
Julius Sommer
@julius5207
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sharing my daily thoughts, reads and gambles | LONG $BABA $PDD $BZ $EVO | I hunt in unloved markets to find what others overlook | NFA
Frankfurt
Joined April 2025
🗓️AUGUST 2025 PORTFOLIO UPDATE MY PORTFOLIO YTD: +14%🟢 S&P500 YTD: +10%🟢 MSCI WORLD YTD: -0.7%🔴 💹My positions: $BABA $PDD $BZ $EVO $BIDU $CPNG $EL $IAG $GOLD ALLOCATION BY COUNTRY / ASSET CLASS: 🇨🇳China: 65% 🇺🇲USA: 9% 🇰🇷S.Korea: 3% 🟡GOLD: 7% 💵EURO: 2% 🇬🇧GB: 4%
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As the price of $BABA trends higher, more and more AI/cloud-related news is being released, feeding the "fancy" tech sentiment. It seems increasingly likely this stock could pull a "Chinese Nvidia"-like price increase. I am definitely not selling any of my shares this year.
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At some point in this cycle, fund managers are risking their careers if they are not at least somewhat allocated to Chinese stocks. $BABA should be the biggest beneficiary of this evolving trend. 35% of my net worth is in $BABA.
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When a stock like $CPNG is breaking out on the intraday timeframe on a huge volume increase without any bullish news, after it consolidated for a couple of months and lots of people lost interest, you know you are onto something. Coupang is currently 3% of my portfolio.
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Historically, if $BIDU shows significant strength, like it has done in the last couple of days/weeks, a big bull market for Chinese tech stocks $KWEB has happened. Maybe you get some, just in case it catches on.
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Most media journalists, analysts, and value investors miss the really great companies because they don't understand you can't buy a Mercedes for a price of a Chevrolet. Stocks are like professional athletes. The best ones are always higher priced. So $BABA is better than $JD
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Patterns that are obvious to everyone simply don't work well. They need to be not so obvious to most investors. The market moves opposite to majority or crowd consensus thinking.
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The recipe for a China equity rally: $KWEB $BABA $PDD $BIDU $BZ Weaker dollar ✅ Lower yields ✅ Lower Oil ✅ Detensioning USA and China✅
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$BABA daily chart story is clear: supply is weak (low volume pullback), demand is strong (high volume breakout). This is bullish.
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Against an overall bearish backdrop, $BABA exhibited significant relative strength, posting a 2.7% daily gain. The move was confirmed by heavy institutional interest, with daily volume exploding to 3x the average. Seems like Wall Street starts liking chinese tech stocks.
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$QQQ down -1%, while $BABA and $PDD Up +2%. The guy who declines in any way of being allocated to $KWEB is highly ignorant and emotional. Everything and really everything tells me to be Long CHINA.
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The most bullish setup is when the crowd disagrees with your thesis, yet the charts confirm it by making higher highs and higher lows. Conversely, the most bearish setup occurs when the crowd agrees with your thesis, but the price action contradicts it by making lower highs and
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By far, my two strongest positions in this market environment are $GOLD and $BABA.
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The $DXY is snapping back while backend yields and OIL is rising. This will push the FED towards a more hawkish tone. This will temporarily put pressure on risk on assets $QQQ. Let's see how chinese equities $BABA $PDD $BZ $BIDU hold up, now that they are being strength tested
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Biggest one day percentage gain for $BABA since March 22. The train is off by now.
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$BABA is about to steal $NVDA's crown. MARKET CAP $BABA = $285 billion MARKET CAP $NVDA = $4230 billion
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Made a good stack on $GOLD which was 40% of my portfolio at some point. But also took some losses on smaller positions like $GOOSE and $JD Currently my YTD performance is 18%.
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When your stock is up some, you should hope it'll go higher instead of fearing it'll stop going up and selling before it has a chance to complete it's move. And when your stock is going down and losing money, you should fear it'll fall even more, instead of hoping beyond hope
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