Oil In Goal
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Looks like the Oilers were in deep trade talks on a few players last year
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Matthews: misses a period in a must win game because his tummy hurts
Draisaitl: puts up 2 points per game against Edmonton’s biggest rival on a high ankle sprain
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The Flames tanked the game against us to force Tippett to stay: change my mind
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Bergeron had been on the ice for 14 goals against in 727 minutes heading into the game today.
The Oilers put up 3 with him on the ice in 19:27 today
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“Ken, Bill Armstrong just insisted he needed Bouchard in a Chychrun trade with no money coming back”
“Tell him I’m going to go get Ekholm for Barrie, Ginger Beef and magic beans”
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There is no excuse for not putting him on LTIR and taking advantage of extra cap space
Kane says he’s dealing with a sports hernia and has been all season. He’s hopeful to play but has needed to take some time off the ice late in the season to let it heal. Full participant today in practice.
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Scratching everyone while Colorado dresses a full roster then still starting Skinner is puzzling
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I still maintain Koskinen is better than the general perception of him, but I will never understand how Chiarelli and the rest of OEG could think he was better than Talbot. Talbot was a guy who they ran into the ground and was primed for a bounce back with some rest
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The ingredients to a 4-1 collapse
1)Dominate with an aggressive forecheck to get an early lead
2)Coach moves away from the successful forecheck to a defensive trap with a roster that’s not built to play that way
3) Give up 2+ quick goals/coach does nothing to control momentum
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If you look at the Oilers’ playoff series during Dustin Schwartz’s tenure, they’ve scored a majority of their goals by targeting specific weaknesses in the opposing goalies’ technique. Those kind of prescout skills are essential when facing the league’s best in the postseason
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Bring him home
Elliotte Friedman said on TNT that the belief is greater than 50% chance Fleury gets traded to the Minnesota Wild.
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It’s a good thing we didn’t publicly trash our backup goalie! Definitely don’t need him with this type of schedule!
Oilers reschedule games:
Feb 08 v. LVK
Feb 09 v. CHI
Feb 11 v. NYI
Feb 14 @ SJ
Feb 15 @ LA
Feb 17 v. ANA
Feb 19 @ WPG
Feb 20 v. MIN
Mar 7 @ CGY
Eight games and three sets of back-to-back in 13 days. Many teams will play often in very short period of time.
#NHL
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Second time a team has traded Taylor Hall to make room for a Milan Lucic contract. Surely it went well the first time
As reported 1st here, Lucic to the Bruins will happen.
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@DNBsports
can you ask about Smith yelling at his defenceman in a poor personal performance? (as per TNT broadcast)
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Via Oilers+, Campbell is testing a full set of Brian’s Gnetik equipment. This is a significant change, with the Brian’s gear being a lot stiffer which should help kick rebounds further from the net front
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Amazing what happens when you give a guy his family back and some rest to find his game
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Mike Smith Post Mortem
When a goalie of Smith's age and with his starts talking about how training is a grind and he doesn't know if he has it in him to get ready for another season, that player is likely done as proper preparation would require full commitment for that offseason
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I find it absolutely hilarious that most of these guys grew up watching Fuhr win ugly 5-4 but be the guy to make one extra save all the way to the HOF. Koskinen’s now 9-2, with good adjusted stats, but gets absolutely destroyed on any questionable goal
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The NHL says there was no conclusive evidence that it was hit with a high stick based on the video they have. There is a chip in the puck tracking it at all times on the ice.
Why can’t they look to see if the trajectory changes in the puck tracking data timed up with the video?
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Thompson got hurt late in the Vegas game against Calgary, making Quick likely to start Saturday night.
Quick reminder of what happened last time he played at Rogers Place
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My latest on Substack: It's Time to Move on From Mike Smith
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The crowd defending Tippett, blaming it on the roster construction, are forgetting that this is the roster he asked for in the off-season. The coaching nor the roster are good, but that doesn’t absolve Tippett at all
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Per Woodley on the PDOCast, Edmonton has gone from 30th under Woodcroft to 3rd under Knoblauch in rush defence per
@csahockey
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It’s time for another race of seeing if McDavid or Smith can make an impact first
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At the end of the day, Mike Smith have up 3 questionable goals (2, 3 and 4) in a 4-3 hockey game. Not many games are going to be won with that kind of netminding (Breakdowns coming tomorrow)
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Holland calls the last game in Seattle the team’s best win with how they played and with the bottom 6 support. Marody/Griffith/Perlini are subsequently rewarded with trips back to Bakersfield or the press box while the under performing group gets rolled back out
Foegele-McDavid-Hyman
RNH-Draisaitl-Yamamoto
Shore-Ryan-Sceviour
Benson-McLeod-Turris
Perlini
Koekkoek-Barrie
Broberg-Bouchard
Samorukov-Ceci
Smith
Koskinen
Skinner
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In case you wanted to know how things are going, players in red were acquired by previous management and still here on those contracts or re-signed RFAs and players in green are pure Ken Holland acquisitions
The 2021-2022 Edmonton Oilers. What could be the problem I wonder?
