Pierre Biscaye
@pbiscaye
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AP @CERDI working in development, ag, labor, and environment with SSA focus.
Joined July 2010
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Excited to see my
#JMP
in the
@WorldBank
DIME Blog today!
Many studies show short-run effects of agricultural shocks on violent conflict. My JMP asks: what about the long-run?
I find that desert locust swarm exposure persistently ↗️s conflict over the next 14 yrs. A 🧵
1/13
Locusts and livelihoods: dynamic impacts of agricultural shocks on long-run conflict risk. Guest post by
@pbiscaye
-- the 16th in our job market series
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Today I finished grading, Arsenal won, my daughter said “Ici cold, need chapeau tête” in perfect franglais, I made a delicious casserole, and I got an R&R at JDE. What a great day!
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My new paper (with
@BerkouwerS
,
@stevepuller
, Catherine Wolfram) "Disbursing emergency relief through utilities: Evidence from Ghana" is out at the Journal of Development Economics!
We find regressivity in Ghana's emergency electricity relief program🧵1/
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My students were super engaged and laughing today-in a lecture about multicollinearity and omitted variable bias! It felt amazing. As a PhD student I feel pushed to just focus on research. But I’m getting my PhD in large part bc I want to teach! Glad I’m getting to this semester.
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On the job market this year! Will be tweeting a summary of my JMP in the next few weeks. Send good vibes please ✍️ 🙏
Pierre Biscaye is a development economist at the intersection of labor & env economics.
His jobmarket : severe shocks to ag production lead to increase in the risk of violent conflict, with evidence that this results from a productivity trap.
Web - Page:
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Hit a game-winning 3 to cap an OT comeback win for
@berkeleyecon
over
@Stanford
in the
#LittleBigGame
. Madness. Bet you wish you hadn’t rejected my PhD application now! Sometimes I stress about my research, but I am loving my PhD studies 🏀 🤓🔥
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First flight out for a job talk (int’l) - cancelled🤬Was told there was no way to get there before evening of my visit day 😭Was leaving airport when
@jedediahsilver
found me a flight 🙏 Pushed Air France until they found something 🤩Midnight arrival but counting this as a win!✈️
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Thanks
#EconTwitter
for the discussion of whether and how to tailor cover letters on the
#EconJobMarket
coming the day after the modal deadline for applications. But next year (maybe under different skies) let’s have that conversation a little sooner.
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How many other parents out there are doing their part to limit food waste by eating everything their kids throw on the floor? What I’m willing to eat has expanded quite a bit with parenthood…
@AcademicDads
@Momademia
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I wish it had been in person, but enjoyed presenting my work on school closures and labor supply in Kenya at
#PacDev
in a great session on labor in development with
@livia_alfonsi
,
@FelipeLobel
, and Nivedhitha Subramanian. Thanks
@CEGA_UC
for coordinating!
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Hoping this paper helps motivate new research addressing the gaps in this evidence around women’s empowerment in agriculture! Certainly is motivating me :)
It's that time of the year! Highlighting some of our most read papers of 2021 🎉🎉🎉👇🏾
Anderson [
@evansschool
]
@pbiscaye
@Veda_Pat
& co review assumptions & evidence around economic benefits of empowering women in agriculture
#openacess
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Grateful to these three for making me a father. Of all my identities, that is my favorite 🥰
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Don’t submit your WPs to a short paper track. Most don’t allow R&Rs, which greatly limits the editor’s flexibility. Evan editor indicated my WP would have been R&R in regular track but had to reject. Subsequent editors all suggest I submit to that first journal - but I can’t🤦♂️
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My daughter must have felt bad that I had to wake up to give a 6am seminar presentation. She decided we should all wake up together. At 4:45am.
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Had a blast at
#PacDev
in Seattle yesterday. Great to catch up with old friends, meet new people, see cool new research, and get feedback on mine. Couldn’t have asked for a better return to the
@UW
campus after 5 years. Thanks
@rachelmheath
Alan Griffith and
@UWecon
for hosting!
