Matthew Dowd
@matthewjdowd
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Proud Pop; human being with many thoughts, writer, analyst.
Wimberley, Texas
Joined April 2011
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Last Seen Profiles
In the last 24 hours, we have Lance Armstrong lecturing people about sports fairness, Meghan McCain lecturing people about nepotism, GOP lecturing people about law and order, white evangelical leaders praising/worshiping Trump…we live in a world where many lack mirrors.
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In latest polling Biden favorable rating among Dems is at 87% to 11%. He is far more popular among Dems today than Obama was in 2011 and most of 2012. Many in news media don’t seem to get this.
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So everyone is cognizant: now that Haley has had a CNN town hall with little to no push back with all her lies, it is clear that the Trump CNN town hall was a symptom of an underlying deep problem at CNN where defense of truth and democracy is no longer their goal.
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Mitt Romney would have more effect on who is gop nominee if he and Murkowski and others announced that if Trump is the nominee in 2024 they will become independents and caucus with the Dems in order to keep the GOP MAGA in line.
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If you get chance watch Tom Hanks keynote address to Harvard grads. “Telling the truth is no longer the benchmark for public service. It’s no longer the salve to our fears, or the guide to our actions. Truth is now considered malleable, by opinion and by zero sum endgames.”
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i don't understand what Fani Willis sex life has to do with folks on trial for trying to steal an election. This is ludicrous and so typical to Trump and today's GOP.
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When a party has no economic plan, you launch culture war. When a party has no healthcare plan, you launch culture war. When your party can’t win in a multicultural democracy, you attack voting rights/democracy. When your party has no moral compass, you elevate corrupt people.
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i don't know why it is so hard for some to feel two things simultaneously: condemn the abhorrent actions of the Hamas terrorists and want justice, while having compassion and understanding for the people of Gaza and their conditions. We can feel both.
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RFK Jr ad plagiarizing JFK ad while nearly every member of Kennedy clan is opposed to him is quite the reach.
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If white evangelical christians and conservative catholics really cared about having a person of deep faith in the White House they would overwhelmingly vote for Biden over Trump. The fact they don’t tells us so much about their belief system.
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I grew up in Michigan a big fan of golf. I caddied as a youngster at Bloomfield Hills Country club for rich folks who would talk on the golf course about “welfare cheats” and then I’d watch them cheat on the golf course. I always believed in the integrity of the game. 1/
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2/. I watched golf every week for fifty years. I played golf regularly w/ friends and my brothers. I was proud of the PGA taking a principled stand against the Saudis. Yesterday’s announcement has changed all that. The PGA does not stand for integrity. I won’t watch again.
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i find it rich that lawyers for Trump are trying to have Fani Willis disqualified because she "undermined public confidence in the system" when Trump and others are on trial for trying to steal an election and lying throughout about votes.
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i have said many times in many ways Haley is worse than Trump. Haley puts on a veil that she has integrity and is a leader, when in fact she has enabled Trump every step of the way, and refuses to tell the truth when she knows better.
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These folks are so arrogant and delusional. here is who built the skyline of NYC.
Angry Eric Trump: “My father built the skyline of New York City. And this is the thanks he gets?"
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…mostly full of good people, and we must find a way to embrace each other and not allow ourselves to become isolated.
Trump voters by margin of 70 to 18 picked A. Biden voters by margin of 76 to 11 picked B.
Trump voters live in fear; Biden voters live in hope.
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Lord have mercy. Biden couldn’t have written an endorsement better. What a great message for swing voters. Biden should send her a thank you note.
Marjorie Taylor Greene warns Joe Biden is trying to “finish what FDR started” by trying to address problems related to “rural poverty”, “education,” and “medical care.” She warns it’s similar to when LBJ passed “Medicare and Medicaid.” (
@Acyn
)
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Of these ten countries, Sweden, New Zealand, Canada, Denmark, Finland, Switzerland, Australia, Netherlands, Iceland, U.S where do you think US ranks on personal freedoms, religiosity, and gun violence? Answer: last on freedoms, 1st on gun violence and religiosity. So tell me…
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the gravest danger to our constitutional democracy isn't marxism, or socialism, or radical islam, or undocumented human beings coming into America, the most profound danger today comes from christian nationalism.
