Luke Benz
@recspecs730
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PhD Student @HarvardBiostats | Past: Data Scientist @medidata, @Yale ('19), President @YaleSportsGroup | Interests: Sports/Stats/Health
Boston, MA
Joined March 2016
2025 March Madness πΏ Duke 23% π― Auburn 22% π Florida 17% π΄ Houston 13% π Alabama 6% The field 19% https://t.co/qB5ZQI1V3O
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New dynamic kickoff -- where have teams kicked the ball thru week 4?
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Great time last weekend at #NESSIS presenting this: + between season variance in a team's rating is lower during NIL era (ie prev season is more predictive) + however more transfers -> larger between season variance See this comparison of Indiana and Clemson entering 2024 season
Excited to present at #NESSIS this Saturday a project I've been working on (w/ @recspecs730): modeling the innovation variance in #collegefootball state-space models based on transfers! Hits a lot of points @ESPN_BillC has discussed about variance, but here's a preview...
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Excited to present at #NESSIS this Saturday a project I've been working on (w/ @recspecs730): modeling the innovation variance in #collegefootball state-space models based on transfers! Hits a lot of points @ESPN_BillC has discussed about variance, but here's a preview...
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Excited for @CMU_StatDS at #NESSIS! https://t.co/Mla7giBxFq + PhD student @michelesezgin poster: Does furosemide make horses run faster? + @qntkhvn talk: #NFL change of direction https://t.co/uzIVMLdJHT + Myself (w/ @recspecs730) talk: College Football Volatility #sportsanalytics
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New #CMSAC #SportsAnalytics paper on evaluating change of direction in the #NFL by myself and @Stat_Ron
https://t.co/OxhBt9EvJ6 Spoiler alert: DK Metcalf displays straight-line, less agile movement, while George Pickens exhibits erratic, more variable directional movement.
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Mbeng, Poulakidas, Wolf Headed to the NBA #ThisIsYale
https://t.co/c2xGgMR1bv
yalebulldogs.com
NEW HAVEN, Conn.- After standout careers at Yale, John Poulakidas and Bez Mbeng are taking their talents to the next level, signing summer league contracts following the 2025 NBA Draft. Poulakidas...
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So much great research at last nightβs Poster Session! πIt was awesome seeing you all thereβcheck out the highlights below β¬οΈ πΈ Shoutout to Luke Benz (Harvard Biostats PhD student) repping his first-author AJE paper! See you tonight at 6:30pm for Round 2 of posters! #SER2025
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Fun and wonky discovery related to measuring "excitement" from a win probability graph: Current approach: sum the absolute change in win probability from play to play Alternate approach: Summing Kullback-Liebler divergence from play to play 1/
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2025 March Madness πΏ Duke 23% π― Auburn 22% π Florida 17% π΄ Houston 13% π Alabama 6% The field 19% https://t.co/qB5ZQI1V3O
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It was always THREE BID IVY. πΏπ πΏ No. 10 @HarvardWBB πΏ No. 11 @CULionsWBB πΏ No. 11 @PrincetonWBB
@MarchMadnessWBB | #3BidIvy
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π THE YALE BULLDOGS ARE BACK-TO-BACK IVY LEAGUE TOURNAMENT CHAMPIONS. π @YaleMBasketball πΏπ #IvyMadness | @TIAA
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JOHN POULAKIDAS BURIES A CONTESTED THREE TO LIFT YALE PAST PRINCETON π± The Bulldogs will play in their 5th straight @IvyLeague Championship game tomorrow π @YaleMBasketball (via @espn) https://t.co/YNXfKx9Dsm
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A bunch more conferences added to the thread today. Also, all the ongoing conf. tournament tables are updated at the associated links in thread or filter to your favorite conference at: https://t.co/WZBwm1DZDP
First conference tournament of the year: A-Sun Will start a thread here for conference tournaments as they come in but update them more frequently (probably daily during champ week) on my NCAA π site. Direct A-Sun Link: https://t.co/UgUcO4H9mm
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