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My presentation at
#PacDev2021
today was described as “like listening to a podcast at 1.25x speed”. Fortunately it seems I was still understood. Guess I have podcast habits to thank for preparing audiences for my presentation style! Too much to say too little time 😁
@BerkouwerS
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All my adult life I’ve thought of napping as a luxury I could do without. Now as a parent of a 1 and 3 year old, I find it’s a necessity. So much for doing that referee report while the kids nap.
@Momademia
@AcademicDads
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Back at Parrington Hall
@uwevansschool
for the first time since leaving for
@AreBerkeley
almost 5 years ago. Excited to finally see the remodel and for the
@CEGA_UC
#PacDev
conference tomorrow!
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Soothed my crying sleepy baby, then held her with one arm to keep her comfy and asleep while changing her diaper with my other arm without taking her legs out of her onesie. Feeling of accomplishment is on par with the R&R I got today.
#parentingwin
@AcademicDads
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For weeks my bleary-eyed sleepy 3.5yo has fought going to bed because she wants to stay up and read. I’m so proud of her love of books but frustrated about bedtime battles (she needs sleep!). Tonight she fell asleep reading within a minute of me leaving her. I love her so much.
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UC Berkeley crew with a strong showing - not even considering many alums! (And
@livia_alfonsi
who we can photoshop in later 😆)
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Pretty much every night I sing some songs and get ready to leave and hear “Encore, encore!” So I come back, sing “Twinkle Twinkle” or “Winnie the Pooh” again, kiss my daughter good night, and leave feeling kind of like a rock star. Being a dad is the best.
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Time spent making costumes >> time spent wearing them, but we had a lot of fun (even if our daughter didn’t wear her train car)! It seems wrong now to throw them away, but at least all the materials came out of the trash in the first place 😊♻️ Happy Halloween everyone 🎃
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I really enjoyed meeting some of my fellow job market candidates and hearing about their research. Great people with very cool projects. Also got helpful feedback on my JMP. Big thanks to WEAI, the organizers, and the volunteer mentors! Highly recommend for future job candidates.
Congratulations to the 2023 Graduate Student Workshop participants! 16 PhD candidates were selected for this year’s program at the
#WEAISanDiego2023
conference!
Learn more about these rockstars:
#weai
#econtwitter
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Had an amazing time turning back the clock with
@jedediahsilver
at
#wwwyf
. Too many of these emo bands are still in my music rotation - could not miss out! 🧑🎤🤘🎰
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Very grateful to have been able to present and get great feedback on my working paper on ag shocks and conflict at
#ESOC2022
. Great discussions with some wonderful folks. Thank you
@anoukrigterink
@EthanKapstein
@UCIGCC
@PrincetonSPIA
and organizers!
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I do not have causal proof, but the proliferation of typos in my writing seems to be directly related to how many times my daughters woke me up during the night and what time we finally gave up on sleeping. I miss taking my typing accuracy for granted.
#tired
@AcademicDads
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A terribly sad but poignant and insightful
@NPRinvisibilia
podcast on intergenerational trauma. Hit way too close for my wife, from San Jose. We'll be unpacking it for a while.
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When my last hours of “sleep” are just my mind cycling through endless Stata code, it doesn’t quite feel as restful.
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Super entertaining
@FIFAWorldCup
group stage - so many qualification twists and turns in the last round of games! I was curious to see how the federations stacked up so I pulled group stage results for the last 7 tournaments and did some analysis. A ⚽️🏆📈 thread 1/n
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Very glad to have participated in this
#OxCSAE2022
panel. Great presentations and discussions with
@diva_dhar
, Louise Fox, Andrew Kerr, and Douglas Scott. Thanks
@Oxford_CSAE
for organizing and to John Walker for facilitating. Our WP is available here
🗣 First up in
#OxCSAE2022
@Oxford_CSAE
Labour 1 session,
@pbiscaye
from
@AREBerkeley
examines how the additional burden of childcare resulting from Covid-19 school closures affected labour supply in Kenya, leveraging variation in school closure across grades for identification.
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When I was a kid I would make fun of my dad for falling asleep on movie night. Now in the last 6 months I’ve fallen asleep three times while reading to my daughters. Sorry dad - I totally get it now. Parenthood is wild. But in the best way.
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Is it possible to lift the 100 webinar participant cap on
#OARES
? I registered and signed on 3 minutes after the hour but couldn’t get in. Hoping for no cap on
#asktheeditors
next week!