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It seems likely that Matt Murray ends up in Toronto, Darcy Kuemper with the Caps and the Oilers sign Jack Campbell
Stauffer said on Friday that if the Oilers had any interest in Murray, Kassian would have moved for him. Profiled the two UFA
Some thoughts if that doesn’t happen
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As everyone predicted, the Oilers are a contender with elite goaltending
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If Skinner had been pulled because of his performance, Campbell would be starting game 6
But that was a pull to shakeup the whole group and I actually think Skinner was quite good tonight, so I think Woodcroft goes back to him Sunday
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Rodrigue having a .924 SV% so far this season in the AHL is great, but in no way, shape or form does that make him a better prospect than Jesper Wallstedt.
Skinner coming out of no where to find NHL success as a starter doesn’t excuse that transaction either
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This right here is why so many people dislike the Oilers msm. Before a rumoured move, no evaluation can be made because said move “needs to play out”. Then when the dumb move inevitably goes bad, there was “no way to know at the time”. And the cycle continues
@Archaeologuy
Well, I appreciate the exchange. Just seems your mind’s made up before anyone knows the facts. Good to have the courage of your convictions. Have a good night.
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Why didn’t Mike Smith go on a conditioning stint to Bakersfield?
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Tippett spends all year obsessing over the PK and still gives up 2 PPG in the biggest game of the year. The lesson: play your best 5x5 players with speed and skill
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Skinner should (and probably will IMO) Game 5
He’s been the better option on the year and has been able to bounce back from rough performances. Campbell played an excellent ~50 mins but that doesn’t change the fact that it’d be likelier Skinner has a strong start
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The Bruins breaking up the perfection line then going off is a perfect example why the Oilers shouldn’t run McDrai
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Bunch of future GMs on Twitter…
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Thoughts and prayers for Smith, Koskinen and Skinner this season with Keith-Ceci on the ice
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He’s a really solid prospect. Creates a log jam of goalies in Bakersfield 🤔
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If the Oilers give up grade A chances early, leading to early goals, in front of all 3 goalies, maybe it’s actually a coaching problem 🤷🏼♂️
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Stuart Skinner has a 4-0-0 record with a 1.25 GAA and a .965 SV% (the all time record for goalies with more than 2 GP) against the Flames in his career.
He looks to get back on track in another Battle of Alberta tonight
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Smith does his job again, stopping what he faced, but what an absolute clinic by the Oilers defence.
The Vegas offence reminded me of the Tippett Oilers. All but 3 or 4 of the Vegas chances came from the outside with clear sigh lines.
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Nothing to see here
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Despite glaring holes in the roster, I think Dave Tippett has been a major part of the Oilers postseason struggles of late and has shown enough that to make it obvious that he won’t be the coach if the Oilers ever do make a run
A thread:
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Campbell’s got a brand new glove here with an older blocker and set of pads.
Big change is that this one has a skate lace pocket compared to the previous nylon cord in his old one
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Despite the new narrative from msm, the goaltending has not been the problem
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RE Tippett and his contribution to special teams: Glen Gulutzan is the PP coach. He was hired a season before Tippett, and took the Oilers PP from last in 17-18 to 9th in his first year (18-19) and it’s been first in the year ever since.
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Duncan Keith is -4 tonight. His guy has scored 3 and has a primary assist on the other.
Koskinen really only has a shot on GA 3 imo
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Time zones are crazy:
The East is in 2024
Edmonton is in 2023
Kings fans are still in 2014
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Skinner was great tonight. Looked a bit rusty in the 1st but settled in to look super solid the rest of the way. The goal went through 4 layers of traffic and was tipped so tough to fault him there. The lateral movement and recoveries look improved over last season
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The Oilers are taking advantage of Talbot reliance on RVH, particularly on his blocker side. McDavid goes over the shoulder on paddle down on goal 1 and then releases the pass the second Talbot gets into it on goal 2
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He gave up 3 (one called back), but Mike Smith’s issues were compounding yesterday. Right now, his movement is inefficient, particularly his rotations, which leaves him behind the play, which means on the shot he’s reaching for the shot.
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Seeing a lot of blaming the loss solely on Koskinen tonight. He was not good and was outplayed by Markstrom, but most of the GA were symptoms of larger defensive issues.