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you want to prove you aren't in a cult: admit massive election fraud was a lie, say clearly your leader should be held accountable, say science should lead the way on decision making, admit to reality of climate change, turn off fox news, support democracy at all levels.
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On this day in 1921, white citizens in Tulsa, OK “descended on the city’s predominantly Black Greenwood District, burning homes and businesses to the ground and killing hundreds of people. Long mischaracterized as a race riot, rather than mass murder, the Tulsa Race Massacre…
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How does any golf announcer or analyst ever again talk about “integrity of golf”, “golf morality”, and how it teaches people honesty, values, and accountability? This is laughable now that PGA has sold out to the Saudis.
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i don't get why House GOP wanted to have this hearing with Hur. It went worse for Trump than it did for Biden. These folks couldn't organize a one person parade.
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Anyone who thinks getting rid of Trump will by itself preserve our democracy & solve the problems of the GOP has not realistically looked at what the GOP has become. It would be like saying getting rid of Jefferson Davis would have solved the confederacy. The rot is in the roots.
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i honestly don't get how MAGA "christians" constantly demonize and want to harm immigrants. "For I was hungry and you gave me something to eat, I was thirsty and you gave me something to drink, I was a stranger and you invited me in". Isn't this the higher moral cause?
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Haley was governor of South Carolina, she calls it home. South Carolina was first state to secede from the Union, and was one of the founding member states of the Confederacy, and stated at time of secession that slavery was the reason. Her answer shows she is as bad as Trump.
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Speaker Johnson accuses Biden of going to the border in the past for a "photo-op" while he and other House members are at border for a "photo-op". you can't make this stuff up.
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Here is some data to keep in mind from last 25 years:
1. Trump’s average approval never once got above 50%.
2. W. Bush’s, after 1st six months, never got above avg. 52% (absent huge 9/11 bounce).
3. Obama, after 1st six months, never got above avg. 52%.
Due to division and…
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Some advise this election year: ignore any Harris Poll, under whatever brand it is. This polling is facilitated by Mark Penn, who is married to CEO of NoLabels. They constantly underestimate Biden support.
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come on
@TheRock
this is so ridiculous. you go on Fox News with Will Cain and talk about bringing the country when he and Fox spend hours every day tearing the country apart. And how about being in the fight for democracy and unite country around that? Loss of respect for you.
Dwayne "The Rock" Johnson says he won't endorse Joe Biden in 2024, after he backed him in 2020.
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Fact: America under President Biden has better employment numbers and lower inflation than the America of 1984 when President Reagan ran morning in America ads touting the economy. The difference: how the news media reports on things today.
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what we have learned so far about Speaker MAGA Mike Johnson is very disturbing, but it is the tip of the iceberg of what else we will learn in coming days and weeks. This reveal is going to make the reveal on Sarah Palin after McCain picked her look like an ant hill.
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If the Pride flag offends you more than the Confederate flag, you may want to reexamine your life and your version of “christianity”.
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As i just said on
@msnbc
it is good Santos was expelled but I find it amazing that GOP Rep. Bacon said "we can't tolerate someone who lies/steals in our ranks". While they all simultaneously back Trump. I guess if you are powerful and lie/steal it is ok.
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I will remind folks of this again. Please ignore any poll done by Harris. Mark Penn’s goal is to undermine Biden including the release of inaccurate polls.
Some advise this election year: ignore any Harris Poll, under whatever brand it is. This polling is facilitated by Mark Penn, who is married to CEO of NoLabels. They constantly underestimate Biden support.
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the greatest threat to our constitutional democracy is not Islam, or Palestinians, or Mexicans, or immigrants, it is "christian" nationalists.
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The news media’s job as related to economy is not to report how some voters “feel” about the economy but what are the facts related to the economy and what decisions were made to improve economy. The news media should inform voters, not reflect voters feelings.
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Greatest danger to our constitutional democracy is not TikTok, China, Russia, radical Islam, immigrants, socialists, etc. The gravest and greatest danger to our democracy is christian nationalists and their candidate for President, Trump.
