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@rh10_X
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whaaat?! +184% from my tweet.Not bad. Doing nothing for now.Just waitingđ
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One reason I like @Polymarket : it behaves more like an exchange than a betting site. You're not betting against a house. You're trading with other participants. There's no bookmaker setting odds. Prices move only when someone is willing to buy or sell at a different level. That
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High probability â good price. And @Polymarket makes this mistake feel very "safe" Here's the math most people ignoređ If you buy YES at 90Âą,you're risking 90 to make 10. That means you need to be right ~90%+ just to break even-before fees and slippage. High-probability
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A few things about Polymarket. @shayne_coplan built Polymarket not as a betting platform,but as a tool to measure reality more accurately than headlines,polls or loud opinions. His idea was simple,yet uncomfortable: markets aggregate information faster-and more honestly-than
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5⣠@Polymarket buttons most users donât even know exist Polymarket looks simple-but thatâs deceptive. Under the surface, there are tools that completely change how you manage riskđ 1. Order Book Shows where real liquidity sits. The price you see is just the last trade-not
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3 things I always check before making a @Polymarket prediction: âThe rules-they decide more than the odds. âMispriced ranges-value hides where people donât look. âCrowd bias-if everyone agrees,I double-check the opposite. Simple routine,but it filters out most bad
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Iâve checked all Powell markets today on @Polymarket , and honestly-most of them feel like traps. Especially the Inflation ones. The rules literally remove half of the usual phrases he uses. But thereâs one term that Powell repeats almost every conference,no matter the topic:
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Recap of yesterday on @Polymarket : Trump PA speech-3/3 hits (Biden 7+, Inflation 7+, China 5+). That set returned approximately +59% ROI. Champions League-1/2 (Atletico hit, Inter didnât). Total result for the day: +29% ROI across all predictions. Not bad for one night of
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Last one for todayđ Trumpâs December 9 Pennsylvania appearance is officially billed as an economic speech-and that completely changes how these @Polymarket markets should be evaluated. Three interesting picks,in my view : 1) China 5+ (~0.49) China is the backbone of Trumpâs
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Todayâs Champions League markets on @Polymarket look interesting. Two spots instantly caught my eye đ 1) AtlĂ©tico ML (~0.43) PSV look sharp, but their defense collapses vs structured teams. AtlĂ©tico donât play chaotic football-they control space and tempo. This shouldnât be
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The Avatar:Fire and Ash box office market on @Polymarket is mispriced-and the reason isnât the numbers, itâs the rules đ§ The resolution uses The Numbers, counts the 3-day weekend including previews, and if the final value lands exactly between brackets, it resolves to the
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Deposited $100 into @Polymarket today. Not pretending itâs a huge bankroll-but itâs enough to learn fast, make real decisions, and see how far logic + discipline can go. Letâs trade realityđ«Ą
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