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Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth Profile
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth

@matthewbarby

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VP Growth @krakenfx. Investing/advising in crypto. 🎙 Host: @decryptopodcast. Prev: @DecentralGames / @HubSpot / cofounder @tttseocommunity (acq by @semrush)

London
Joined December 2010
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
2 months
Mark your calendars each week - we'll continue to stream every Thursday right here. @ustinKnight and I have run the podcast since 2017 and had some incredible guests on over the years. Each week, we'll discuss the markets, new projects, and the latest crypto news.
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
2 days
This is pretty wild. ETH validator queue exit queue has a wait time right now of >46 days. (as a result of Kiln exiting all of their validators due to an API exploit)
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
3 days
What do we think happens next week when/if the Fed cuts by 25bps?
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
3 days
🔔 LIVE NOW: Eyes on the Rate Cut, Hyperliquid's Stablecoin, & Crypto IPO Szn
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
3 days
🔔 LIVE NOW: Eyes on the Rate Cut, Hyperliquid's Stablecoin, & Crypto IPO Szn
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
3 days
Be live in just over 10 mins 🔔
@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
3 days
Join me and @ustinKnight in a few hours where we’ll discuss what’s next after today’s CPI read, Hyperliquid’s new stablecoin + more. Live here on X.
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
3 days
What do we think happens next week when/if the Fed cuts by 25bps?
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
3 days
Core CPI hits expectations @ 0.3% MoM. Jobless claims coming in with the highest rise in four years, too. Bond yields responding but seems like equities/crypto are relatively flat (need to see how today ends). This likely means a 25bps cut. Calls for 50bps will be a little
@solidintel_x
Solid Intel 📡
3 days
INTEL: 🇺🇸 United States CPI (MoM) (Aug) $USD Actual: 0.4% 🟢 Expected: 0.3% Previous: 0.2% 🇺🇸 United States CPI (YoY) (Aug) $USD Actual: 2.9% Expected: 2.9% Previous: 2.7% 🇺🇸 United States Initial Jobless Claims $USD Actual: 263K 🟢 Expected: 235K Previous: 236K
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
3 days
Join me and @ustinKnight in a few hours where we’ll discuss what’s next after today’s CPI read, Hyperliquid’s new stablecoin + more. Live here on X.
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
3 days
Here’s how JPMorgan’s trading desk have modelled out different scenarios for tomorrow’s Core CPI print. Based on the history of PPI<>CPI this year, going long now feels like an interesting risk/reward play (NFA). Every time we’ve had a downside surprise in PPI, Core CPI has too
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
3 days
Fed Funds futures now showing a 10% chance of a 50bps cut 👀
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@pinecone
Pinecone
11 days
Foundation models are stuck in the past, but they intentionally produce natural-sounding and varied responses. These can lead to hallucinations. We explore the limitations of foundation models and how RAG can address these so chat, search, and agentic workflows can all benefit.
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
4 days
EDIT: Downside surprise of 0.4% on PPI.
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
4 days
⚠️ Downside surprise of 0.2% on PPI. Send it! 🚀 🚀 🟢
@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
4 days
Big day today. PPI data released in 45 mins. PPI is kinda like the middle child of inflation data, but it's taking the spotlight this month due to coming out (unusually) before CPI. Every month this year (except August), Core CPI and PPI have matched on whether there's an
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
4 days
Big day today. PPI data released in 45 mins. PPI is kinda like the middle child of inflation data, but it's taking the spotlight this month due to coming out (unusually) before CPI. Every month this year (except August), Core CPI and PPI have matched on whether there's an
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
6 days
Something else to pay close attention to is the credit spreads across both high-yield OAS and high-yield lower quality bonds. This tracks the difference in yield between the risk free rate (tbills of the same duration) and corporate bonds. When we see the credit spreads
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
6 days
We’re in an awkward spot from a macro perspective. Going into last week, a downside surprise on the payrolls number sounded bullish (due to rate cut lock-in). The scale of the downside and the revision to June data has now created real questions about the strength of the US
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
6 days
We’re in an awkward spot from a macro perspective. Going into last week, a downside surprise on the payrolls number sounded bullish (due to rate cut lock-in). The scale of the downside and the revision to June data has now created real questions about the strength of the US
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
9 days
Why are we dumping?!
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
9 days
Wow. 22k NF Payrolls (vs 74k est). Nothing stops the rate cut now.
@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
10 days
ADP employment data came way below the estimate (54k vs 73k est). Jobless Claims also dropped today and came above est. Would be surprised if we don’t see these too employment exact same tomorrow with NF Payrolls. Tomorrow could end up being a very green day for risk.
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@matthewbarby
Matthew Howells-Barby Ξ mhb.eth
9 days
We are LIVE! Join me, @Dentoshi and @Tradermayne now while we discuss where the markets are and where they’re going 🚀 https://t.co/NXGwbrEyZU
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