JesterTrading
@jestertrading33
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Trader - ES, NQ, and more. Order flow, price action, and fundamentals. Not financial advice. #ES_F $ES #NQ_F $NQ
Joined October 2021
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Pinned Tweet
Here's some volume profile tips for helping to determine market direction.
#orderflow
#volumeprofile
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The perma bears don't seem to understand this but the market can't just magically teleport down thousands of points instantly. It takes time. The market needs to be consistently finding value lower.
It is literally impossible for the market to enter a bear market without value
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Sierra Chart isn't just the best trading platform.
Sierra Chart is the best software product on the planet.
Just wanted to put that out there.
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The Time and Sales doesn't get talked about much because it isn't a sexy topic but it's one of the most powerful tools in the game imo.
At 9:44 we started seeing a massive amount of supply hitting the market on the T&S. Earlier this weak I mentioned how it's all about liquidity
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It's best to avoid FOMO when trading. FOMO isn't just about chasing price, it's also about taking trades in obvious spots "just in case" it works out.
Whenever we get a volume node where the volume is heavy right at the lows a lot of traders will jump into a trade in this spot
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The guy who many call the best trading psychologist in the world admitted during a talk that he sucks at trading.
How much more of a clue do traders need that psychology isn't everything in trading like many say it is?
I was recently chatting with my friend Flint (
@OrderflowES
)
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There was a really nice clean order flow setup in the afternoon where we broke down below an HVN and then failed to break back inside. It tested the LVN below to the exact tick (the tick right below the HVN).
I didn't see this until I was reviewing the session as I was already
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The order flow doesn't lie. You could see buyers defending in an ideal spot after PCE data release on Friday. Right into that low volume area where they defended after the RTH open. I already gave the reason why they defended recently so now here's a glimpse of the order flow.😉
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This morning was a great example of how the DOM shows us details that price charts don't show us. On charts all you will see is price bouncing between two areas.
On the DOM you will see exactly where market participants are showing more interest and where they are absorbing.
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My friend Gabriel's favorite scalp entry setup ended up leading to the best trade of the day today on ES. It looked like the market might run the high again after poking above the LVN but the HOD held and it ended up working. It's one of the my favorite setups as well.
#ES_F
favorite scalp - creating volume at high/low leaving LVN
once below/above LVN its a trade against trapped traders at volume node
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Here's an example of using market profile, volume profile, and reclaims to gauge which side is in control on HTFs.
#ES_F
#marketprofile
#volumeprofile
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My friend Gabriel is a wizard on the DOM. What he shared below is powerful stuff guys. I enter and manage all trades on the DOM. The DOM is overpowered!
If you aren't using the DOM then I highly recommend you start looking into it. I get asked a lot which platform I'm using. I
#ES_F
scalping DOM
price moves down creating some volume at lows
leaving LVN area
once above LVN you go long against trapped traders at volume below
knowing 4580 area is support
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I just posted the first post on the blog. You can visit it at .
I mentioned that I would definitely have it ready this month so I went ahead and made it live. I had to switch the build system and everything because I wanted the site to load very fast which
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When the market is attempting to auction above/below a key area, the order flow can help us to see whether we reject the area or not.
On Friday we saw the market fail to auction above prior day high followed by lots of trapped longs exiting.
#ES_F
#orderflow
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Trading is one of the deepest and most interesting games in the world. It's a shame that so many want to make it only about the money and forget the game. To love the game and strive to be great at it is the key. The money follows that. Not the other way around.
#trading
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Here's how I combined current market context with order flow to spot the early morning low and switched from shorts to longs.
This morning the OVN inventory was short and we had put in a 30+ point move down off the IB high. We were also approaching an area that has been defended
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When someone (such as ICT) says that the DOM is useless, let that be a red flag to you that they might not know what they are talking about.
There's lots of traders who trade with far more size than ICT who use the DOM. You think they'd be using the DOM if it was useless? 😂
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Market profile plus footprint analysis on NQ from today's session. There were many opportunities both long and short today.
This covers a few details from the afternoon move off the LOD that lead to a big continuation move higher.
#NQ_F
#OrderFlow
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Here's some order flow analysis on NQ that shows an example of a failure to hold below the RTH open followed by a breakout backtest.
#NQ_F
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Here's some footprint analysis on NQ that shows how we saw absorption on a premarket high test and a failure to hold above before the market auctioned lower on Friday.
#NQ_F
#footprint
#orderflow
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I just posted another blog post. You can visit it at
Hope you find value and enjoy it.
