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Polis Analysis

@polis_analysis

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High quality, succinct analysis of global political developments • Sign up to our #Newsletter ⬇️

Joined February 2020
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
2 years
Polis Analysis is back on X. Since our last post, here's what we have achieved.
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
The bigger picture: UN stuck as International law meaningless. Hypersonic missiles & AI weapons flowing between all three countries. Taiwan invasion window: 2027-2030. South Korea & Japan considering nukes. Old world order looks to be in jeopardy. #china #usa #trump
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
For North Koreans: Some goods might flow in, but Kim just promised Putin "everything" for Ukraine - meaning more of North Koreans might die in foreign wars. Kim's daughter appearing (hidden from cameras) signals succession plans. Borders stay closed for another generation .
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
For Chinese citizens: Cheap Russian energy keeps bills low, but siding with Putin & Kim means Western sanctions are coming. iPhones get pricier, studying abroad gets harder. Xi demands patriotic essays from civil servants. There will be a likely rise in Chinese Nationalism..
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
For Americans: Your taxes might increase as military spending ramps up. Everything from phones to medicine will get pricier as companies move out of China (costing trillions). The nuclear threat is real again. Meanwhile Trump meets Putin in Alaska without experts.
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
🚨 Xi Jinping just stood between Putin and Kim Jong Un at China's massive military parade - the first time these three have appeared together publicly. This axis of anti democratic leaders sent a clear message: the post-WWII order is dead. Here's what it means for YOU 🧵
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
🧵 (8/8) The Alaska summit marks a turning point. Ukraine's sovereignty hangs in balance as great powers negotiate its fate.Follow Polis Analysis for unbiased impartial assessment of shifting global dynamics. #UkraineCrisis #Geopolitics #Trump
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
🧵 (7/8) ⚡ Energy markets: Any deal keeping Russian energy flowing could stabilize prices ✈️ Global business: Peace agreement would reopen major trade corridors 💰 Investors: defense contractors (down) vs reconstruction firms (up) if deal materializes
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
🧵 (6/8) WHAT'S IN IT FOR YOU: 🇺🇸 USA: shift from military aid to security guarantees could reshape defense spending priorities 🇪🇺 Europeans: May need to dramatically increase defense budgets if US steps back 🇺🇦 Ukrainians: Face impossible choice between territory and security
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
🧵 (5/8) European leaders join up to prevent Ukrainian capitulation. Macron, Starmer, Merz, Meloni all converging on Washington for Monday's crucial Zelensky-Trump meeting. Their presence signals unified European concern about potential "land-for-peace" deal.
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
🧵 (4/8) Trump's post-summit messaging reveals tactics. On Truth Social: "Zelenskyy can end the war immediately if he wants." Translation: Accept territorial losses including Crimea and abandon NATO aspirations, or risk losing US support"
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
(3/8) Major development: US envoy Witkoff confirms America is "potentially prepared" to offer Article 5-like security guarantees to Ukraine—not through NATO, but directly from the US and European allies. First time Russia has agreed to such arrangements.
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
🧵 (2/8) Putin's demands crystallized: Full control of Donbas (Donetsk & Luhansk), Ukrainian neutrality, and no NATO membership. He offered to freeze frontlines in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia—but only if Ukraine withdraws from territories Russia hasn't even captured.
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
🧵 POLIS REVIEW: Trump-Putin Alaska Summit: The summit between Trump and Putin ended without the promised ceasefire. Instead, Trump dropped his ceasefire demand, accepting Putin's position that comprehensive peace talks must precede any truce. A pivotal shift in US positioning.
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
5 months
🚨 Polis will provide immediate reaction to the Trump - Putin summit later , stay tuned for a thread on what happened and who came out on top if any! 🚨 #Trump #Putin #alaska #Ukraine
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
6 months
🧵 (4/7)We've traced it to the top: Sergei Kiriyenko, Putin's First Deputy Chief of Staff, personally oversees this operation. It's not rogue actors—it's the Russian state weaponizing your social media feeds.
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
6 months
🧵 (3/7)THEIR SECRET WEAPON: AI + GeofencingThey use GPS data to show you fake Fox News articles ONLY if you're in America, fake BBC content ONLY if you're in the UK. Researchers in other countries see nothing—making detection nearly impossible.
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
6 months
🧵 (2/7)THE SCALE IS STAGGERING: 📊 50+ cloned major news outlets 🤖 Thousands of AI-generated fake accounts 🎯 Targeting 15+ countries simultaneously 💰 Millions in funding directly from Putin's inner circle 🗳️ Active interference in US, EU, and other elections
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
6 months
🧵 EXCLUSIVE: We've Just Released Our Full Intelligence Report on Russia's "Doppelgänger" - The Most Sophisticated Disinformation Campaign Ever Documented (1/7)🚨 Doppelgänger has cloned trusted outlets—and you've probably seen their fake content without knowing it.
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@polis_analysis
Polis Analysis
6 months
🧵 (6/6)Read our full analysis for the complete breakdown of what this means for regional security, your investments, and the future of democracy in Asia ⬇️Follow @PolisAnalysis on linkedin for the full report Thread by Jack Stephenson- Digital lead #JapanElections #politics
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