郭宝胜 Baosheng Guo
@milpitas95035
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Studies at George Washington University and a Chinese dissident and commentator 1997年曾以阴谋颠覆政府罪判刑三年半，见1996、97年美国国务院中国人权报告。著有《羔羊必胜》《拆不毁的十字架》《群体性事件组织手册》等书。
Joined September 2010
I appreciate The Diplomat for publishing my piece, After the Tiananmen Square Massacre: A Reflection on America’s China Policy, on June 4, 2025.
Combined BA/MA student @ElliottSchoolGW in Asian Studies Baosheng Guo @milpitas95035 wrote an article for @Diplomat_APAC reflecting on US-China relations and China's human rights record on the anniversary of June 4th. Read the article here: https://t.co/1IKVyc7wc3
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原推：东京今天召见了中国大使。 不是华盛顿，而是东京。 美国主导了八十年的太平洋秩序在短短72小时内被彻底颠覆。 我评：在美国固守美洲、忙于中美经济谈判、强调盟友责任分担之际，日本不得不冲到前台，与中国单挑！
BREAKING: JAPAN JUST EXPOSED THE FICTION OF AMERICAN POWER Tokyo summoned China’s ambassador today. Not Washington. Tokyo. Eighty years of American-led Pacific order just inverted in 72 hours. The sequence: November 7: Prime Minister Takaichi declares before Japan’s Diet
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$LUKI is about to meet a much bigger audience. Conversations are happening. Bridges are forming. When the signal drops, you'll know.
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BREAKING: JAPAN JUST EXPOSED THE FICTION OF AMERICAN POWER Tokyo summoned China’s ambassador today. Not Washington. Tokyo. Eighty years of American-led Pacific order just inverted in 72 hours. The sequence: November 7: Prime Minister Takaichi declares before Japan’s Diet
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Read my article in Foreign Policy magazine about how a TV show in Taiwan shows deepening polarization here. Taiwanese society and politics are so polarized that even imagining a future war with China is controversial.
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责任分担符合美国利益，但盟友也有承受极限，超过极限又得不到外援，那么战斗意志消沉与内讧就会发生！日本、菲律宾、台湾等都需要美国的公开表态与支持！另一矛盾：对华要搞好关系只想经济竞争，却要对台武力保卫。其实没有与中国的经济军事外交等全面对抗，何谈武力保卫台湾？对中妥协与保台相互冲突
Both Ebrige Colby and National Security Strategy 2025 insist that Burden-Sharing and Burden-Shifting are the priorities of the Strategy. However, overemphasizing burden-sharing can make it difficult for allies to bear the pressure and risks — my comments
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莫斯科正式对2025美国国家安全战略表示欢迎。原因很简单，俄罗斯不再是美国敌手。习近平也应该表示欢迎，因新战略将中国从头号敌手删除，只谈经济竞争和台湾。美国的大国竞争战略Great Power Competition 已经废除，可惜我们教授还布置了有关大国竞争的论文作业😄
New US Security Strategy aligns with Russia's vision, Moscow says
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Both Ebrige Colby and National Security Strategy 2025 insist that Burden-Sharing and Burden-Shifting are the priorities of the Strategy. However, overemphasizing burden-sharing can make it difficult for allies to bear the pressure and risks — my comments
Japan frustrated at Trump administration’s silence over row with China
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The White House’s new National Security Strategy signals a softer approach to competition with Beijing, playing down ideological differences between the two superpowers
wsj.com
The White House document maintains some tough talk on Taiwan but drops references to Beijing as America’s main challenger.
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Japan has lodged a protest after Chinese fighter jets used missile-targeting radar to lock onto Japanese military aircraft.
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Both Ebrige Colby and National Security Strategy 2025 insist that Burden-Sharing and Burden-Shifting are the priorities of the Strategy. However, overemphasizing burden-sharing can make it difficult for allies to bear the pressure and risks — my comments
Japan frustrated at Trump administration’s silence over row with China
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指望川普灭共的人听听川普亲信战争部长解释对华政策：和平通过实力而非对抗实现！川普领导下中美关系变得比以往多年更好更强，美国寻求稳定和平、公平贸易、相互尊重的中美关系。战争部也采用相同策略，与解放军进行了多次沟通。我们在印太地区寻求的不是绝对控制而是权力平衡
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战争部长打了一个不恰当的比喻，说川普见普京和习近平，就跟里根在冷战期间会见戈尔巴乔夫一样。里根当年发动星球大战全面对抗苏联，对戈尔巴乔夫喊话：推倒那堵墙！川普作了吗？
美国战争部长演讲解释了川普的对华政策：和平来自实力而非对抗 Peace through strength no through confrontation 坦言要与解放军加强沟通 对华对台湾实施拒绝战略 Denial Strategy 强化军力拒绝中国改变台海现状Reagan National Defense Forum 2025 -
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美国战争部长演讲解释了川普的对华政策：和平来自实力而非对抗 Peace through strength no through confrontation 坦言要与解放军加强沟通 对华对台湾实施拒绝战略 Denial Strategy 强化军力拒绝中国改变台海现状Reagan National Defense Forum 2025 -
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BREAKING; JAPAN to deploy electronic warfare air-defense unit 110 km from TAIWAN to counter CHINA'S increasing threats towards the island!!
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【速報 JUST IN 】中国軍戦闘機が自衛隊戦闘機に2度にわたりレーダー照射 防衛省 https://t.co/RGuFRNEh0S
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【NHK】日中関係が冷え込む中、防衛省は、中国軍の戦闘機が、6日午後、沖縄本島南東の公海上空で航空自衛隊の戦闘機に対し、2度にわたって、レーダーを断続的に照射したと発表しました。 小泉防衛大臣は「極めて遺憾だ」
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.@Reagan National Defense Survey: Majority of Americans Support Peace Through Strength and American Leadership of the Free World.🇺🇸 64% say the U.S. should be more engaged and take the lead in international affairs (75% of Republicans & 57% of Democrats).
Since 2018, the Reagan National Defense Survey has tracked how Americans think about U.S. leadership, global threats, and defense priorities. This year, the message is clear: Americans continue to favor peace through strength. They support a strong military, robust alliances,
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Switch up the routine this weekend with a last-minute Florida trip
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这个评论比较客观。这次国安战略是MAGA国安战略的文字化，川普已经、必将按照这个战略逻辑实施，其中亚洲军事战略可圈可点，原因是目前任国防部政策副部长的Colby 对中国、台湾特别用心，他写的专著和文章，成为我校教授对我们的指定读物！
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中学老师解读美国国家安全战略，完全是一厢情愿。李老师中国事件报道非常好，但对此报告的解读跟中南海听床师们差不多。高抬此报告说是否定冷战后主流对华战略，贻笑大方。另外川普几乎把所有盟友都得罪了，还希望盟友们与他合作，这是应该批判的，而且事实上也会南辕北辙！除了对台湾及第一岛链强调防
12月5日，美国白宫公布《2025国家安全战略》（National Security Strategy，NSS）。 在报告中，美国宣布过去 30
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就第一岛链军事防御而言，美国新国安战略值得称道。美国愿意与盟友如日本、澳大利亚合作打造强有力军事力量，防止第一岛链出现任何侵略事件。但从新战略大方向而言，川普只想调整与中国经济关系，不想全面对抗中国，所以美国对台湾的外交、国际空间会继续限制，但在军事上会给予支持，力避台海发生战事
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