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Here's some order flow and price action analysis on the 45-46 long setup on ES from RTH today.
#ES_F
#orderflow
#priceaction
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I just posted a blog post on volume profile. Check it out at
I need to start posting some DOM content so that will be up next sometime this week.
#VolumeProfile
#Orderflow
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Wanna know what separates me from almost all of the accounts on Fintwit that have hundreds of thousands of followers? I'd rather have a huge impact on just one person's life than to have 100K followers. These clowns can't relate.
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Here's an example of using footprint charts to view the micro auctions/volume distributions that show us where trapped traders are at. Trapped traders are a big part of what keeps things moving intraday when the market isn't reacting to economic events/news.
#ES_F
$ES
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Not enough traders talking about the DOM current trades column (recent trades in Sierra Chart). It's one of the most powerful order flow tools. One of the main things I look at to see if we accept/reject an area and to see momentum. Very useful stuff!
#ES_F
#orderflow
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When the market fails to hold above/below an extreme of a recent major area of positioning, that's one of the best trading setups.
If it fails on one side it will often attempt to test/break the other side. This example is from today's RTH session on YM (Dow futures).
#YM_F
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Opening ranges are nice but what's even nicer is when the surrounding context is favorable.
If the market is trading above prior day value/highs and we are above the opening range then that's going to be better than being above the opening range on an inside day. Context is key.
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Here's an example of using orderflow on higher time frames (4hr footprint) on ES to see if a large move is failing or not. This shows the failed breakout from October 24th that lead to a few more days of downside continuation. Very clear on the order flow.
#ES_F
#orderflow
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Holding a losing trade in hopes that it turns around isn't a strategy, it's exchanging our control for chance.
We remain in control when we cut trades that aren't working.
Hope doesn't move the market.
#trading
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Here's some price action and order flow analysis on the low of day reversal on ES. We saw the lows of the new micro auction holding before breaking higher and pushing to the weekly POC.
#ES_F
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I've noticed that lot of you guys don't seem to care for my longer posts where I'm rambling (probably because it's not normal on X) as much so I'm going to try to get a blog set up soon for those who like reading a lot like I do. I always have a lot that I want to say but it's
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The market doesn't just move up and down in a straight line and give everyone a free pass to join the ride. The market often likes to flush out weak hands before continuing to move up/down. It happens all the time. Here's an example from last week.
#ES_F
#priceaction
#orderflow
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Footprint charts can show you valuable details that price charts alone can't show you.
I've seen price-only traders stating that you can see the order flow in the price action. This is 100% not true. For instance, it's impossible to tell when a candle gaps down on extremely
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I want Sierra Chart to take over the world, so it's great to see that
@TradesByMatt
has been getting even more popular lately.
He uses Sierra Chart now, so that will bring more awareness to the best trading platform on the planet. 😉
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There's too much focus on key levels on Fintwit and not enough focus on execution. Someone could have the best key levels and it won't matter if they aren't good at managing trades.
Key levels are never guaranteed to work. How we manage the trades that don't work is key.
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You can listen to commentators and fundamental analysts or you can simply look at the price action, the order flow, and the tape. I prefer to look at the one that doesn't just make up fairy tales based on how they feel. Order flow shows the cold hard facts. Zero opinions.
#ES_F
Lots of traders on Fintwit last week were saying we were going to sell off right at the start of this week.
Just like I said yesterday none of that nonsense matters. We already went up over 40 points since the week opened. Shorts got scorched.
#ES_F
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Some of my followers wanted me to write more on trade management so I wrote a blog post on it. It includes a couple trade examples from today. Go here to view it:
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When the market has a strong liquidation move down like it did on Thursday and then fails to continue the move down in the next session then it will likely auction higher to fill in some of those thin areas that lacked a solid auction from the prior session.
#NQ_F
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Here's some of the clues from Monday's session that told us to keep hammering away at longs and to ignore shorts until proven otherwise.
#ES_F
When the market gives you longs on a silver platter (like it did today) then you take it. Don't try to fight the market and get creative. You'll just get run over like everyone else who tries to outsmart the market. Keep it simple.
#ES_F
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Here's what the market looked like after breaking above 45. Buyers took control and we kept pushing higher for almost the entire session. I'll post a blog post later with more details on this trade idea.
The way buyers/sellers show up aggressively often tells us where the auction wants to move.
In the ES example below, Bonds were selling off below structure as large index/equities participants were blasting into the highs (in addition to positive data/news). Shorting in a spot
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The weekly market profile and volume profile can give us some nice structural areas such as ledges that we can use to look for a potential shift in flows. In this example we saw the market rejecting right near a prior week's TPO and volume ledge.
