MigrationObservatory
@MigObs
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The Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford provides independent, authoritative, evidence-based analysis on UK migration. Based at @COMPAS_oxford
Oxford
Joined November 2010
New piece in @ConversationUK from Rob McNeil and Peter Walsh from the @MigObs team - The most radical part of Reform’s deportation plans
theconversation.com
‘Operation Restoring Justice’ would face legal, logistical and diplomatic hurdles.
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Our director on Newsnight last night discussing Labour's strategy on small boats.
"The gangs are not smashed. ". Madeleine Sumption, director of the Migration Observatory, assesses the success of the Government's strategy to stop illegal small boat crossings to the UK. #Newsnight
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RT @BBCNewsnight: "The gangs are not smashed. ". Madeleine Sumption, director of the Migration Observatory, assesses the success of the Go….
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RT @M_Sumption: Also interesting: large differences in routes to the UK by nationality. Pakistani and Bangladeshi applicants much more like….
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RT @M_Sumption: Useful new stats from @ukhomeoffice on how asylum applicants travel to the UK. Significant increase in applications from pe….
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While numbers of unauthorised arrivals and asylum claims have increased, legal migration has fallen. Residence visa grants fell by 403,000, or 32%, in the year ending June 2025 compared to the year ending June 2024 (excluding visit-type visas). The biggest fall was from work.
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Weekly small boats data published separately by the Home Office showed roughly 28,000 arrivals so far in 2025. If current trends continue, the total number of small boat arrivals in 2025 is likely to exceed the record for a calendar year of around 45,800 set in 2022.
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Figures show:.- 111,000 people applied for asylum in the year ending June 2025.- 110,000 decisions were made on applications.- The appeals backlog could be as high as 51,000 (we don't know exactly), up from 27,000 or fewer last year.
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The number of asylum applications in the year ending June 2025 was the highest on record, according to statistics out today. Little progress has been made towards the government's pledge of ending hotel use, with the number up slightly on the same time last year. This was
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65% of the increase in the UK’s population between 2004 and 2023 was due to net migration, and ONS projections assume this will rise to 104% in the coming years—in other words, the population would decline without net migration. See our updated briefing for more.
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3/3 Humanitarian migration to the UK peaked in 2022, after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. This was also a period of high use of the BNO visa for those fleeing China's crackdown on rights in Hong Kong. For more about "Who Migrates to the UK and Why?" visit
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2/3 The most common reason for immigration to the UK since 2007 has been study, though in 2023 work immigration was only 5% short of the share coming to study - the closest for a decade and a half.
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1/3 - What's happenened to EU and non-EU immigration since Brexit? Our newly updated "Who Migrates to the UK and Why?" briefing shows the very significant shifts since both the referendum in 2016 and the UK's departure from the EU in 2020.
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The rising share of people migrating with a partner is particularly visible among female main applicants. For possible explanations, check our full briefing!
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This is the result of two factors: rising numbers of students and workers arriving in the UK, and a higher share of migrants bringing their families.
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Between 2021 and 2023, the number of visas issued to dependants of workers and students rose sharply.
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Our briefing on family migration is out! It covers people joining British citizens or settled residents, migration of dependants, and families of refugees. Here are three things to know about dependants 👇.
migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk
This briefing examines the migration of family members to the UK.
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