Stu D
@redarmi123
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Think this is a very good point, we may need them and we definitely will need players like RM and LA's bodies to hold up to end of year. Its so great to have a manager whose logic for decisions is a) transparent and b) logical
Hellberg believes #Boro will benefit down line in promotion run-in after Sarmiento & Strelec's match minutes y'day. 🗣️ 'You cannot expect them to come in & be electric from not playing for a long while. They will be two good things to come from this game' https://t.co/nuOXIfDUAK
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This time last week we were all laughing at Coventry fans overreacting to short term fluctuations , it reminded me then of Xmas when it was apparently all over, have read a handful and think I need to just read a book tonight lol. Its fine, we are very good and will be fine.
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Slightly pushed for time this week so just selections with my true odds. Villa - Leeds - 2u Calvert-Lewin 3.25 (sky) make him 2.85 WHU - Bournemouth - 1u Evanilson 3.10 (mgm, virgin, will record at 3.00 VC) true odds 2.9 Sunderland - Fulham - 2u Raul Jimenez 3.75 (lads)
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Newcastle v Brentford 1u Wissa (2.7 Betway, Virgin) 2.75 avail MGM if can. Have been impressed by Wissa in recent weeks and have him in for 27% of their goals which makes him 2.57 chance but think he probably takes penalties which would make him shorter. Would take 2.63 too.
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Sunderland - Burnley 2u Dan Ballard 7.0 (Star and related firms). Regular followers will know this isnt the first time we have bet Ballard and why but this is a stronger spot imho. I make him 4.80 so most prices in market are good. FGS value too but the anytime is stronger.
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Late bet - Forest v Crystal Palace 1u Ismaila Sarr 4.5 (Sky/Paddy) Would take down to 4.00 here. Mateta leaving will give him some opportunities and his xG contribution has been pretty good anyway. Hard to know who takes penalties now, prob Johnson but could be added bonus.
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Just when you thought the weekend couldnt get any better
❌Hayden Hackney has categorically ruled out leaving #Boro in the final two days of the transfer window ♥️ 'This is the dream. This is what I’ve wanted to do ever since I was a kid - play for Middlesbrough. I'm really happy' ✍️ @Scottwilsonecho
https://t.co/bTJofHP43V
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thought we had to verify our age to watch porn 😮💨😮💨😮💨
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Wolves - Newcastle - Going to add 1u on Hwang Hee-Chan @ 4.3 (skybet). Should be on penalties again given he is preferred over Strand-Larsen and dont really understand why Arokodare is shorter price. Make him 3.82 chance. Wouldnt put anyone off 11.00 FGS too.
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2 bets in Fra Ligue 1 for today. Strasbourg v Metz 1u Joaquin Panichelli 2.15 (Lads etc), Renne v Le Havre 2u Issa Soumare 4.5 (sky). Panichelli we have bet before and similar reasons apply. Wouldnt take less than 2.1 there though. Soumare has v high xG this year 1/2
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Wolves v Newcastle - 1u Malick Thiaw AGS 10.00 (365) 0.5u FGS 29.00 (365). Newcastle do well from set pieces and with Schar and Burn out the focus for taking advantage of their height advantage will come down to 6ft3in Thiaw. Has scored 3 in 18 already. Nice spot.
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Really like this one.
Morocco - Senegal Afcon Final - Brahim Diaz 2u AGS 4.5 (Star sports etc). So far in this comp Diaz is contributing nearly 30% of Morocco's xG and over 50% of their actual goals but is still not getting any real respect. Make him 3.93 true odds.
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Liverpool v Burnley - 1u Hugo Ekitike 1.8 (sky) MGM have better but for purposes of tracking will use Sky price. Dont take less. Good matchup for Ekitike and he is going to be by far their best outlet today. Make him 1.72
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Man Utd v Man City - 1u Erling Haaland 1.8 (sky). I wouldn't take less here but if your book doesnt have it you might find a boost or similar later. Haaland's figures are off the charts and there will be regression but this too big. Make him 1.74 but thats conservative.
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I do not like how strong that Boro team is today. Praying nobody gets injured.
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Macclesfield v Crystal Palace - 1u Christianus Uche 1.91 (365). This is 2.2 at MGM/Virgin which is worth 2u if you can get it. Make him a 1.82 chance so wouldnt take less. Has only really played the cup comps so far this year but has averaged 0.53 p90 xG in those.
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Everton - Sunderland - 1u Beto 3.8 (Lads, Coral, VC). This one is likely to be a snoozefest but Beto a bit like Jesus last night by far their best outlet in this team. wouldnt take less than 3.5 but little downside at this price.
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Our first 3u play tonight! Wrexham - Notts Forest Igor Jesus 2.87 (Hills). He will take pens tonight and carry their major load and my price would be 2.32 (basically same as 365 spreadex). He should score 30%+ of their goals tonight. 3u also fine at 2.75. 2u if can only get
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