Tim Hack
@realTimHack
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Commodities Analyst⃤Poly Trader⃤Rock Bottom Speculator⃤My edge is fighting Vaapad within mass emotion⃤I'm trading my personal hedge fund on Substack.
Deutschland
Joined January 2018
The 163-year-old silver cup and handle: Some people say that silver is undergoing a correction or is overbought, but that is complete nonsense. On the contrary, I am now convinced that silver has not even broken out yet. If you track the price back to 1800, you will be shocked
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I think it is becoming increasingly obvious that we are in a parabolic development, similar to that seen in the 1970s. My price target of $100 for this year, which I still stand by, suddenly doesn't seem so far-fetched anymore.
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Who blows up first? JPMorgan has thrown its previous partners under the bus to save themselves. HSBC or UBS?
🚨⚡️🔥JPMORGAN SELLS ENTIRE 200 MILLION OZ SILVER SHORT POSITION, FLIPS LONG 750 MILLION OZ!!! 🔥🔥🔥 🚨JPM Reportedly used the cash from closing out its historic silver short position (allegedly at the behest of the US Gov't) to flip LONG- & JUST ACQUIRED THE LARGEST PHYSICAL
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100%, I think $100 will be the trigger for mass adaption in retail trading/ investing. But right now we see just banks and entourage unwinding, not much else yet.
Indian silver ETFs continue to trade at a persistent discount, which tells you everything about retail sentiment right now. Even with silver breaking out and ripping higher, the broader public still hasn’t stepped in ,no FOMO, no chase, just disbelief. This kind of behavior is
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Don had a good grok talk about this. But it is not 750 million naked long, most is believed to be client backed. It's a good read. I hope more details come out. https://t.co/YLKK1cUiog
Can anybody find the Economic Times article? It seems to have disappeared from the face of the earth. 404 Error! #silver
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Silver has been in a cup & handle lasting more than 160 years, spanning almost two human lifetimes, an enormous amount of pent-up energy. A 126-year cup, followed by a 45-year handle, which was further compressed in 31+13 years, a double turbocharger. What follows now can only be
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It is so surreal that JPMorgan has exited its decades-long silver short strategy. A long standing enemy is now becoming an ally, at least temporarily. Big money is now betting on the commodity cycle.
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In recent days good news emerged for the main positions. I will publish a piece on Substack about it. Especially on the rare earth side the emerged chemical data has profound implications for the future valuation of those companies. The market hasn't realized it yet.
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This means that the supply will run out to 100%. The wafer market is a good analogy, because it is a very dynamic market. There are times where prices have gone up 10X like it's nothing because if one chip is missing you can't sell the end product, similar to Silver. Quadruple
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So I think what basically happened is this, JP Morgan knew that the western silver paper game is structurally up, knowing that shorting would kill them they flipped the switch and coupled their remaining derivatives link to physical backing. They are now doing what the Hunt
The movement from $30 to $60 was probably just JPMorgan. The hype is yet to come, as they are now on the buy side. They will probably let the derivatives burst, but they are physically hedged themselves. We know who will pay for it. When even the banks admit defeat, we will have
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There is a slight chance that this is a cup and handle with a very long handle, but for my tast the way it warps is bearish, it looks weak as hell.
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Here compared to silver, I'm afraid things aren't looking good.
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BTC is showing a very bearish price pattern, an upward wedge that has been in place for over seven years. There is a chance that it will break out to the upside, but this could be a sign of exhaustion. And if you compare it against silver this wedge has already been broken to the
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The nano is even more bullish, might pop as early as today, 90% return until end of next week is possible imho, especially if Silver pulls through to 70. 90% of the move happens in 10% of the time.
On the micro $BCM.v behaves super bullish too, clear breakout, fractal nature, $1 is the immediate target. For betting big time on silver longterm this is the play. Few like it that's why I like it. Think ahead of the others, that's your edge.
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Perhaps gold is already on its way to the next jump; my target zone, where I expected consolidation, has almost been reached. But the current triangle looks as if it wants to return to the straight line faster than the previous one.
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