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the leader of the House GOP is anti-democracy, anti-freedom, anti-diversity, anti separation of church and state, anti LGBTQ, anti Roe v. Wade, anti-science, anti gun reform and anti do anything about climate change. The GOP just chose a christian nationalist to lead them.
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Many in news media constantly talk about Trump’s support from his base. The reality is Biden is more popular among Dems than Trump is among GOP voters.
In latest polling Biden favorable rating among Dems is at 87% to 11%. He is far more popular among Dems today than Obama was in 2011 and most of 2012. Many in news media don’t seem to get this.
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This question and result by YouGov poll is so very telling.
Respondents were ask to pick one that they agreed with:
A. Our lives are threatened by terrorists, criminals, and illegal immigrants and our priority should be to protect ourselves.
B. It’s a big, beautiful world,…
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all these arguments made by some that the country needs a centrist party is so out of whack. on roe v. wade, Ds are where center of country is. On protecting democracy, Ds are where is. on gun reform, Ds are where center is. on raising minimum wage, Ds are where center is...
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Democrats and NeverTrumpers:
You know what is not going to defeat Trump: crapping on Biden.
Yes, Biden is in tight race and he is vulnerable as incumbent. The question is what are you doing or saying to help him beat Trump. Saying to replace Biden is not a strategy.
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Nancy Mace, Lauren Boebert, MTG, Paul Gosar, and on and on....and GOP thinks there is a cognitive, mental problem with Biden. Lordy Moses, clean up your own house. These folks are the One Flew over the Cuckoo's Nest caucus.
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Frank Luntz complaining about "divisiveness" is akin to Typhoid Mary complaining about the spread of infections. Why the media gives him a platform is unreal. He is a huge cause of the vitriol that exists in America.
Video: “We’re in trouble. I don’t know what to do about it” - GOP pollster Frank Luntz
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i have said this for years, but one of the few benefits of Trump is that he is a "great revealer" of who people really are. for good and bad. Sununu is another example that Trump revealed him to be a person without integrity.
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for those voters considering voting for Trump, I ask you to pause and consider the Germans who put Hitler in power. Many didn't think he would do what he ended up doing, and looked back in horror at the loss of their democracy and their own responsibility in empowering him.
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A very personal column showing Kate Cox's story is not rare. More than 25 years ago, doctors advised my pregnant wife and me to escape Texas...
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as a christian myself, one doesn't wear a cross or talk about Jesus all the time or quote the bible to show you are a christian. best way to show it is to love your neighbor and treat every human being with dignity, and put love before hate. everything else is performance.
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Mark Robinson, the GOP nominee for Governor in North Carolina, is about to find out what it means to be in the spotlight. And it ain't going to be pretty.
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Alabama voters trading in Doug Jones for Tommy Tuberville ranks as one of the worse trades in history. Worse than the famed Herschel Walker 1989 trade and worse than Red Sox trading Babe Ruth to the Yankees in 1920.
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Ron DeSantis is now attacking elites and this from a guy who went to Yale and then Harvard Law School, and this is a picture of his “non-elite” family:
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Gen-Xers are stepping up in this moment of our democracy and leading us to justice. Just think of a few:
Fani Willis b.1971
Jack Smith b.1969
Alvin Bragg b. 1973
Jocelyn Benson b.1977
Josh Shapiro b. 1973
Hakeem Jeffries b. 1970,…
and there are so many more. Brava and bravo.
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let us be very clear about something: a vote for Larry Hogan for Senate in the fall is a vote to empower the MAGA GOP in the Senate. It will mean MAGA Senators will chair key committees. It will mean more power to MAGA Senators.
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you know what doesn't convert people to christianity: quoting bible verses and wearing crosses. you know what does attract people to christianity: being loving, kind, and compassionate to every human being and treating all with respect and dignity.
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if someone bought X (Twitter) today, if it was a rational person/persons with a strategy to keep hate/ignorance off the platform, they could double it's value in six months and advertisers would flock back.
