of these opportunities. (4/6).

Also, how can one possibly think there are no plausible alternative explanations for this pattern? (3/6).

If it was stolen, why did more than 60 judges (including many Republican and Trump appointed judges), and a large number of independent researchers (e.g., , not find any evidence for large-scale voter fraud? (2/6).

Many Trump supporters on this platform seem to assume that the fact that Biden won ~15M more votes than any other Democratic candidate in recent memory can clearly only be explained by widespread voter fraud in the 2020 presidential election. (1/6)