Maria Tadeo
@mariatad
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Europe correspondent. RT not endorsement.
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From Davos, Finland’s PM Sanna Marin says «we don’t know when the war ends - but Ukraine has to win. I don’t see another choice.»
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Ojo a las palabras de Merkel: sumar con la extrema derecha, por activa o pasiva, incluso a nivel local, es una decision imperdonable. Ha usado esa palabra: imperdonable.
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A second audio from Berlusconi has leaked in which he is heard saying «Ukraine violated the Minsk deal, Zelenskiy tripled attacks on Donbas and pushed Putin to a special operation» that was supposed to last a week but escalated after the West sent money and weapons to Kyiv. 1/
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!! The ambassador of the Russian federation walked out of a United Nations session as the head of the European Council spoke of atrocities in Ukraine. The head of EU Council snapped: «You may leave the room, maybe it’s easier for you not to hear the truth.»
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Meloni has harshest words for Russia. «Whether it was air defense or Russia, it doesn’t change the substance - Russia is systematically destroying Ukrainian infrastructure and knows full well the risks it takes on the Polish border. Russia is ultimately responsible for it.»
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What a speech. Macron says Russia has triggered a new era of imperialism and colonialism. Peace and negotiations will only work if “Ukraine sovereignty respected, its territories liberated and its security protected”.
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Polish PM calls for an urgent EUCO leaders summit, says current sanctions “aren’t working” and calls to sever all trade relations with Russia without delay.
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El mero hecho que llevemos dos semanas debatiendo si el aire acondicionado a 27 grados es un sacrificio me confirma que no tenemos ni idea de la que se viene encima este invierno en Europa.
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Ukrainian journalist asks Lavrov «Aside from grain, what else is Russia stealing from Ukraine?»
#CANLI
Rusya Dışişleri Bakanı Sergey Lavrov: Tahılların limanlardan çıkması için sayın Zelenskiy'in talimat vermesi gerekiyor sadece o kadar
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FROM KYIV -
Ursula von der Leyen tells Bloomberg «Ukraine should get the military equipment it needs. They’re fighting for a brave country but also values. It’s autocracy vs democracy - I’m deeply convinced democracy will have the stamina.»
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Berlusconi says he’d rather not say out loud what he thinks about Zelenskiy. Then continues: «I don’t see how Putin and Zelensky can talk. Unless there’s an intervention, the war won’t end» worth noting this is a private conversation where Berlusconi asks for maximum discretion.
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It’s done - Finally - Russian oil cap settled and full import ban of Russian seaborne oil effective TODAY
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As night falls in Kyiv, Zelenskiy posts video message with members of cabinet: we’re all here
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Berlusconi - personally - and Forza Italia - generally - now on damage control saying the leaked audios were taken out of context and are part of a longer conversation. But the recordings are now national scandal and puts Forza Italia in uncomfortable position for two reasons:
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Forza Italia is part of the EPP - same as Von der Leyen - who is one of the most vocal supporters of Ukraine - and the Italian government itself is up in the air. Meloni, the incoming premier, has said her foreign policy would stick to Draghi’s supportive stance.
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From Strasbourg, Europe’s energy commissioner
@KadriSimson
tells me «the era of cheap Russian energy is over - sanctions will stay. We will stand by Ukraine. It’s an energy war - but we have a plan.»
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Long into the night - Zelenskiy goes on tv to say he’s staying in Kyiv
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If you listen to the Ukrainian authorities attentively, there’s two messages they’re pushing for:
I. A ceasefire is these conditions is a bad idea. War goals for Ukraine have changed with major weapons deliveries from the USA, can shift from defensive to counteroffensive
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Pedro Sanchez no da rueda de prensa posterior al consejo europeo y delega en la ministra de exteriores. Macron, Conte, Merkel, todos han hablado.
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Aclaremos algunos puntos:
La vía diplomática ha sido la vía privilegiada hasta el último minuto.
La semana previa a la invasión, Macron viajó Moscú Kiev Berlín. Se reunió con Putin, Zelenskiy, Scholz y Duda. El alemán, lo mismo. Los americanos pensaban reunirse con Lavrov.
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La presidenta de la Comisión Von der Leyen: «El modelo de España y Portugal ha servido para reducir el precio de la electricidad. Merece ser estudiado a nivel europeo.»