Thread breaking down each goal
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Surely the Oilers acquired a winger at the deadline to help solve their finishing efficiency problems
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Per
@csahockey
(via Woodley), since Knoblauch was hired, the Oilers defensive environment in top 3 in high danger chances against off the rush and first overall in high danger chances against at 5v5
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Full season and since allstar, NSH was the worst defensive team in the Pacific bracket yet VAN managed 13 goals in 6 games
LA was the best defensive team over the year and EDM scored 22 in 5 games
EDM generated the most offensively, with sh% giving NSH more goals since allstar
NHL scoring from all-star break to end of regular season — approximately 40% of season.
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I wanted to look at how last year looked in my goalie impact model. The results are below. For reference, here are the standings impacts so far this season. Skinner is at an 85th percentile performance. Campbell is a 1st percentile performance for the season
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Ceci is last in 5v5 goal share and expected goal share so far this postseason among Oilers defencemen
Why did we want to run out of town Edmonton Oilers' second most reliable playoff d-man? via
@edmontonjournal
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Not sure if this got picked up last night, but not only did Nurse have poor gap control on the Lafferty shot, but he actually tipped the shot up off an initial trajectory that looked to be shooting for a rebound off the pad. Explains Skinner's reaction
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Assuming Price comes back before the deadline, if the Oilers are upgrading in goal they should be targeting Jake Allen.
However, Skinner/Koskinen have performed almost exactly at expected so an upgrade on the blue line would likely be more efficient at lowering the GA
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I’m currently drunk at the dome. Game recap: Stuart Skinner is that guy
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@tyleryaremchuk
Pickard has struggled everytime he’s played a team with playoff calibre offence with any amount of rest. There’s an argument to be made to prioritize other areas of the roster but the backup spot is far from settled
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Friedman on 32 Thoughts pod: One of the names Anaheim is really interested in is Chris MacFarland.
When does Edmonton get their progressive hire?
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Sean Durzi finishes the playoffs with as many powerplay points as the entire Kings roster
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Game day thread: 10/30 at Vancouver:
After a game on Wednesday with some great saves overshadowed by some horrible goals against, Koskinen bounced back in a big way. Enough big saves to match Demko
The media and fanbase totally didn’t panic about a goalie with a 923 SV% though!
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When’s our turn? Both Julien and Ducharme gone before Tippett gets the axe with less success
Dominique Ducharme has been relieved of his head coaching duties.
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The Oilers finished the regular season with a 50-23-9 record. Stuart Skinner started 48 times, recording a 29-14-5 record while Jack Campbell had a 21-9-4 record in 34 starts. Here’s how each goalie contributes to their record
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The same people who want to trade Puljujarvi (.55 pts/gm in the NHL) due to a lack of puck skills want to sign Virtanen, who not only is a POS, but had a lower pts/gm (.44) in the KHL
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The second of my series on Oilers' goalie targets: Jack Campbell and why his history paints him as an extremely risky option based on the cost
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@MapleGlazed_
@MapleLeafs
You lost to McDavid, Skinner and Nuge. Might wanna get the superteam sorted out. Take this L
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I really like Rodrigue’s game today. A little late sealing the 5hole on the regulation goal and could’ve gapped his blocker forward on the Perfetti shootout winner but a lot to build on.
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Campbell has another new glove tonight, switching from the Brians he went to in December to a Bauer Mach glove
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Game 70 Thread: Really don’t understand the people who saw Skinner poor last night unless they’re just watching the box score. 2 near impossible deflections followed by a massive save to keep it tied. Oilers were able to exploit Helle’s relative weakness
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Carolina gave up a conditional 1st that's really more like a 2nd, a conditional 5th that only triggers if they win the cup, prospects 6, 7 and 9 in their pool (per Scott Wheeler) and a cap dump for Guentzel at 25%. Edmonton paid more for Henrique
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For anyone suggesting to send Campbell to Bakersfield, that’s not an option now that the deadline has passed unless he ends up on LTIR
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By my eye, the majority of Smith’s “incredible saves” tonight have been chances created by himself on puck misplays or being completely out of position
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Skinner's performance today was in the 89th percentile, saving 1.59 Goals Above Expected on 3.59 xGA (more than Saturday) in a win by 1, good enough for his 6th Stolen Win of the season. A phenomenal game from Skinner
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Campbell finished the night with -3.17 GSAx and a 5th percentile performance on a night where the Oilers' offense would have needed a 32nd percentile game to win. It was the 5th consecutive start where Campbell was responsible for the "Lost Game"
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Ilya Konovalov Post Mortem
After one year in the AHL, Kono is heading back to the KHL. There are quite a few people whose goaltending opinions I respect that were high on Konovalov, so I'll tread somewhat lightly, but I think there were some red flags in his prospect profile
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Adin Hill mini thread
I'll write something more in-depth before game 5, but I quickly looked through Hill's last 5 games in the regular season and his start in Edmonton in November. Couple of themes showed up
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