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Whether this is the start of the bear or a mid-cycle shakeout, one thing stays true: the market rewards those who stay rational when everyone else is emotional. Keep your plan. Adjust, don’t panic.

My honest take: we’re in the zone where both outcomes are possible. The inflection point. The place where fortunes are made or lost depending on how you manage risk, not how loud you scream your prediction.

If the bull continues, it won’t look like 2021. It will be slower, more selective, and more narrative-driven. Strong projects will run. Weak ones will vanish quietly.

But one thing worries me: sentiment flips way too fast. One red candle and suddenly everyone screams “bear market.” That level of fragility usually shows exhaustion.

On-chain activity isn’t collapsing. Developers are building, new infra launches weekly, layer 2s scaling. Hard to call a top when fundamentals still look alive.

Alts bleeding while BTC holds strong — classic pre-bear indicator. OR classic “BTC dominance rally before rotation.” Same data, opposite interpretations. Welcome to crypto.

People forget: early bull markets reward patience. Late bull markets reward exit timing. The hard part is figuring out which one we’re in.