@marcfbellemare
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I tracked my daughter's sleep over the last 3 mos as we tried to get her to sleep on her own through the night at 7 mos old. Here's what it looked like. False dawn in late Dec. Sleep regression at 8.5 mos. Success in Feb! Sweet relief for mama and papa 😴 Next step: nap training.
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Night before presentation: stay up until the early hours running robustness checks and adding backup slides to Beamer. Actual presentation: run out of time before getting to any those results, skip to the end. Why do I do this every time?
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Finally convinced my wife to give Harry Potter a shot and watch the movies 🪄I’m a big fan of the books but haven’t seen the films in a while. The first one was fine. The second was TERRIBLE! Regret spending valuable marriage bargaining capital on this. Hoping Azkaban is better.
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If you’re going to get an infection, better it happen in France. Or at least, not in the USA. Went to urgent care, was seen in 15 minutes, and paid 50 euros for a doctor’s exam, blood work, and an ultrasound. You barely get in the door for $50 in the US.
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PSA: Make sure your smoke alarms are working, and if possible, keep a fire extinguisher around! Accidents can happen.
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Daughter starts daycare. Daughter immediately gets a cold. Parents follow soon after. Daughter is back to her energetic self, but mama and papa are still super out of it. Labor Day weekend came at a good time for this congested (but confirmed Covid-negative!) household. 🤒
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@Josh_Merfeld
@ajordannafa
Seems very likely they assumed you are not a native English speaker and tried to find nitpicky (or not even real?) grammatical concerns to flesh out their joke of a referee report. Editors should have a mechanism to tell referees their reports are crap.
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Happy for a great win my last time playing in the
@berkeleyecon
@AreBerkeley
@StanfordEcon
#LittleBigGame
. Always competitive and always so fun. A special part of my PhD experience and I will miss it! Now back to the job market grind.
#GoBears
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Took my girls to Disneyland Paris today. Not my idea of fun but it was worth it for the moments of absolute delight (think squealing and jumping) from my 2.5 year old. Her highlight: peekaboo and a big hug with Pooh Bear. But I need to vent on 2 issues with the Disney crowds. 1/3
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My sister Iyanla just released her first EP! We are so proud of her. Hard to believe she and I once wrote a song about a handsome whale together - she’s so far out of my league 🤩 fans of pop, RnB, or music in general, treat yourselves:
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It is so satisfying walking on my clean kitchen floor after mopping it. I never thought I would be this person. Little adult pleasures.
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Even better than being in the AER is being described in the hypnotic voice of
@ShankarVedantam
in a
@HiddenBrain
podcast on how information spreads. (
@JeremyMagruder
might disagree on which he values more.)
Forthcoming in the AER: "Can Network Theory-Based Targeting Increase Technology Adoption?" by Lori Beaman, Ariel Benyishay, Jeremy Magruder, and Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak.
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I just realized it takes the little bunny in
#GoodnightMoon
1h10 to say goodnight to everything in and around its room after getting into bed. That bunny is THOROUGH. As a parent though, I hope my daughter does not develop a similarly lengthy bedtime routine...
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Sports betting seems ubiquitous in many East African cities. Fascinating paper on how savings constraints appears to drive part of the demand for gambling on sports in Uganda.
Amid the chaos of the last few weeks, my paper on sports betting in Uganda came out.
A thread for those who’d like to know more, but don't want to download the pdf/skim the intro. 1/17
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Thank goodness for
#trivia
night with
@badeconjokes
to remind me that I do know things, even if they are not generally useful things...
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Come on, Senators, forgot about your personal reelection prospects and find your moral compass.
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These Trump voters include some of my family and people I’ve considered friends. We seem to live on a different planet. What more can I say so that they see what I see?
No matter what happens tonight, we will have to reckon with the millions of people who chose Trump after seeing his racism, bigotry, and xenophobia over the past 4 years. If Trump is this wild for the first term, he will be an even more intense terror for a second term.
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This + Sue Bird dropping dimes left and right + Jewell Loyd going off = let’s gooooo
@seattlestorm
!! ⛹️♀️🏀🔥⛈
Stewie took OVER last night. 🤯
@breannastewart
37 PTS | 15 REB | 5-8 3PM | 4 BLK
#WNBAFinals
Presented by
@YouTubeTV
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Check your Dropbox accounts and toggle this off, everyone!
