Jacki Maniel
@jackimaniel
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I collect questions the way some people collect stamps. Most of them don't have answers yet. That's the interesting part.
United States, European Union.
Joined October 2023
🧵 3/ The Exit Ramp Theory — Kharg as a Negotiating Instrument There is a third interpretation that deserves serious consideration and has received almost none. The Kharg strike may be primarily communicative rather than kinetic. A signal specifically designed to create the
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🧵 2/ The Gulf states, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar, Bahrain, all generate the majority of their fresh water supply from desalination. These are not secondary infrastructure targets. They are survival infrastructure. Iran’s Khatam al-Anbiya headquarters has already issued
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The Kharg Island Strike. Leverage, Bluff, or Exit Ramp? A Strategic Assessment. đź§µ 1/ What Was Actually Struck? Before any strategic analysis, the operational picture needs to be precise. US Air Force bombers struck missile storage sites and sites that housed Iranian mines. The
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🚨 UPDATE A senior US official confirmed to Axios that CENTCOM specifically requested the force in order to have more options for military operations against Iran, and that the MEU will be capable of conducting ground operations if ordered. The official declined to comment on
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The war is fucking us all over on domestic issues. Was foolish timing. Waiting to the midterms, to see if you lose the House, or at least leverage something from the Senate first. MAGA got nothing. Jeremy Carl, who Charlie Kirk wanted in, got blocked. Fuck this nonsense.
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🚨 JUST IN - Pentagon approves deployment of a Marine “expeditionary unit” of about 2,500 Marines to the Middle East — WSJ Now read that against the backdrop of today’s press conference. This morning Hegseth stood at a podium and said Iran has no navy, missiles are down 90%,
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BREAKING: All six crew members have been killed in the crash of a refuelling plane in Iraq, the US Central Command has said. It had previously been announced that four of the six members died https://t.co/T6ZSl1x4sa 📺 Sky 501, Virgin 602, Freeview 233 and YouTube
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When they start invoking RUSSIA RUSSIA, that’s how you know things are bad. At least they are very disappointed at how things have done so far.
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🚨 From Day 1, while CENTCOM was holding press conferences with slick graphics about “decimating” Iran’s arsenal, I told you the numbers didn’t add up. (Biggest credit to Patricia Marins) The launcher counts weren’t moving. The strike footage showed suspiciously clean hits with
bloomberg.com
The number of Iranian missile launchers has held steady after a week of unrelenting airstrikes, according to Israeli and western estimates, indicating the difficulty of finding small, mobile targets...
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🔴 OPERATION EPIC FURY — DAY 13/14 MORNING UPDATE 🇺🇸 KC-135 DOWN — 4 CREW CONFIRMED DEAD Stratotanker lost over western Iraq near Turaibil. 6 crew aboard. CENTCOM now confirms 4 dead. A second KC-135 landed in Tel Aviv missing most of its vertical stabilizer. CENTCOM: “not
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MY ASSESSMENT BASED ON VERIFIED DATA. Vietnam had no air force worth naming and won. The Taliban had pickup trucks and won. Iran has ballistic missiles that have survived 13 days and 5,500 strikes with roughly 50% of the programme still intact. It has submarines, coastal
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Literally what I’ve been saying since the 28th. The so called analyst are on TV and podcasts giving faulty and ignorant assessments and analysis.
I'm Iranian-American. I hold both of those identities and I won't apologize for either one. As an American, I want this country to be smart. Not just strong. Smart. And what I'm watching right now is the opposite of smart. It's the same playbook we've run decade after decade.
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General Dan Caine, Trump’s own Chairman of the Joint Chiefs, cautioned before the war that a military campaign against Iran carried the risk of the US becoming entangled in a prolonged conflict. The Washington Post reported that Caine told Trump a lack of critical munitions and
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🚨 SOME NEWS. One is confirmed and the other isn’t. 🔶 What is confirmed: An Iranian vessel sailed too close to the USS Abraham Lincoln and a US Navy vessel attempted to fire on it using its 5-inch 54-caliber Mark-45 gun. The shots missed multiple times. A helicopter equipped
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In case you were wondering and doubting what the real goal was… here you go
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It’s a regime change war. Everyone knows it is. People can debate if it’s wise or not. That’s politics. But nobody thinks it’s something else. Keep that slop away from me. Too old for this bullshit.
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What time, IRGC posts a video response to trumps boots on the ground. 🎥 DD_Geopolitics Watch my analysis of this idea. https://t.co/GcylUzv3Lr
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