Full scores on the doors: Tories gaining ground and Lib Dems and Greens both ticking. Conservative lead has doubled since last week. Only one poll, of course, but this sort of movement on both flanks of Labour's electoral coalition could be v dangerous if it continues.

NB: fieldwork on Tuesday night, before the lobbying stuff really got into fifth gear (but only a quarter of voters told YouGov they were paying attention anyway...)

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox Re: vaccines looks like Tory support is in the same range as last summer (after a shallow depression over winter) but the bigger gap reflects a Labour decline?

@joncstone @timesredbox Suppose it's possible to bounce downwards?

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox @Keir_Starmer - you really need to sort your team out - clearly shouty disagree with everything politics doesn't work

@patrickkmaguire @JulietB270880 @timesredbox That 20 points that Tony Blair mentioned is rapidly approaching.

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox This is no Covid bounce, this is abject failure to lead. He's been in freefall since October.

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox Can the You gov source be trusted?

@patrickkmaguire @calvincasino @timesredbox Starmer should be reminding the country of the tens of thousands killed by Johnson's negligence abs the billions spent on covid contracts to Tory donors and cronies. Johnson should be in jail for mass manslaughter.

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox Or maybe it's the "Starmer alienates half of Labour" bounce...

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox Assuming this can be explained entirely by a 'vaccine bounce' (which it can't), that is inherently problematic for @UKLabour . Was the strategy to offer 0 policy, oppose nothing and hope that a vaccine wasn't invented until 2025? Seriously?!

@patrickkmaguire @Steven_Swinford @timesredbox It's not so much a Tory bounce, as a Labour plunge, which is fair enough as the knee taking woke millionaire doesn't appeal to many others than knee taking woke millionaires.

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox The fact labour is doing so badly right now explains why the left wing media is launching a full scale onslaught on the tories right now, just 3 weeks before an election.

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox A "vaccine bounce" that that amounts to a 14-point lead? Sorry, this is bullshit. People expect to be vaccinated, that's not a generous gift from the Conservative Party. If there was a "bounce" (for the novelty of the vaccine programme), it would have ebbed by now.

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox That is no bounce. It is a Labour collapse. It is clear to anyone following politics over the last year, Labour under Starmer has nothing to say, nothing to offer and obsessed with pushing out a huge slice of it’s own support base.

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox How can Labour dropping by 10% be a 'vaccine bounce' when Conservatives haven't risen by a similar amount ?🤔

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox The "vaccine bounce" would be a plausible explanation for Labour's difficulties if the Tories bounced up by more than Labour drops. But it is this: CON +2 LAB -5 If your poll is accurate, Labour's problem is its own leadership, not the vaccination programme.

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox I'd say they confirm the obvious: any other leader would not have been 20 pts ahead and 5 years of this dishonest inanity has thoroughly salted the Earth. However since the commentariat can't face that, I'll go by their standards: Starmer is a failure and this is an empty excuse

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox Corbyn got 40% in the 2017GE & 32% in 2019 (which was hugely affected by Get Brexit Done). Starmer's own ratings & Labour's polling is diving way below this by the day and still his client journo mates try to drag out excuses for him.

@patrickkmaguire @timesredbox How the hell is this a bounce when the Tory numbers have only changed between +-4 points since the vaccine program started in earnest in February? That doesn't explain why Labour are tanking or why other parties in opposition are going up.