#marketprofile
#orderflow
#ES_F
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Some Sierra users said they wanted better scrolling earlier. I have scrolling set up in Sierra Chart so that it's just like TradingView.
If you want to set up Sierra like this then check out this video that one of my followers shared earlier which shows you how to achieve it.😉
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Absolutely. Footprints and the DOM are always great to use to confirm entries. Price action is great but I don't use it by itself. Always with order flow. The footprint below does add confluence to the trade. The big players were absorbing heavily when we broke below support.
@jestertrading33
Would be interesting to see what’s happening on the footprint i.e large prints on the offer (buyers absorbing other buyer stops and market sellers)
further confirmation to add to longs?
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I won't be able to post the DOM blog post today because I had issues with the video so I'll be posting it very soon. Most likely Monday or Tuesday.
Now that I realize how time consuming it is to do annotated videos without talking I'd rather do voice-only videos where I explain
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Eliminating as many bad trades as possible is one of the most overpowered things in trading.
Defense is the foundation that allows good trades to have a positive impact over time.
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Here's some analysis from this week's session on ES using auction market theory and volume profiles. Hopefully this helps to spark some ideas on ways to read the auction. There are many theories on how the markets work but imo AMT is the most practical. It simply works.
#ES_F
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Even as an intraday trader it's a good idea to occasionally zoom out to see what the market has been doing over a larger time horizon to keep from coming up with irrational ideas (like perma bears do all the time) about what type of market we are in.
There's perma bears who
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I just posted a blog post that shows DOM analysis on a strong trend day. Check it out at:
#OrderFlow
#DepthOfMarket
#PriceLadder
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The concept of overbought and oversold is a flawed concept. It's a made up concept that isn't based in reality (and it's causing a lot of traders who use it to make bad trades).
For example, yesterday a lot of indicators such as RSI and Stochastics were giving overbought signals
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There were some clues from Wednesday's session and from early in today's session that we had more upside potential and more shorts to squeeze. Here's some price action, volume profile, and footprint analysis.
#ES_F
#priceaction
#orderflow
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I recently watched a few trades by ICT and for someone who literally claims to be the best trader out there his trade management game is quite weak imo.
He keeps adding risk when the market comes back to his entry or lower and when he has opportunities to take risk off which
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I like the way that
@MacroTactical
says it. Make it mechanical, use a framework, and add a bit of discretion to that.
Can't think of a better way to put it than that : )
Full-blown discretionary is awful for the vast majority of people imo.
I changed my trading. I am much more mechanical now and limited inputs. Basically if X then Y and vice versa. Nothing more nothing less. I have rules that keep in trades and when to exit so I can participate with the signal. Does it work all the time. No. Do I get false
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The order flow is always telling a story.
Example: When the market breaks above the IB high and buyers are absorbing on the bid and the market can't trade back below the IB high then many sellers will be scared and looking to exit (more bullish pressure!).
#ES_f
#orderflow
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Thanks for all the support guys.
I'll be posting another blog post today. I'll mention it later after it's posted.
If you are finding value in my posts then I'll keep posting. If not, then I'll turn my account into a trading memes account.😂
Also, there was an issue with the
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Here's some analysis from the big move down showing some reasons why I was only looking for shorts. The market was telling a story and most of it pointed at further downside.
#ES_F
#priceaction
#orderflow
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I just posted a new blog post that shows how to use micro level price action and order flow to trade a breakout. Go here to view the post:
#ES_F
#orderflow
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Almost 30 minutes into the session and the way that volume was distributing made it clear that shorts were going to get obliterated if we don't trade back below 4740 on high volume.
It's about the auction and the positioning. I don't give a damn what analysts are saying.
#ES_F
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Here's some order flow analysis on Gold futures from earlier today showing a short covering rally after buyers absorbed the pullback and then we broke above a high volume node which forced many shorts to become buyers.
#GC_F
#orderflow
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Whenever I do analysis on a trade that I had to take one or more stop outs on before catching the move, I like to emphasize that and include that info to help reinforce the reality of trading (which is that losses are common if you want to win).
I think it's super important for
The only trade I took today was very similar to the one I was explaining the other day (took two tries which is very common).
Took one small 4 tick stop out and then tried again and got in at an avg. of about 70.25 (scaled in at 69s and 71s).
We had decent liquidity and low
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Here's an example from this morning that combines a footprint chart with auction market theory. We saw rejection from lower prices followed by acceptance of higher prices before auctioning higher.
