Linera ⛓️
@linera_io
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Linera is the next-generation blockchain for the real-time, agentic Web.
Joined December 2021
gmicrochains ⛓️ The Real‑Time Blockchain meets the Game of Life. Today, we’re launching Linera Testnet Conway, the latest phase of Linera’s public testnet: ultra‑low‑latency microchains + a new points program. Connect your wallet, play the game, and climb the leaderboard 👇🧵
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🧠 Wrap-up: PMs are pulling in everyone from media giants to Wall Street titans. Regulators stay cautious, but the category keeps growing fast. What question would you trade on next? Drop one below. Maybe “Will Coinbase launch its own PM?” 👀
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🗞️ TIME x Galactic: Axios reports TIME will launch a prediction-market platform on Galactic’s https://t.co/rlA1cYL7uw, letting users trade on news events and feeding TIME real-time interest data. Follows similar deals with Sports Illustrated and Yahoo Finance.
predictor.io
Powered by Galactic’s prediction tech and trusted by Sports Illustrated. From the creators of Prime, Misfits Boxing, and The Baller League.
Galactic announces partnership with Time Built on https://t.co/0NuRcxkTVC Galactic will power Time’s prediction markets, delivering prediction markets across news, politics, entertainment and more In partnership with @truth_network_ Launch early 2026 https://t.co/W4pSq7ymcI
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🕵️ Polymarket users lost $200K on a Ukraine capture market. A wallet loaded YES at 0.3¢, the ISW map flipped to “captured,” the market settled YES, then the flip vanished. Insider 100x’d; NO holders wiped. Reliance on single resolution sources is a bug.
Polymarket users just lost $200,000. Not to a hack. Not to a rug pull. But to one employee at a non-profit who figured out a loophole. Here's how the fraud was pulled off: On Polymarket, there are so called "capture markets" on the Ukraine war. They predict how the front
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💸 Bloomberg: Wall Street + Silicon Valley are piling in. ICE CEO Jeff Sprecher pledged up to $2B to Polymarket, lifting its valuation past $12B; Kalshi’s north of $10B. CBOE, CME & DraftKings eye event contracts, while regulators and Trump Jr.’s advisory role raise flags.
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📺 CBS News dug into the PM boom. Kalshi trader Joel Holsinger says he makes ~$3k/week (but once lost $700). Co-founder Tarek Mansour frames Kalshi as a yes/no “stock market.” Critics warn of gamblification; sports betting is legal in 31 states.
Prediction markets, like Kalshi, which allow people to place wagers on everything from elections and sports to the anticipated bridesmaids at Taylor Swift's wedding, are booming. But this burgeoning business model is coming under scrutiny.
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"Real-time" onchain shouldn’t mean waiting seconds. On the Acc Podcast, Mathieu @ma2bd breaks down how @linera_io’s testnet is already near 200ms and why true real-time UX could land in the 50-100ms range once optimizations and geographic sharding kick in.
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Prediction markets aren’t broken; they just need infrastructure that moves at the speed of truth. Read the full piece:
linera.io
Why liquidity collapses in prediction markets: how perfect information, binary outcomes, and insider edge make market making a structurally losing game.
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Why it matters: ⚡ Accuracy increases fragility — truth punishes liquidity 🏛️ Traditional AMMs fail because binary outcomes erase one side 🧠 Real-time systems help by breaking exposure into fast, contained micro-positions
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Why prediction-market liquidity breaks: 🔮 Perfect information means one side always goes to zero 🧮 Makers can’t hedge timing or venue gaps ⚠️ News drops anytime, creating constant gap risk 📉 Losses widen spreads and drive makers out
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📐 Prediction markets sound elegant in theory, but the math tells a harsher story. Liquidity gets punished instead of rewarded. Full breakdown here: https://t.co/tcoLX434jd 🧵
linera.io
Why liquidity collapses in prediction markets: how perfect information, binary outcomes, and insider edge make market making a structurally losing game.
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For a deeper dive into how Linera × Staex brings real-world IoT data on-chain with parallel microchains, read the full announcement:
linera.io
Linera’s unique architecture lets users interact directly with small chains of blocks, called microchains, allowing applications to read and write onchain data with the lowest latency and highest...
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Hear the full technical breakdown from Staex and Linera, from chain design to throughput modeling and real-time fleet telemetry:
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On this week's workshop, @Staex_io’s founder & CEO @alexandrastaex broke down why real-world telemetry fits perfectly on Linera microchains: 🚌 1 bus, 1 microchain for 1,500 buses 🔐 trusted data of every timestamp ⚡ 1 billion+ events/day at 12k/second Real DePIN on real roads
🔧 Developer Workshop with Linera x Staex — Join Us Tomorrow! Staex is partnering with @linera_io for a developer workshop focused on how 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐢𝐧 and 𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐫𝐨𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐬 enable real-time, verifiable IoT networks. 📡 Live telemetry
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Prediction Markets: The Future of Collective Intelligence & On-Chain Forecasting Time: 9pm-10pm UTC+8 November 20th, 2025 Join us: https://t.co/fQK91TxP2k Hosted by @DFG__Official & @JSquare_co Moderator: Alex Chen, Growth Manager at BlockTempo @BlockTempo Speakers: Mathieu
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Excellent sharing. Agreed with everything in the analysis. Prediction market will create multiple unicorns and disrupting igaming, sportsbook, casino and maybe taking some shares from commodities market. As you mentioned, distribution, liquidity, fragmentation, algorithm/risk,
Polymarket was paying $50k/day to market makers at one point. Now it's $0.025 per $100 traded. That collapse tells you everything about why prediction markets are still in beta: https://t.co/eW1By1aZjI
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🔧 Developer Workshop with Linera x Staex — Join Us Tomorrow! Staex is partnering with @linera_io for a developer workshop focused on how 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐢𝐧 and 𝐦𝐢𝐜𝐫𝐨𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐬 enable real-time, verifiable IoT networks. 📡 Live telemetry
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🚨 Final day for Wave 2 submissions. Don’t be late, be real-time. Build on Linera microchains and get in for grants, mentorship, XP & POAPs. Submit ASAP:
app.akindo.io
### 🚀 What is Linera? Linera is the **first real-time Layer-1 blockchain** designed for the nex
🚨 Don’t be Late. Be Real-Time. Introducing the Linera Buildathon, where developers build the next generation of instant, agentic, onchain apps powered by Linera’s microchains.
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