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Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO) Profile
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)

@oscar_olvera100

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PhD in Psychometrics. Associate Prof @UW in Measurement & Statistics. ❤️Monte Carlo algorithms + non-normality + applied psychometrics❤️

Seattle, WA
Joined August 2017
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
7 years
Do you use multilevel logistic regression? Do you use categorical and continuous predictors WITH interactions? Do you need to do a power calculation for your grant/article? Use my shiny app and get all the power you need! But first plz read my 1st twitter rant! 1/6
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@ed_kroc
Ed Kroc
1 year
(1) The concept of statistical significance should be banned. (2) Bayesians should be forced to scientifically (not mathematically) justify their priors. (3) Causal inference is the scam of the century.
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@David_Baranger
David Baranger
2 years
@rmarkdown @TDataScience p.s. our R package {InteractionPoweR} includes the ability to appropriately model covariate interactions in your interaction power analyses:
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dbaranger.github.io
This article describes how to use InteractionPoweR to run power analyses for 2-way interactions that also include covariates
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
Days ago there was a most interesting discussion regarding the effects of measurement error on regression coefficients. Something that I think was missing was the *key* role that your measurement model has.
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psychometroscar.com
So… the other day there was a most interesting discussion over on Twitter/X about the effects of measurement error in linear regression. If you’d like to look at how the discussion went…
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@ed_kroc
Ed Kroc
2 years
Here’s a fun blog post about the Fabius random variable. It’s kind of a random geometric sum and has some weird and wonderful properties. It’s CDF is infinitely differentiable but nowhere analytic (basically its Taylor series doesn’t “match” the CDF). 1/2 https://t.co/8i9WvRkqqx
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edkroc.wordpress.com
I was doing some recreational reading the other week and came across an odd and beautiful random variable I had somehow never before encountered. J. Fabius wrote a perfect little mathematics paper …
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@GolinoHudson
Hudson Golino
2 years
Our new R package is mind-blowing! Are you interested in Large Language Models in R? Check out the example below. Task: automatic theme identification. Two synthetic stories generated via GPT-4: Story 1: "In the modern retelling of "Alice in the Wooderlands," Alice is a
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@NatRevPsych
Nature Reviews Psychology
2 years
'Graduate students need more quantitative methods support', a Comment by Andrea L. Howard (@DrAndreaHoward) Web: https://t.co/GviK7HnTQ1 PDF: https://t.co/Bbbx9WhuUD
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@AmandaKMontoya
Dr. Amanda Kay Montoya
2 years
I love seeing more simulation replications (our field needs this desperately) but evaluation of generalizability is so important! Simulators need to be aware that their one method of generating non-normal data (or some other factor) may not give the same results as other methods.
@letsnotbehayest
Timothy Hayes
2 years
Extra extra! Very cool stuff online at BRM! Big congrats to Amanda Fairchild, Yunhang Yin, @oscar_olvera100, my friend Amanda Baraldi, and Dexin Shi! https://t.co/CaoaobgLFH
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@AmandaKMontoya
Dr. Amanda Kay Montoya
2 years
It's time for "Constraints on Generality" statements in simulations!
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journals.sagepub.com
Psychological scientists draw inferences about populations based on samples—of people, situations, and stimuli—from those populations. Yet, few papers identify ...
@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
HA! @letsnotbehayest got the scoop today, but I would like to introduce all of you to this most interesting paper that had been in the back of my mind for a while. Context: Remember *that* "many analysts" paper (now a classic)? When I was reading it 1/12
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
non-normalities do *we* find in our everyday research and which algo can better reproduce *those* types of non-normalities. I.e., I'm a psychometrician. 99.9% of my data are categorical. Care to guess which distributions I simulate the most from? 🫢 12/12
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
theory likelihood? I could be wrong, but I've never seen that done. Overall, Id say the idea that I keep on reminding people is: there is only *1* way to be normally distributed and an *infinite* number of ways to be non-normally distributed. The question is which kinds of 11/12
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
maximum likelihood approach retain its asymptotic properties (i.e., no inflation of Type I error among others). This opens up a whole area of research like "what happens when you use corrections in the presence of non-normality that doesn't actually influence the normal 10/12
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
robustness that can *only* be tested with the IG method ( https://t.co/TXR19zXbPa) The result is simple, elegant yet provocative: there are multivariate non-normal densities for which, EVEN in the presence of non-zero univariate AND multivariate kurtosis, the normal theory 9/12
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tandfonline.com
We present and investigate a simple way to generate nonnormal data using linear combinations of independent generator (IG) variables. The simulated data have prespecified univariate skewness and ku...
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
ASYMPTOTE But what about when the results are not asymptotic? Well, we now know that different non-normalities can behave different Especially the Independent Generator (IG) method. This one taught me something that I had never encountered before: the concept of asymptotic 8/12
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
create problems, like inflated Type I error rates, not all "non-normalities" did so at the same level for finite sample sizes. The theory of SEM establishes the connection between excess kurtosis and the chi square test of exact fit. So we know we'd see an inflation IN THE 7/12
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
if you're used to working with multivariate, non-normal data: not all multivariate "non-normalitieS" (<--whatever that means, LoL) are created equal As you can see below (and much more in the paper) although the trend across *all* methods is common (i.e., non-normality can 6/12
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
99.999..% of soc scientists would use in any given scneario Although really, something like 99.999...888..% of soc scientists would just use the Fleishman method What did we find? Well, some really cool stuff. But really, the take-home message is probably somewhat expected 5/12
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
@mahnyunh @BD_Zumbo out what I wanted to know. And boy, was it interesting! We investigated 6 data-generating algorithms that can simulate some form of multivariate non-normality. From copula densities to power polynomial transformations, to the old NORTA approach... we tried what I'd argue 4/12
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
@mahnyunh about my research into the 5th order polynomial transform (for context. co-authored w/ @BD_Zumbo : https://t.co/2quLyY3NXD) I was quite surprised other ppl were interested in this area (there arent that many of us for... "reasons") so I jumped at the idea of finally finding 3/12
journals.sagepub.com
To further understand the properties of data-generation algorithms for multivariate, nonnormal data, two Monte Carlo simulation studies comparing the Vale and M...
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
I couldn't help but wonder what would happen if we took the same idea, but brought it to the world of Monte Carlo simulations: One model, many data-generating algorithms. What would happen? Well, all of that was just an idea until @mahnyunh (co-author) emailed me asking 2/12
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@oscar_olvera100
Oscar L Olvera Astivia (Astivia, OLO)
2 years
HA! @letsnotbehayest got the scoop today, but I would like to introduce all of you to this most interesting paper that had been in the back of my mind for a while. Context: Remember *that* "many analysts" paper (now a classic)? When I was reading it 1/12
@letsnotbehayest
Timothy Hayes
2 years
Extra extra! Very cool stuff online at BRM! Big congrats to Amanda Fairchild, Yunhang Yin, @oscar_olvera100, my friend Amanda Baraldi, and Dexin Shi! https://t.co/CaoaobgLFH
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