Kim
@kimtalkscrypto
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I simplify macro analysis so you can trade the crypto markets ✦ learn for free: https://t.co/xzSMTSKOTm ✦ @ZCTraders
Joined August 2022
Trump just reshaped the world economy. There's a lot of noise. Not a lot of clarity. Here’s a high-signal breakdown of:. – What tariffs actually are.– Who benefits and who bleeds.– How this plays out for crypto and markets. Let’s get into it.👇.
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BTC traders: forget Powell’s speeches, watch the 10Y. - 10Y is stuck at 4.3% (unchanged for 8 months).- Inflation expectations still 3.3% (vs Fed’s 2% target). As long as the 10Y refuses to drop, deep cuts and a real BTC breakout stay unlikely.
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All eyes on Friday’s Jackson Hole speech. Crypto is currently hypersensitive to macro. Bull case: Fed signals a September rate cut. - Data that strengthens this case → BTC up.- Data that weakens it → BTC down.
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The importance of value weighted decision making . - Don’t ask an unfit person about health. - An unsuccessful entrepreneur about business. Select inputs carefully…
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September could be a game changer . Market pricing in an interest rate cut . Almost a certainty (c.90% likelihood) . Historically, cuts = bullish crypto
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RT @KoroushAK: Altseason Money Flow:. ETH> Major Caps > Mid and Micro Caps> Crash. This is outdated. The money flow cycle has completely c….
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CPI Update -> Mixed print. - July CPI: 2.7% YoY (softer than expected).- Core CPI: 3.1% YoY (hotter than expected). Headline inflation cools, but core is sticky. Bitcoin barely moved, hovering $119K.
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Crypto traders. Watch the charts at 8.30am ET tomorrow. This is when CPI is coming out. Which reveals the state of US Inflation. Markets expect: .- 0.2% MoM.- 2.8% YoY. If the results differ significantly, we will see it on the Bitcoin charts. .
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Institutional Investors are Back . - U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs end 4 day net outflow streak .- With $91.5 million in inflows on Wednesday. This demands helps drive Bitcoin prices
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How to Trade Consistently. -> Trade everyday for 66 days. -> This is how long it takes to build a habit. After which point, it becomes routine. Requiring far less discipline and will power.
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The most overlooked skill in trading? . - Understanding market conditions . Even the BEST strategy will not perform in the WRONG market conditions
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Will power is not on will call . You can’t summon motivation all the time . Your focus is a finite resource . Use it wisely
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Bitcoin has been notably less volatile than usual. A sign that institutional flows are starting to dominate retail-driven price action. It’s not the same parabolic retail frenzy we saw in 2021. It’s calmer, more sustained, and likely reflects structured accumulation.
The current Bitcoin surge isn’t random. It’s being fueled by President Trump’s secret war against the globalists’ banks. His administration is creating a new financial system. A $250K target price is not bullish enough. I’ve spent over 400 hours in the past two months
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Yesterdays flash crash caused major liquidations . $431 million in long and short positions wiped out. This follows the Feds hawkish comments . Hawkish = not likely to cut rates = implies lower liquidity environments = bearish crypto.
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RT @KoroushAK: FOMC today. Unless you know you can trade these high volatility days well, observe and paper trade.
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RT @crypto_birb: For an average risk-averse trader, it is best to stay on the sidelines. Here’s why:. 1. Short-term Impact .Don't expect a….
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Should you trade FOMC days?. Most shouldn’t. Tomorrow at 8:30am ET, expect serious volatility across BTC and crypto. It’s not a time to “beat the market.”. It’s a time to protect capital and wait for clarity.
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This events causes a lot of volatility in crypto markets. 🇺🇸Non-farm Payrolls. Friday 1st August. 8.30am ET. If data comes in strong/high -> expect BTC to dump.If data comes in weak/low -> BTC go up
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Calm seas don’t make strong sailors. And you don’t rise by avoiding the waves. Onwards 🤝
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