Lourenço VS
@lourenco_vs
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Ex Investment Banker turned into Crypto enthusiast and investor 🇵🇹
Lisbon, Portugal
Joined April 2022
$BTC roadmap. My thesis summarised in one chart. Enjoy the last few months of fireworks.
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If you didn´t know what chart this was, would you long or short here? Or wouldn´t do nothing?
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This is what it makes it worthwhile for me. Not the cars, nor the watches, not the bling bling. I hope to seeing you all get a step ahead in life. Keep winning please, that´s all the paying I need.
@lourenco_vs Hi sir, i would really thank you for all you are teaching and will teach to all of us, i learned thanks to you to be objective in this world full of people talking too much. Thanks to you i will make life changeing decision. One day, soon, i will repay you back for the kindness.
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$BTC sideways update. Bitty is running on borrowed time here. What´s it gonna be Bitty, show us your hand already.
$BTC sideways. Sideways chop seems to be running out of time soon. Tic-tac.
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S&P. I have some short term concerns here. S&P has been going absolutely ballistic. We are now way overbought on the medium and short timeframes as we go kiss a multi-year trend. I think that a correction here may be called for. If thats the case we know that this can somehow
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#MacroTimeline. I know that everyone and their granny says that in October they are out, i.e. in 2 month´s time. But looking objectively at the charts, these sort of setups can take 5+ months to unfold. I´m not even talking about the super cycle bullshit, but I think that as is.
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Draw a chart of your Alt spot bag P&L and overlay it with the Total 3 one. If it´s underperforming the Total 3 chart then it means you're poorly allocated. That´s the definition of underperformance, if you are not at least keeping track with the Index.
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#TipOfTheDay. Every time you do something wrong, something you regret or wishing you had done it in a slightly different way, write it down in a pice of paper. Once a month read that list and incorporate it in your decision making process going forward.
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#Total3 retest. Mofos are crying with a 0.382 retracement into a retest of previous highs. What sort of sort of better chart would they prefer, an up only? That would be worst for the structure. Let price do its thing as it moves higher. All looking great - stop crying, it´s
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$BTC chopping away. Gave you this pattern before it was even visible back on the 16th. Still in play, chopping ongoing, normal consolidation. For the most bullish case I would actually prefer that we go below and grab that liquidity before it finally can break the highs with no
$BTC short term. If I had to guess this correction is still going to last a little longer. 2 possible counts here that would make sense. On the HTF this doesn't make any difference, as long as we are above 113k on the daily & weekly, full bull.
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#USDT Dominance. I guess yesterday´s call on this chart was quite pertinent. I don't think it has to necessarilly go all the way into the measured move, but very likely that those FVGs at 4.35% ish will get tagged sooner or later. Probably still a bit more pain and a bit more
#USDT Dominance. Although the price structure is giving me expansion vibes, by looking at this chart alone I see a red flag. We have reached my measured move (horizontal purple line) and it has been finding support there. We have also been disconnected for quite a while from
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#VIX . Remember back in April when people were ripping their hair out and we were anticipating the VIX to retrace the full move back to base camp?. Thanks for playing you Wall Street cooks. Let it die, we want to see it below 15 over the next few months for full risk-on mania.
#VIX . VIX substantially retracing since the 7-9 April capitulation peak. Still there were some people "de-risking" around those days, when they should be loading up. How can someone make it in trading/investing by selling at lows? Weird to me.
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Total3/BTC. Alts broke out from the first level wedge and retesting it (red trend). There´s also a support level in confluence at 0.43. This could be a good place to bounce off. On the macro once we flip the 0.47-0.5 level Alts should be run to fly against BTC (meaning a resume
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Is our dragon friend "Crypto Bro" gonna put his tongue out before he spits some fire?
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$BTC local top. Same story, the funding rates and derivative premiums suggesting we are nowhere near a froth environment here. Current consolidation is healthy and this chop is helping a number of indicators to reset. On the HTF, no local top in sight until the 1.6x
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$BTC sideways. I´m not by any means your time pivot expert, but from a pattern perspective which is what I´m usually quite good at spotting, I would say that the timing for the next move is really approaching. Expect the unexpected with a possible counter move first before the
$BTC sideways. Sideways chop seems to be running out of time soon. Tic-tac.
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$BTC short term update. BTC been raping degenerate longs and shorts in this chop. These consolidation phases are a profit making machine for exchanges. Fake out above, are we now going for that E wave down fake out and major liquidity grab? My USDT.D post from yesterday says
#BTC short term update. Back to the drawing board. We seem to have done that D wave up and we are now in the fake out move. Is this little breakdown the fake out or just the "test" fake out? Not sure, we will soon find out. I think this needs to go deeper but we shall see.
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#USDT Dominance. Although the price structure is giving me expansion vibes, by looking at this chart alone I see a red flag. We have reached my measured move (horizontal purple line) and it has been finding support there. We have also been disconnected for quite a while from
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SUI, LINK, ADA, XRP. Me like, Me approve.
JUST IN: 🇺🇸 SEC approves conversion of Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund into an ETF holding the following cryptocurrencies:. • BTC .• ETH .• XRP .• SOL .• ADA .• SUI .• LTC.• DOT .• LINK .• AVAX.
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