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Dip buyers stepping in as markets bounce, but the real story is beneath the surface: AI is driving massive dispersion. • Infrastructure winners (NVDA, chips, compute) • SaaS / apps under pressure • Apple emerging as defensive tech “SaaS Armageddon” vs “AI Capex Bubble”

Week Ahead: Markets brace for macro + earnings cross-currents After last week’s violent swings and Friday’s rebound, the coming week will test whether dip-buying has legs or if systematic flows re-assert downside pressure. Macro first. All eyes are on delayed U.S. data from the

Can Trump TACO on Warsh? We think so. Let’s look at the scorecard since his nomination: NQ - 4.26% RTY - 1.36% YM - + 0.67% ES - 1.62% ZB - + 0.6% ZT - +0.15% Gold - 6.35% Silver - 31.23% Bitcoin - 21.64% ETH - 30.31% Solana - 30.09% USD index - +1.35% Crude oil - 2.27%

For those who are wondering why stocks, crypto and precious metals are collapsing well you can thank Warsh … he was the most hawkish of all the candidates and someone who doesn’t like printing money easily unless there’s an economic or financial emergency.

IOTAF WEEK AHEAD (Jan 26): One of the most important weeks of the quarter. ~20% of S&P 500 reports MSFT, META, TSLA (Wed) AAPL (Thu) FOMC Wednesday Gov’t shutdown risk Gold > $5,000 USD slipping Markets entering a catalyst-heavy, volatile tape. Fed is expected to hold rates.

EMERGENCY EU LEADERS SUMMIT WILL GO AHEAD AS PLANNED ON THURSDAY- SPOKESPERSON European Union leaders will proceed with an emergency summit on Thursday even after U.S. President Donald Trump rowed back on his threats of tariffs against some countries over Greenland, a council

TRUMP: WE HAVE FORMED FRAMEWORK OF A FUTURE DEAL WITH RESPECT TO GREENLAND

🚨 *TRUMP: WILL NOT IMPOSE FEB 1 TARIFFS DUE TO GREENLAND DEAL

🚨 TRUMP: BASED UPON THIS UNDERSTANDING, I WILL NOT BE IMPOSING TARIFFS THAT WERE SCHEDULED TO GO INTO EFFECT ON FEBRUARY 1ST TRUMP: SAYS AFTER RUTTE MEETING: WE HAVE FORMED FRAMEWORK OF A FUTURE DEAL WITH RESPECT TO GREENLAND

🚨 BREAKING NEWS 🚨 Federal Reserve Chair reveals the DOJ has served the Fed with grand jury subpoenas, threatening a criminal indictment tied to prior Senate testimony — calling the move “unprecedented” and raising serious questions about pressure on central bank independence.

US NFP preview (Tue Dec 16, 08:30 ET): Consensus looks for +48k jobs in November (range -20k to +150k), with unemployment steady at 4.4%. October payrolls drop alongside November, but no October jobless rate due to shutdown disruptions. Data signals are mixed: jobless claims and

US Nonfarm Payrolls preview (Tue Dec 16, 08:30 EST): The delayed NFP release will include both October and November payrolls, but October’s unemployment rate will not be published due to the government shutdown disrupting household survey collection. There is no consensus on

Craziest FUD I’ve seen in a while by @MerrynSW This article is clueless about Bitcoin: 1.Bitcoin will adopt quantum-safe upgrades just like every major protocol. 2.“No intrinsic value”? What’s gold’s intrinsic value based on? 3.“Doesn’t do anything”? Gold doesn’t either —

Unbelievable hearing hundreds of market commentators saying, extremely confidently, that fed independence is bad for markets. How? In my 30 years of market trading experience we would never short on lack of fed independence. When the fed and government are aligned it creates a

IOTAF morning note: Global markets firm as Asia and Europe rally on Fed cut expectations. Japan bond demand surges, easing BoJ tightening fears. EU prepares full antitrust probe into Meta. Stablecoin legislation sparks debate over the real impact on T-bill demand. Snowflake drops

IOTAF Week Ahead – (Dec 1–5, 2025) Here’s the week ahead breakdown for traders, day by day, with all major releases that matter for macro, rates, FX, and equity volatility: Monday (Dec 1) Global manufacturing PMIs out of the US, Eurozone, UK, France, and Germany set the tone

Markets open December on the back foot as crypto volatility and BoJ hawkish signals hit risk appetite. Futures softer after last week’s strong equity run. Trump says he’s chosen the next Fed chair—Kevin Hassett viewed as the dovish favorite—pushing yields lower and the USD softer

Markets open higher this morning, but risk sentiment still hinges on one name: Nvidia. After a multi-day pullback in AI stocks that dragged the S&P 500 into its longest losing streak since August, tonight’s Nvidia earnings will either re-ignite the AI trade or confirm a cooling

MAMA spending (Microsoft, Amazon, Meta and Alphabet)— which together represent more than 40% of Nvidia’s sales — are projected to increase their combined AI spending by 34% over the next 12 months to $440 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Daily Market Note — here’s what traders need to know this morning: Futures are mixed but stabilizing ahead of a massive data + earnings week. S&P 500 +0.33%, Bitcoin +2.5%, 10Y at 4.12%. Europe softer, Hang Seng under pressure. 1️⃣ Macro Setup • Market looking ahead to Nvidia