Kevin McCarthy is in serious trouble as a candidate for Speaker. Let me explain. 🧵 1/x

It starts with the fundamentals. The vote for Speaker is not behind closed doors. It is on the floor of the House of Representatives. There is no lying back home about how one voted. And all Dems vote against the GOP nominee, always. 2x

House conservatives will not need a majority to prevail. They merely need to block & veto until they get an acceptable candidate. Exactly how many depends on the final slim majority, but it will not be a lot. 3/x

In other words, the fundamentals present a cartel-busting vote, and all you need is a few members to go public. We already have that in @mattgaetz @bobgood @chiproytx . That number will grow as members come off the trail. The trend lines are already in our direction. 5/x

Today is for thanking those already gone public. Build the numbers of members who want change & publicly say they are against McCarthy today. Talk of the replacement candidate comes next & at the moment, thwarts the momentum needed to build the fight 6/6

@russvought This tweet is unclear but Vought is referring, when he describes a "cold civil war", to a three way political civil war in the US between MAGA and RINOs on the right and Dems on the left. It's not a *cold* civil war Russ, it's a white hot *political* civil war. Do better.

@russvought AKA "All investigations all the time." Americans -- liberal and conservative -- overwhelmingly want cooperation and compromise. We're going to get Matt Gaetz.

@russvought @ColumbiaBugle John Boehner, Paul Ryan, Kevin McCarthy...they are candies in a Pez dispenser. They all look the same, talk the same, taste the same. I don't want more of the same.

@russvought @ColumbiaBugle Kari Lake for House Speaker!

@russvought McCarthy will win, and it won't even be close. The guys you've mentioned will influence no one. I don't like it, but that's what's going to happen. @RemindMe_OfThis in 2 months

@russvought You're not in a cold civil war. You're in a hot war with reality.

@russvought Trump is the one who has to explain his behavior..

@russvought It’s ok to ask for help. You’ll be ok.

@russvought Cold civil war? Why do you hate America so much? Is it because you wanted to end American democracy and install a 1 party authoritarian rule, and failed? Because, I gotta say, that's what it sounds like.

@russvought I know the base gets off on the civil war crap cosplay, but the vast majority of America is totally uninterested.

@russvought This tweet alone ought to make every "Christian" fall to their knees and repent of their lust for this kind of politics that is 100% counter to everything Jesus was.