Paul Douglas
@pdouglasweather
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Meteorologist, serial entrepreneur. Founder: “Praedictix” weather-tech in MSP. Author: “A Kid’s Guide to Saving the Planet”. Trust me, I’m a weatherman.
Minnesota
Joined March 2009
Get back to us in July
@pdouglasweather @ChadHartmanShow @DanBarreiroKFAN I did not send this. I was hacked. I want a lawyer.
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A nice plowable snowfall for much of Minnesota with 3-6" across much of the metro. As expected north/east metro saw more from this clipper. Check it out yourself: https://t.co/Dwq0QKRhXC
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Latest HRRR (thank NOAA for this model) shows a burst of snow, mixed with a little ice, between 4pm and 10pm. About 6-7 hours of accumulating snow, most of it tapering to flurries by midnight. Gotta love these clippers 😳
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A partly polar weekend but both ECMWF and GFS continuing the thaw signal before Christmas Some melting but all this new snow won't magically disappear anytime soon Coldest first week of December since 2007. We're probably due for a correction
@pdouglasweather Is the thaw still on for about 10 days out.
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Might want to leave work a little earlier this afternoon (happy to write you a note). Snow gets steadier as the afternoon goes on. Mostly snow in the metro but some ice mixed in just south/west of MSP Still thinking 2-5" by Wednesday, best chance of 5" northern/eastern suburbs
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"I live in a place where 30s is a warm front!" Pre-Christmas thaw signal getting stronger
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We get depressed too. Most heartbreaking thing I've ever encountered is a Vikings fan with a snowmobile
@pdouglasweather Weather people have to sell hope. Thats all we have. Its kind of like the Vikings telling us for a week how great Max Brosmer is.
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That's an outdated playbook. It's going to suck for the next 5 months
@pdouglasweather Paul following the Minnesota weather forecaster playbook. Weather may suck now but just tell them that in 2 weeks its going to get better.
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Still low to moderate confidence but after another cold week models (ECMWF/GFS) and ensembles (ECMWF) are hinting at a thaw by mid-December. Always amazed how good 30s feel after a cold snap
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Relieved to see it can still snow here. Generally 3-6" MSP metro (6.5" Chanhassen and Eagan) with closer to 8" at Rochester. It won't be melting anytime soon
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Yes, I would take I-90, which may still be slow in spots but not as bad as I-80 in Iowa, which may be digging out from over a foot
@pdouglasweather I'll be coming back from Colorado springs on Sunday. Better to drive i-90 in SD vs Iowa?
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Sunday afternoon yes. Interstates will probably be cleared of most of the snow but still very icy in spots
@pdouglasweather What about MKE to Minneapolis Sunday
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12z ECMWF still holding at 3-6" for most of the metro, more south, less north. Travel conditions gradually degrade during the day Saturday. A foot for parts of Iowa? Looks like enough snow to shovel and plow at MSP. #shovelable
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@pdouglasweather Hello Paul. Thanks for using Twitter to post your weather updates. Do you use other platforms to post weather updates?
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I would suggest they leave today for MKE - or wait until Monday when roads should be in better shape
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ECMWF (European) is trending north, many of NOAA's models keep the 3-6" band farther south. We shall see
@pdouglasweather Is this trending north more?
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Hey Sloane! Great to hear from you. Predicting airport delays is even more difficult than forecasting weather. I'd bet a half-eaten State Fair corndog MSP will be open tomorrow (maybe minor delays) and you'll get out. Driving will probably be tougher than flying. Safe travels
@pdouglasweather What about air travel, Paul? For those of us who are flying Sat. to Cedar Rapids for an Iowa hoops game?
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Only you can make that call. Personally I would not want to be driving south/east of MSP tomorrow. Not a monster snowstorm but at 20-25F melting ice becomes more of a challenge, even on interstates. I try to avoid white-knuckle drives
@pdouglasweather Probably wise to delay our drive back to Cincinnati from the metro until Sunday, I’m guessing? 😬
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Still leaning toward 3-6" for the metro with Saturday's long-duration snow event. 8"+ far southern MN, less north of MSP. Cold dome in place with 15:1 to 18:1 snow ratios = light, fluffy snow. The farther south you drive the icier the roads will be tomorrow
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