Hey
@Dropbox
when i looked this up i actually wasn't looking for a bunch of intro to CS definitions i was looking for an explanation as to what on earth you could be sending my data to OpenAI for that's so important you set the share toggle to "on" by default?
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I still listen to music pretty much exclusively on
#iTunes
. Very passé, I know. But it saves my listening stats, so I was able to look into what I've listened to over the past 1.5 years. Didn't realize I was such a
#swiftie
! But I embrace it :)
#theillusionofproductivity
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Case closed. Are there serious arguments against the Oxford comma? Or just habit?
3 nails in the coffin of any opposition to the Oxford comma
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@keds_economist
Great to see more evidence on this. I’m finding similar patterns in Kenya and Nigeria. Tough to compare households with and without children as these differ in many ways, but we exploit variation in kid ages and partial reopening policies to find effects of childcare on mothers
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Let’s go
#Nuggets
!! Kings of the 3-1 comeback. 6 straight elimination game wins.
@tedmiguel
how do you feel about Kawhi now? :)
#Clipsgonclip
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I quit on today. Gonna cuddle up with my wife and daughter and hold them close and watch movies that distract me from this apocalypse. Grateful that I have that option.
#CaliforniaFires
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How I regulate my facial hair as a father: when my daughter can grab on easily and won’t stop pulling at it, it’s time to shave off the beard and start fresh.
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Check out
@jedediahsilver
’s thread on his JMP! Bringing new methods and insights to the policy discussion around market failures and misallocation in developing country ag. I couldn’t have made it this far in my PhD without him and any dept would be lucky to have him!
Farm households in developing countries face many different market failures. But how do they each matter for aggregate productivity? And what should policymakers do about them?
My JMP provides a new way to answer these questions using data from rural Thailand.
1/🧵
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Anyone else want to bail on the
#EconJobMarket
to build a new applications platform? Easy money to strictly dominate the mishmash of sites universities use 😆 Why have none of them copied the best features of the others??
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Every night at around 7:15, my daughter turns into her alter ego, Stally McStallerson. Her superpower: multiplying the minutes before she has to get into bed. I respect her consistent ingenuity!
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Yes! First African team to make a
#FIFAWorldCup
semifinal! Congratulations to Morocco 🇲🇦
#AtlasLions
⚽️ 🔥 🏆 🤩 On the next round and hopefully a match against
#LesBleus
🇫🇷 Loving this World Cup.
#rising
CAF has been the most consistent in avg total points over time and reached a peak in 2022. All 5 teams earned at least 3 points. Only 2 qualify for the knockouts 🇸🇳🇲🇦, but this should be seen as a great cup so far for African nations. First semifinal run coming? 7/n
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California is on fire 😢 Devastating for our environment, lives, and livelihoods. We’ve had days and days of smoky air where I live; my heart goes out to everyone more directly affected right now.
There's so much burning right now on the West Coast.
Just dreadful satellite imagery.
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RIP RBG you are badly missed already. Thanks for everything you did for America.
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The Nuggets won! 🏀 🏆 🤯 Sooo bad for years. Pretty fun with Melo and AI and Chauncey (and JR and KMart). But finally a balanced fun team led by Jokic (already an all-time great) took us all the way. That last game was not so fun to watch but so sweet! Love this team. Go Nugs!
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Just spent a couple hours going through my voter guide and filling out my ballot. The first bubble was the easiest of all. Note to anyone disenchanted with the presidential race: a vote for Kanye is not funny. This is not the time to mess around. Vote, and take it seriously.
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@Josh_Merfeld
@DavidUbilava
@marcfbellemare
💯. Do any mechanisms exist across Econ journals to address issues related to bad referees? It’s volunteer work and findings referees can be so hard so it’s tough to know what could be done.
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What a game what a game what a game Messi Mbappé unbelievable Allez Les Bleus!!! 🇫🇷
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Really fun championship game! Heartbreaking for
@AariMcdonald
to miss such a tough potential game winner after doing so much to keep Arizona in it. Hats off to the champions at Stanford though! Earned it 🏀 👏
#ncaaW
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My daughter has been asking me to read her the story of Goldilocks multiple times a day. Goldilocks has serious boundary issues! Forgivable because she’s a child? In our readings we make sure to point out “That’s not yours, silly Goldilocks!” Can’t be endorsing this behavior.
