Rizky Banyualam Permana
@rbpermana
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Jr. lecturer | intl econ law | researching on ASEAN's approach to Trade & Sustainable Development | PhD researcher @hukumui @Macquarie_Uni (Cotutelle)
UTC +7
Joined August 2019
Imperialism maxxing 2.0
Trump: "I am allowed to cut off any and all trade…I can destroy the trade, I can destroy the country, I'm even allowed to impose a foreign country destroying embargo…I can do anything I want to do to them…I'm allowed to destroy the country, but I can't charge a little fee."
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Bagian Digital Trade, transmisi elektronik tidak boleh dipungut bea masuk/keluar, kontradiksi sama posisi RI selama ini di WTO. US masuk sbg tujuan transfer data pribadi dengan tingkat pelindungan setara (IMO ini gak banyak mengubah existing practices)
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Bagian Trade & Environment juga cukup oke — surprisingly sustainability clause itu bipartisan
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Ini juga oke, environmental clause untuk mendorong komitmen penegakan aturan lingkungan. Bedanya dengan EU, di sini gak ada non-regression clause di mana Pemerintah dilarang untuk melonggarkan standar lingkungan yang udah eksis
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The good one itu ini: klausul Good Regulatory Practices, intinya regulasi harus transparan, ada proses feedback dan analisis dampak, mendorong regulatory cooperation dst — ini gak jauh beda dengan apa yang diminta sama waktu Indonesia aksesi OECD
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US minta batasan kepemilikan saham asing dibuka untuk beberapa sektor PMA, ada beberapa yang nabrak sama Perpres 49/2021: aktivitas kurir, lembaga penyiaran, penerbitan/pers
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I stand corrected on this one. Di perjanjiannya ambigu karena gak mencantumkan HS code. Worn clothing: 6309.00.00 -> Dilarang impor per Permendag Destroyed / cut / scrap / wiping rags: 6210 -> Gak masuk scope Permendag https://t.co/Q2mkmFXVpJ
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Ruling SCOTUS harusnya juga bisa diterima sama konservatif seperti ini karena posisi tradisional mereka itu pungutan uang ke negara harus lewat parlemen
Today’s 6-3 ruling by the Supreme Court is a Victory for the American People and a Win for the Separation of Powers enshrined in the Constitution of the United States. In Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, our Supreme Court has reaffirmed that the Constitution grants Congress -
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For all of those who have been blaming Canada for "not making a deal," welcome to reality. The countries who negotiated "deals" are now getting whacked with higher tariffs, unilaterally and arbitrarily. They did nothing to provoke that. He's just angry with the United States
"Effective immediately, all National Security TARIFFS, Section 232 and existing Section 301 TARIFFS, remain in place, and in full force and effect. Today I will sign an Order to impose a 10% GLOBAL TARIFF, under Section 122, over and above our normal TARIFFS already being
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After SCOTUS struck down IEEPA tariffs, President Trump’s quick-trigger tariff strategy will inevitably slow and shift. The administration will pivot toward tools with stronger legal footing. @Antonio_OrtizM and I examined this scenario earlier this year in North America
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This is the plot twist ending similar to the ending of ‘The Mist’ — we basically killed our regulatory autonomy & policy space to get something inevitably better
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Jadinya outcomenya lucu buat RI: karena kena gertak IEEPA tariff, Indonesia harus: - bergabung ke BoP dan meninggalkan posisi tradisionalnya ke Palestina; - konsesi regulatory autonomy yang besar sekali dengan unequal treaty
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IEEPA tarif sebetulnya memang cuma leverage untuk: 1) ngecek allegiance & alignment negara mitra; 2) ngebawa negara mitra untuk berunding di luar WTO Jadi pun dibilang ilegal oleh SCOTUS Trump akan cuek, beberapa objective udah terpenuhi dengan adanya ART
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Dengan kata lain, kalau aja taktiknya Pemerentah itu delay and postpone, maka tarif 32% akan turun sendiri ke 10% (pun paling banyak ke 15%) tanpa harus membuat Agreement on Reciprocal Trade — masalah kompetensi tarif IEEPA kelihatan kok dari sejak enactment
"Effective immediately, all National Security TARIFFS, Section 232 and existing Section 301 TARIFFS, remain in place, and in full force and effect. Today I will sign an Order to impose a 10% GLOBAL TARIFF, under Section 122, over and above our normal TARIFFS already being
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A brisk note on the tariffs case - right or wrong, it's a lot simpler than meets the eye. @jacklgoldsmith
https://t.co/StXzVNjRJx
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Ingat, mobil plat dinas militer itu legitimate military target jika dalam keadaan perang menurut hukum humaniter internasional
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Indonesia and the US just worked out a 19 percent reciprocal tariff deal, down from an initial 32 percent. The problem? Supreme Court just ruled all of Trump's reciprocal tariffs are unconstitutional. https://t.co/xffix6t0al
reuters.com
Indonesia and the United States have signed an agreement on reciprocal trade, with Washington maintaining the 19% tariff it had previously agreed for goods exported by the Southeast Asian country,...
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I regret to inform you that most of these tariffs are going nowhere. Anyone who watches Trump knows he will just illegally reimpose most of those tariffs under one of the other tariff sections and then wait a year for the court to litigate it. Rinse and repeat
There will be tariffs. Even without IEEPA, the existing tariff toolbox is robust. https://t.co/PrMuGX4gV2
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There will be tariffs. Even without IEEPA, the existing tariff toolbox is robust. https://t.co/PrMuGX4gV2
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