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So Trump goes full-birther conspiracy on Obama years ago, and Nikki Haley and many other GOPers join with Trump in his administration. Now Trump goes full-birther on Haley and they are aghast.
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if you are disappointed in coverage of Michigan Democratic primary as i am, keep this in mind: 11% of voters in 2012 Dem primary voted "uncommitted". Obama ended up winning Michigan in the fall by more than 450,000 votes.
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Democrats & the news media must finally realize the vast majority of the folks voting GOP today are not interested in economic policy, good governance, equal rights, or law and order. These voters are exclusively driven by culture and their desire to rollback to an earlier time.
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and please don't anyone ever say there are moderates in the GOP House. every one of them voted for this guy.
the leader of the House GOP is anti-democracy, anti-freedom, anti-diversity, anti separation of church and state, anti LGBTQ, anti Roe v. Wade, anti-science, anti gun reform and anti do anything about climate change. The GOP just chose a christian nationalist to lead them.
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…polarization, President’s job approval today seems to have a high cap of around 52%. That is frame of reference news media should use when reporting on Biden job approval. If Biden hits the high forties before Election Day, gop will have very difficult winning.
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How does
@espn
not end this disastrous show that Pat McAfee is? it was a bad decision to bring him on, and ESPN is making it worse by not ending the disaster as soon as possible.
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14 of the 15 unsafest states in America are run by the GOP.
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Trump: "I will use Justice department to punish my enemies."
GOP: that isn't what he meant.
Trump: "I will be dictator for a day."
GOP: Trump is joking.
Trump: "Dang, GOP just don't get it. Time to quote Hitler, immigrants are poisoning the blood of our country."
GOP: ..........
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A myth has developed there is some statistically significant number of GOP voters who will vote for Biden over Trump. No data shows this. Biden gets today same % of GOP as he did in 2020, as Hillary got in 2016, as Obama got in 2012/2008, and as Mondale got in 1984. Also…1/2
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The news media needs to cover the democratic presidential primary as reflective of the polls of primary voters. Biden is at 69%, Kennedy at 7%, Williamson at 5%. Kennedy is barely beating Marianne Williamson, so why is he getting covered like he is? Crazy.
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leave it to GOP to push a man for speaker who is credibly accused of covering up a massive university sex scandal and who never passed a bill. perfect encapsulation of today's GOP.
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watching GOP reaction to Fani Willis testimony and what she is going through today by Trump lawyers highlights so much watch what strong, smart black women have to go through in America still today.
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you would think that people who are in law enforcement who are tasked with upholding the rule of law would not support Trump who has no regard for the rule of law. It should be very concerning to us all that they support Trump.
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Two things are important takeaways from IA and NH: 1) Trump is a dominant force in GOP, as much as any other Republican in last 50 years. 2) And the results are showing how incredibly unpopular and weak he is among the key voters in a general election
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How
@espn
gave Pat McAfee a show and pays him millions is still absolutely astounding. The whole sports commentary/presentation on television has become an absolute joke.
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in all the conversations/arguments about diversity equity and inclusion it is important to keep in mind: for the first 200 years of America, white christian heterosexual males held 95% of positions of power. Today this group holds 80%, and is 27% of US population.
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Frank Luntz is the guy who poisons the water supply of a community, then comes in and says he has the solution to why everyone is sick. He is the Mr. Haney of politics and no one in news media should give him a platform.
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As i said on
@MSNBC
@DeadlineWH
@NicolleDWallace
today, Republicans aren't losing anymore because of Trump. They are losing because of themselves and whom they have become. Yesterday wasn't importantly an indictment of Trump, it was an indictment of the GOP.
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In many ways
@EliseStefanik
is much more detrimental to our democracy and the desire for integrity in leaders than the likes of Boebert and MTG. Stefanik enables the worst impulses of hate and autocracy while wearing a faux cloak of rationality and moderation.
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Today in 1830, Pres. Andrew Jackson signs Indian Removal Act. 60,000 Native Americans forced westward into “Indian Territory” This mass removal caused 4,000 deaths and was known as the Trail of Tears. This atrocity was spurred by the feeling of superiority of white christians.
