Navigating the Vortex
@navvortex
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We live in a complex and ever-changing world. To navigate the vortex we must think critically & adapt fast. @LucyMarcus & @StefWolff write & talk about it.
Joined April 2023
Is a Russian veto on leadership about to provoke the downfall of the OSCE? The survival of the world’s largest regional security organisation is under threat from Russian ambitions to upend the existing international order. #osce #russia #EU
https://t.co/mkvpJd5R4Q
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The continuation of Russia’s war against Ukraine serves Chinese interests in several important ways: https://t.co/Eyqq2w7uwr via @navvortex
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Tolerating corruption is a luxury that Ukraine can no longer afford if it wants to survive as an independent country — the latest from Tetyana Malyarenko and me for @navvortex: https://t.co/S3Go8DTQhs
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The EU needs to decide how to balance holding the line on its membership standards while enabling Ukraine to hold the line against Russia: https://t.co/opuMckXN4L via @navvortex
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As Trump flip-flops and the coalition of the willing is unlikely to go beyond securing Ukraine’s immediate survival, a credible pathway to ending the war with a just and stable peace is still lacking my latest analysis with @RGWhitman for @navvortex: https://t.co/E69DHCYQIZ
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Three key take-aways from the Trump-Putin-Zelensky diplomatic flurry over the past few weeks: https://t.co/LTWxfywZKR via @navvortex
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If Trump wants to be a serious contender for the 2026 Nobel peace Prize, he needs to double down on his peace-making efforts and prevent his grandiose claims from being proven wrong: https://t.co/D1wZrkCsms via @navvortex
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This is an important signal well beyond Moldova and will be noted with significant relief in Chisinau, Brussels, and other European capitals Moldova #eu #Russia
Despite spending millions on vote buying and disinformation, Russia has not been able to turn Moldova into a country in which a majority of the population would want to jeopardise their European future: https://t.co/dvdu6yyx26 via @navvortex
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Time is running pout for Europe to prevent Russia from broadening its war against Ukraine into a full-blown military confrontation with the west: my latest analysis with @RGWhitman for @navvortex: https://t.co/u3zyPLLD7J
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Increasing Russian provocations and Trump wishing everyone ‘good luck’ mean that muddling through is no longer an option for Europe: https://t.co/VTOUotruL2 via @navvortex
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Beyond full-throated condemnation, the western response to the latest Russian escalation has been worryingly underwhelming: https://t.co/l966Ye9c3W via @navvortex
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Putin senses opportunities for Russia to be the dominant power in Europe — and the west’s lacklustre response to his latest provocation is hardly a deterrent: https://t.co/B7Y93LSGnU via @navvortex
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If Trump doesn’t recognise the value of his country’s allies in managing the challenge that China clearly poses to the US, China’s sphere of influence may quickly extend far beyond Asia: https://t.co/NQU09LP4U2
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Likely statements at the upcoming SCO summit of how the spirit of Shanghai will shape a new international order rest on the false premise that a post-American international order will be a non-American order: https://t.co/ChJKm81xSY
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Trump boldly claimed that he knew exactly what he was doing — but that may not be enough without knowing and understanding what his counterpart in the Kremlin is up to: https://t.co/8bh3BcBnHd via @navvortex
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Trump has left Alaska empty-handed and Mr Putin with a big smile on his face: https://t.co/ry5e1RIsE1 via @navvortex
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For all his deal-making bluster, Trump, unlike Kyiv’s European allies has yet to commit unequivocally to a just peace for Ukraine: https://t.co/RFBCat25Xp via @navvortex
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If he doesn't blink first, Trump can now strengthen Kyiv and weaken Moscow to achieve a just and sustainable peace agreement: https://t.co/3PTnrEWjLi via @navvortex
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Trump is a long way off from being the “president of peace” but may inch closer to becoming the “president of ceasefires”: https://t.co/1rH8tHE4Fk via @navvortex
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