Josh Karnes - Author
@joshkarnes
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Author
Cedar Park, TX
Joined February 2009
We've had a half-week long frustrating fight with the smoke alarms in our house. Makes me wonder if whoever designs these things ever tried to use them in their own house. Seems there might be a lot of space to innovate here.
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There's a massive secret upside to AI that I won't tell you because once the AI/LLM vendors discover it, it will end. There's a hint about it in my upcoming book Mind Games, which is fiction but unfortunately slightly cautionary.
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Yesterday, my 6yo grandson was over and we were putting cedar boards on the treehouse walls. He asked why I picked those boards, and I said I thought it made it look like a cabin. This morning he was watching YT videos on how to build a cabin. The boy's getting ready.
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@PentatonicWay Here's my submission for week 147 of the #PWImprovJam. I've missed this guitar!
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Bored reading y'all's X posts, gonna go write some more chapters in my guitar tone book while I enjoy my third cup of coffee.
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My adult daughters think I'm a laundry superhero. Today I got to work on a stain on a white cotton/poly sweatshirt. Tried pure acetone, Simple Green, Fast Orange, pressure washer, and finally cracked the code with good old bleach, which I figured she must have already tried.
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I have about half of my guitar tone book written. Just starting to get heavily into gear and equipment details. This is going to be unlike anything else you've seen on this topic.
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Mike Rowe is a national treasure, and if this is any indication, his parents are legends. Happy Anniversary to the Rowes.
This photo was taken in Baltimore, back 2018. My Dad had just gotten an iPad, and didn’t know where the camera lens was. Obviously. Nevertheless, he snapped a photo that made us all laugh, and today, on the occasion of their 65th wedding anniversary, I thought they could both use
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Had my MacBook Pro broken screen replaced. They wiped the HD without asking me. Awesome. Deleted a whole bunch of stuff I hadn't backed up forever. Great work guys. smh
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But you're not going to be able to afford the home your parents bought when they were 40 when you're under 30, and not in the part of town that was the outskirts when your parents were 40 but is a posh suburb now. That's silly.
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If you want to buy like your grandparents did, then get married and buy a 1200sqft home with yours+spouse's income. No prob. You can probably find plenty of these little houses if you get outside the high-demand areas. It's not that hard.
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So if you're a 28 year old single person trying to buy a home, you likely can't afford it. It's not because homes are too expensive, it's because you aren't trying to buy the avg 1200sqft home from 1955, you're trying to buy avg 2200sqft home and with 2/3 the income.
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And since these mostly married people buying homes have more household income than they would have had in 1955, they choose to buy bigger and fancier homes, which cost a lot more. It's a lot more profitable to build the bigger homes, so there is low inventory of small homes.
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The problem is that there over a third more income earners and twice as many single people trying to buy a home today than there was 70 years ago. The median family income has increased because both spouses work more frequently now than in 1955.
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So you don't want lower housing prices. Believe me. It would be an unmitigated economic disaster. If it happened on a country-wide scale, it would make the Great Depression look like a picnic. So I'll tell you what's wrong, and what you do want instead.
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All those new immigrants are going to need somewhere to live. And they have a job, and you probably don't anymore, so they will buy those additional houses in inventory and you won't, because you are out of work.
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So the supply of labor would have to increase way more than demand increases if the price to build the homes is to be lower. Meaning we need to import a tens of millions more immigrant workers. That, by the way, will depress your own wages too. And increase housing demand.
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To increase supply, you'd have to build more houses. To do that today means hiring a whole lot more illegal aliens to build them. And we have to get those people from somewhere, so this border security thing would be a thing of the past.
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In order to actually make home prices go down, you have to either reduce demand, or increase supply. To reduce demand, there must be fewer capable buyers. A big old recession would do that nicely. Another way is to increase interest rates or raise the bar for borrowing.
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Then the gov't will be called upon to bail out these banks. So our nation's debt and taxes will both go way up to cover this. Plus lots of people and businesses who were reliant on that investment money will go bankrupt. This would be a recession of epic proportions.
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