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As an economist predicting recessions, so go my
#MarchMadness
upset picks: I “predicted” more than actually happened, yet still missed some. Result so far: 74th percentile in the men’s bracket, 83rd in the women’s, unknown percentiles among economist basketball fans 🏀
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@jedediahsilver
@KiraboJackson
Our take: in a working paper with
@EggerDennis
and Utz Pape we use partial school reopenings in Kenya in Oct 2020 to identify impacts on parents' labor supply of a childcare shock. Both women and men increase work hours when children return to school:
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I find no difference in violent conflict risk over the 14y before a cell is exposed to a locust swarm, but large persistent increases over the following 14y. Surprisingly, the largest effects occur after 7+ yrs. Both ACLED and UDCP conflict data show similar patterns.
6/13
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Can't believe the
@Suns
shot 55/69/91 with just 8 TOs and still lost G5 of the
#NBAFinals
to the
@Bucks
. Never seen that. Hell of a game from
@Jrue_Holiday11
, and as in G4 it's a late crucial TO from a Suns star that seals the L. Hope this series goes the distance 🏀🏆☀️🦌
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Champsssss ⛈ 🏀 🏆
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@UCIGCC
@matanock
@CEGA_UC
@PrincetonSPIA
@ESoConflict
@clubmodel
@EthanKapstein
@ethanbdm
@JoeFelter
The best moments to me were meeting new people and getting to talk in the breaks between sessions. So many great folks at
#ESOC2022
. Also, the cookies were some of the best I’ve ever had! 🍪😋Since I’m here in Berkeley I have to ask - where did you get them??
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RIP, but hopefully this can mark a turn away from COVID denial and authoritarianism for Tanzania
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Highly recommend attending! A fantastic experience learning from generous and engaging leaders in EEE, and great to meet lots of others getting started in their research and to give and receive feedback on ideas.
What? A decade? Already? The tenth Sloan/Berkeley Summer School in Environmental and Energy Economics will take place from August 9 - 19 virtually. Application can be found at .
@BorensteinS
@fburlig
@CatieHausman
@itonomics
@ckling19
@_josephshapiro
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@KhoaVuUmn
Type: water. Starting moves: evade (not very effective), tackle. Evolves into Crawhale at level 32.
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@AnneFitz13
@chloergibbs
@josh_t_dean
Agree. Moms and dads and other people don’t ride school busses!
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@KhoaVuUmn
How are you getting 2 hours before they wake?? My only productive time with two littles is the few hours after they sleep, even though I’ve always been a morning person.
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Point guns at unarmed kids first, don’t even bother to ask questions later even as everyone around tries to explain the situation to you? What the hell kind of training are these police getting??
Santa Clarita, California:
Three black teenagers were being attacked by a homeless man and witnesseses called for help.
When police arrived they pointed their guns, and arrested the kids who needed their help. Terrifying them.
On brand. Exhausting...
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Saw her torch UW in the PAC-12 tournament as a freshman and she’s just kept improving. Can’t wait to see what she does the rest of this season and hoping she stays healthy! 🏀 🔥 🏀
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In a year highlighting white privilege in so many ways this is one of the biggest: white people make the rules that keep them in charge of the political system. White voters put Trump in the White House and want to keep him there to hold onto to their precious white privilege.
Democrats have won the popular vote in 7 of the last 8 presidential elections. That’s never happened before in US history. Maybe the problem is not that Democrats are out of touch with ordinary Americans but rather that America has a terribly unrepresentative political system
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@Josh_Merfeld
I take my shoes off as soon as I sit down! I do this at my desk as well. Feet are not made to be encased.
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I’m at a loss. This is horrifying. How does this country allow white people to run around with automatic weapons MURDERING people and then stand by as police MURDER Black people because they *might* have a gun or don’t cooperate??? Fuck guns and fire all these racist police.
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@emmavaninwegen
Same 🛶. I am in the phase of already having pushed back all my post-orals summer goals by eat least a month lol
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