#ES_F
$ES
#orderflow
#AuctionTheory
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It's not about guessing where the market will go based on news/reports. It's about leaning against trapped inventory.
Positioning is forcing market moves while experts/analysts are left scratching their heads wondering why we went up on negative data. If you know, you know. 😉
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If you look on Youtube you'll notice that most of those traders (marketers?) are teaching exact systems that ignore the overall market context.
Those types of systems don't consistently perform well in all market environments. It's too rigid in a market which is dynamic. Using
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Just because the market trades below a key area for a while doesn't mean we should be bearish.
The market traded below that prior key LVN area on the next attempt but failed to keep auctioning lower. Sellers will give up and exit if they can't get what they want.
#ES_F
Today's afternoon bounce was a good example of the power of LVNs. They are even more likely to hold on low volatility, choppy action that's slowly churning down like we saw today and yesterday.
The market is waiting on economic data and we just had a major melting move up last
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I've been lazy with posting order flow content lately which is ridiculous considering that I couldn't care less about price charts.
I plan on posting much more order flow content going forward and I'm working on setting up the blog now. It should be up this month for sure.
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Today's afternoon bounce was a good example of the power of LVNs. They are even more likely to hold on low volatility, choppy action that's slowly churning down like we saw today and yesterday.
The market is waiting on economic data and we just had a major melting move up last
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The preview image that X showed for my last post made it look like a small image.
Did you guys notice that it was a larger image?
If not then I know not to share tall images anymore on here. I'll share smaller images like I usually do : )
Here's some volume profile tips for helping to determine market direction.
#orderflow
#volumeprofile
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Whenever you look at the best of the best in any mental game such as trading, poker, or chess you'll notice that the best aren't focused on winning or making money while playing the game. They are focused on optimal execution according to the information they currently have.
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Here's an example of using price action to find a key area and then using order flow to get a tighter entry on Gold futures.
#GC_F
#priceaction
#orderflow
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Of course it won't always be so clear as to which side is currently in control but the signs are usually there. Below is an example of how the market typically looks during a move down during RTH. We see many weak upticks and skipping prices.
This isn't the only thing to look at
I just glanced at the DOM and you can instantly tell which side is in control. The DOM tells you what's going on underneath the hood. You don't have to guess. See how clear it is that sellers are in control? Order flow is king.
#orderflow
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Here's an example from today's RTH session of a failure to reclaim VWAP followed by the market auctioning down to that major 5150 level. We also ended up getting a strong volume ledge above at 5170 later in the session.
#ES_F
#orderflow
#priceaction
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This morning we had a nice bid show up at 13s and 14s after flushing out longs who were positioning a few points higher.
This was a good spot to be looking for a strong bid to show up below 15 as we rejected those lower prices earlier and left an LVN there.
Ended up catching a
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If you pay attention to how price is trading at the micro level combined with delta by price it can tell you when one side is currently trapped and you want to trade against them. I like to look at tick charts, volume bars charts, or the DOM to see this micro level price action.
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There's potential for a look below and fail early next week for ES (early October lows and a prior rebid area) which could give us a short covering rally. If we don't get it then the market will look for liquidity lower and sellers will remain in control short term.
We just had
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We opened exactly at the tick of the prior day high at 5020 on Friday.
Every time we tested the prior high the market bounced higher before never returning again. The volatility was low and there wasn't much fear in the market so slightly upward leaning flows are expected.
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In the screenshots below I show some of the order flow and auction details behind the 56-58 offer idea I mentioned this morning.
There were signs that the market wanted to auction lower well before the market even broke down.
#ES_F
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I just glanced at the DOM and you can instantly tell which side is in control. The DOM tells you what's going on underneath the hood. You don't have to guess. See how clear it is that sellers are in control? Order flow is king.
#orderflow
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One of the most common mistakes in trading is to try to predict what will happen and then sticking to that prediction no matter what the market does.
You see this all the time on Fintwit. Someone will come up with reasons why the market is going to sell off hundreds of points
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If you guys ever see me ranting about permabulls/permabears or large FinTwit accounts like ICT, please just ignore it.
Due to all the clown BS I see from large accounts I have to rant sometimes to keep my sanity on here so that I can continue posting trading analysis/ideas. 😂
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Chart patterns and setups get overemphasized while the way the market is actually rewarding moves is often overlooked.