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Former Ukranian president
@poroshenko
says please stop comparing the war in Ukraine to Brexit: « How many died there? Zero. How many of us? Thousands.»
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Draghi on energy embargo: «Do we want peace or air conditioning?»
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The convoy of leaders including Poland, Slovenia and Czech Republic - pictured on their way to Ukraine.
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! Goldman Sachs no longer predicts a recession in the euro area - upgrades GDP forecast to +0.6% for 2023 vs -0.1% prior per research note
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Mañana nace una iniciativa muy interesante. Un grupo de 50 economistas, academicos dice NO a participar en eventos, mesas redondas que no incluyan mujeres. Lo contamos en Bloomberg. Atentos mañana.
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In Berlin, German finance minister
@c_lindner
tells me Germany won’t pay rubles for gas. «Is it blackmail? Yes. We won’t pay in rubles to make his life easy. What if Putin cuts flows? We’ll find a way»
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I’m surprised to see the controversy around Macron being optimistic/ pessimistic about Ukraine. For the foreign press - I was there - the message was clear: I’m an optimist, but I’m also realistic…don’t see a ceasefire in the next few hours.
That was Friday. No changes.
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Un jefe de gobierno se expresa en la lengua que quiere y desea en público. Pero la política en Bruselas se hace en los pasillos, fuera de aula, bilaterales sin móvil ni sherpa. Sin inglés, complicado.
Feijóo: "Mi problema no es el gallego o el castellano, es el inglés". El líder del PP revela que iba a empezar a estudiarlo con un profesor el lunes pasado. "Resulta que ahora me convocan elecciones". En las cumbres internacionales, dice, importa que se sepa lo que quiere decir.
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Except this is inaccurate- Macron told the international press exactly the same thing he told the French: “Putin has launched a war, targets civilians, we push for a ceasefire but - honestly - it’s unrealistic to say we’ll see one in next hours.”
I know because I was there
Pour Marine Le Pen (
@MLP_officiel
), "le président de la République se sert de la guerre en Ukraine pour faire peur aux Français"
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A ceasefire, which they don’t believe would last much, would allow Russia to take a breather and prepare for next. Question is; can there be peace without military strength? For Ukrainians, answer is no.
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In Prague, Macron now pitches «strategic intimacy» to partners and allies. That’s a quote.
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Ukrainian foreign minister told me Monday; «You can’t say Ukraine you belong in the European family and yet give us no perspective.»
It’s worth watching:
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2. EU candidate status. It’s the absolute political priority for Ukraine over short term. They want something on paper by June when European leaders meet in Brussels. Ukrainians, I know, are really pushing for it. Workarounds like pre to pre candidate status doesn’t work for them
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Last point, Kuleba told us Monday «We don’t want an inch of anyone else’s territory, but we want everything that’s ours back.»
And that goes back to my earlier point on ceasefire - without meaningful troop pullback for Ukraine means longer occupation.
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NEW: US and EU reach energy deal for additional supply of 15 billion cubic meters of LNG to the continent, neutralizing Russia’s current imports per EU Commission
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Estonian PM
@kajakallas
says at one point West will have to seriously debate what to do with Russia’s frozen reserves. Ukraine’s war effort and reconstruction will need unprecedented funding. It’s enormous - «make Russia pay».
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Yes visuals matter - often times - a picture captures the story better than words. And these huddles on sidelines can be more revealing about internal dynamics than a statement.
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Thank you to
@Tsihanouskaya
for joining us earlier on Bloomberg under such difficult circumstances
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At 6am europe time, Ukraine’s defence minister sent this report: “the capital of our motherland is our under control - exhaust the Russian troops.”
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en españa se da una cosa curiosa: indigna la corrupcion salvo cuando salpica a tu partido...entonces la culpa es los medios que exageran.
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!! Mark Rutte predicts a long night. Be very afraid; last time he predicted a long summit I ended doorstepping him at 5am outside a hotel.
I was dead. He was fine.
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Zelenskiy addressed European leaders via conference tonight. He said Ukraine has downed 200 drones in a month. «Russia must pay for this terror. Iran must be deprived of any possibility or even desire to supply such drones» to Moscow.
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Ukraine’s PM
@Denys_Shmyhal
says the Ukrainian army has stabilized front, military advances in north and south of Ukraine.