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if you didn't grow up in Detroit, or Michigan or been a lifelong Lions fan, it is hard to understand what this season means to us. And i am still pinching myself that we are going to Championship game. Wow.
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I think Jesus wouldn't appreciate money that could be used for the poor and immigrants being spent for millions of dollars of Super Bowl ads.
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i don't see how any member of the military or a veteran could support Trump or the current crop of MAGA Republicans. You took an oath to "support and defend the Constitution of the United States against all enemies, foreign and domestic".
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"christian nationalists" in a rage about diverse Christmas celebrations is really something. I guess they forget December 25 was a pagan holiday, and that Jesus wasn't white, wasn't European, and wasn't christian.
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There is a pyromaniac outside the auditorium burning down homes/businesses, and CNN is holding a debate with two folks claiming to be firefighters and they are arguing over uniforms and hose length, and CNN is not stopping them and to ask them what will they do about pyromaniac.
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A super-majority of Americans favor Roe v. Wade, increasing the minimum wage, higher taxes on the wealthy, action on climate change, increased access to voting, common sense gun reform, etc. So tell me which party represents the center of the country??? The Dems.
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I don't think we give enough import to the election officials in Michigan for protecting our entire democracy. They were the ones on the frontline of Trump/GOP attempts to subvert the will of the people. they were the "sword in the darkness", sisters of the nights watch.
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nikki haley's explanation today is even worse than her answer yesterday. this is what happens when you aren't authentic and try to appease the white supremacists in the GOP.
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Trump gained support among the GOP after he was indicted and evidence revealed about his corruption and behavior. This isn’t about him being “teflon”, it says more about the appalling lack of the importance of integrity and justice among GOP elected officials and voters.
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Those folks who say Trump is unfit and is undermining our country but then refuse to vote for Biden is like telling people that we have to stop the pyromaniac burning down our neighbors but then refuse to hire the only eligible firefighter.
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where is the integrity of other ESPN personalities and executives who have said and done nothing about Pat McAfee and Aaron Rodgers? You would think someone on air would take a stand and say enough is enough.
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as a person of faith and a christian, it is time for the majority of Republicans to acknowledge that the Bible, while filled with many good lessons, is not a history book. It is a historical fiction used by some to commit acts of inhumanity and used to undermine our democracy.
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2/2…the number of voters who identify as GOP remains roughly the same as it has for the last 25 years. There has not been a drop of GOP partisans in America in Trump era. The way for Dems to win elections today is appealing to independents and motivating their base.
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If you want something done about guns, and making sure children are free from gun violence, vote Democratic. If you want to protect women's freedoms, vote Dem. If you want to preserve access to voting and democracy, vote Democratic. If you want a just economy, vote Dem.
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@LindseyGrahamSC
Yes they do. Because you, Fox News and others have lied to gop voters over and over again about this. Same thing of why gop voters believed election was stolen. You can’t lie to a group of people, and then use the lie gop voters believe as a justification.
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Lord have mercy. India and China have some of the highest rates of lung disease in the world. What is wrong with these folks on Fox News?
Fox guest: There's just no health risk...We have this kind of air in India and China all the time, no public health emergency... this doesn't kill anybody, this doesn't make anybody cough, this is not a health event... particulate matter is just very fine soot, they're innocuous.
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i am going to say this again and again: being opposed to Netanyahu and actions of Israel doesn't make you anti-semitic and seeking to get rid of Hamas doesn't make you anti-Muslim.
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Democrats: “ignore all the spin, just read the indictment”
GOP: “ignore the indictment, just listen to our spin”
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@davidfrum
First, the chance of her winning the gop nomination is roughly the same as me playing on the PGA Tour next year. Second, in many ways Haley is as bad as Trump. She has enabled him every step, says she will support him if convicted, and refuses to speak truth to GOP voters.
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How is it still a reality in America that a citizen, based on their race, sex, or sexuality, can have less rights, freedoms, and access to democracy/voting rights when they merely cross a state line?
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One sure fire way to clean up your twitter feed is to post facts about Trump or Biden and watch the MAGA cult come out of the woodwork, and then you just block them one by one. Easy peasy.
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