Every session it's useful to be aware of whether the market is rewarding breakouts or not or if they are failing. If the market is choppy and breakouts are
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The paradox in trading is that the more you focus on making money while trading then the more likely you are lose. Not getting what you want makes you emotional and leads to bad decisions. The key is to focus on the process and managing risk and let the rest take care of itself.
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Last Monday was arguably the lowest quality trading day last week (the other days were quite good imo) but Monday did have multiple Wyckoff springs. Each of them lead to a 20+ point move to the upside. I've mentioned many times that I'm not a fan of classical chart patterns but I
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This is one of the biggest keys to crushing the markets intraday. To cut losers quickly and let winners ride. When I'm scalping my way into a trade I'm out very fast if it doesn't quickly go in my favor. You can't just eat drawdown all day. This man knows what he's talking about!
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Here's some footprint analysis from yesterday's open on ES, showing how volume gives clues as to where we might go next. Ultimately volume/liquidity is what moves the markets so it makes sense to pay attention to it : )
#ES_F
$ES
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Here's an example of a failed breakout trade that I took today where I was taking advantage of ES's rotational nature. Based on the order flow and price action I thought the market was likely setting up for a pullback lower but we'd get some bounces first before the break.
#ES_F
ES is highly rotational which is a massive benefit if you take advantage of it and stop trying to catch home runs and big momentum trades all the time.
4/7
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Agreed. During low volatility weeks like this it's best to take profits more aggressively imo. I've been going after smaller scalps than normal this week. As you well know we must always adapt to the market and context. You can always re-enter later : )
Examples below
#ES_F
$ES
#ES_F
when market moves like this we take what we can - frequency trading is a pro shit. over trading is a retail bullshit. trade trade trade! the more you trade the more experience you will be. the more you learn from your mistakes. the better you will be.
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I've seen many traders say things like "The DOM is useless because I couldn't make sense of all the numbers everywhere".
They fail to realize that it's not about obsessing over every little uptick/downtick. Good example of "can't see the forest for the trees". 😂
#orderflow
The DOM isn't just about the numbers. There's way more to it than that (pacing/flow/trade management etc.).
One of the many benefits of the DOM is that it's extremely effective for managing trades. Managing trades/risk is kind of important. 😉
#orderflow
#depthofmarket
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I haven't had a rant lately and I need to today so if you don't like rants then please ignore this.
Over the weekend I saw a lot of people on Fintwit basically screaming that you are an idiot if you try to go short today.
Guess I'm an idiot. I was short-only during RTH today.
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Macro “KING LEEROY” Tactical (
@MacroTactical
) is the best account with 20K+ followers on FinTwit by far imo. He's the only 20K+ account I follow as well.
If you pay attention then you'll notice that most of the large accounts on FinTwit aren't really sharing much of value. They
Path vs destination/level. Ppl got excuses for being offsides, but we are here to monetize path (majority of us) vs destination/level
“I will be right”
yeah but right now you got path wrong, so you’re wrong
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It isn't just about what the market can do, but also what it fails to do that's key.
If the market fails to break back inside a prior auction then one side is trapped and will eventually be forced to cover which adds fuel to the move away from the prior auction.
There was a really nice clean order flow setup in the afternoon where we broke down below an HVN and then failed to break back inside. It tested the LVN below to the exact tick (the tick right below the HVN).
I didn't see this until I was reviewing the session as I was already
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Tight stop losses are great but super tight stop losses that are tight only for the sake of being tight aren't good.
A stop shouldn't be tight just because that's all we are willing to lose. It should be placed because that's where the trade is invalidated. That's where we are
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Improving your ability to manage risk is way more valuable than improving your "emotional control".
Why? Because emotional control is mostly a byproduct of following a strategy and cutting losses when you should.
Psychology coaches are out here robbing people.😂
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I often mention to ignore the noise of news/commentators and just pay attention to the charts and order flow. Here's an example below of using the charts instead of listening to macro news/commentators to see what the market is trying to do on the macro level.
I've been bullish
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Here's some ideas for the future auction on ES.
If buyers continue defending above 4740 then we likely auction higher to check sellers above in those key volume areas from prior day profiles and the weekly profile.
Lots of single prints below the current auctions. Buyers will
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The way buyers/sellers show up aggressively often tells us where the auction wants to move.
In the ES example below, Bonds were selling off below structure as large index/equities participants were blasting into the highs (in addition to positive data/news). Shorting in a spot
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In trading it's easy to think that there's certainty in this game but it doesn't exist. No matter how good someone is there is always a degree of uncertainty when trading.
That's why it's so effective to be in the present moment with no emotional attachments and simply trade
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