“Russia wants a long war - we want it over - and it’s possible with weapons. What does victory look like? Our territories back.”
My interview:
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As European ambassadors meet to sign off new sanctions, Ukrainian protest outside calls for «oil and gas embargo. Please German Ambassador Mr Clauss - listen»
Filmed by
@anaocejoldg
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Lavrov visibly irritated responds; Tell Zelenskiy to give the order. (To open ports) after two day visit to Turkey. Ukraine did not participate in the meeting, accusing it of weaponizing food exports.
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Latvian PM
@krisjaniskarins
tells me:
«I personally wouldn’t speak to someone who is committing genocide - but I understand some countries have different sensitivities.»
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Russia wants sanctions eased. The easiest way is stoking social tension to force a policy change.
No wonder Russian diplomats and affiliated media these days post more about energy bills than denazifying Ukraine. My column:
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Draghi ahead of EUCO meeting
«The EU has already activated the procedure for Ukraine’s membership. The process is long and time will be needed for functioning integration » but leaders gotta support the move.
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In his final press conference, Draghi says «supporting Ukraine is a duty.» almost a moral obligation
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On Putin - Draghi says he’s always supported Macron’s diplomatic efforts under the EU presidency but talking hasn’t stopped the horrors of war. The Italian premier adds: «I’m beginning to think those who say talking to Putin is useless are right.»
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On gas - Draghi says it goes both ways. Russia has leverage as seller, but so does Europe as buyer. He says Italian pitch to cap price of Russian imports is gaining consensus. And adds: Russia is sleep walking toward bankruptcy, which Moscow denies.
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At G7, Emmanuel Macron says missile strike on shopping center shows “once again, the Russian army committing war crimes.”
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Belgian PM now at crisis center joined by the justice & interior ministers
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!! Russia confirms retreat calling it a “regrouping of forces” - Ukraine says it succeeded in offensive operation.
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Conte goes on the most watched political show in Spain TV and tells audience: Italy and Spain are in this together...we can count on each other.
This is the type of stuff that goes straight to the heart of someone watching tv locked up at home.
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On arming Ukraine - Draghi says economic sanctions are designed to weaken Russia’s war machine but they won’t physically stop troops on the grounds. «Ukraine’s will to resist occupation. If we don’t help them directly - it’s like asking them to give up, surrender and submit.”
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On Biden’s genocide remarks - which differ to some EU leaders referring to Bucha as war crimes - Draghi says both terms carry a specific legal meaning, but interestingly says USA intel has been most accurate.
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Spain to join Leopard tank coalition after Berlin shift.
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Alemania lleva meses advirtiendo un momento Lehman energético, Francia tiene la flota nuclear tocada y a día de hoy paga 540 euros el megavatio. Incluso con el stock de gas lleno, Europa compra dos meses de tiempo. Tormenta perfecta para la industria y de ahí todo lo que le sigue
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Ukraine confirms talks with Russia on Belarus border - says Lukashenko has personally guaranteed the safety of the delegation sent by Ukranians.
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El fiasco francés nos ha enseñado una lección muy valiosa: todos los países que prometan un impuesto digital de forma unilateral...se lo van a comer con patatas. O hay reforma a nivel Europeo/OECD. O no hay impuesto.
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Zelenskiy’s diplomatic advisor Ihor Zhovkva tells me «As I’ve told you, we are not going to give away territory, we won’t cede an inch - especially not in Donbas. Russia has thrown everything at it - I won’t get tired of saying Ukraine needs immediate supply of heavy weapons.»
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My interview with Ukrainian foreign minister
@DmytroKuleba
«This war is the product of a decade of Russian appeasement. At one point, you have to go: OK the policy has failed. You can’t pacify Russia at the expense of Ukraine. Why should we concede for a ceasefire?»
Part 2
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spain is no italy: sanchez appoints veteran socialist josep borrell for foreign minister. strong EU advocate, former president of the European Parliament describes himself as Catalan, Spanish and European
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After what he described would be the hardest night, Zelenskiy posts early morning video saying he’s in Kyiv (films outside) and says: “We will not lay down any weapons.”
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Lavrov was supposed to fly to Serbia for a high level meeting. His trip now cancelled after neighbors declined air space passage. Anything that goes West, Russian diplomacy is blocked.
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